Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?
open
Total volume
$884
$7,093 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,441
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 13:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $252 | $252 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $37 | $573 | $536 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| Median | 8 | $6 | $146 | $140 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $278 | $278 |
| unranked | 9 | $7 | $290 | $284 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | +373 | $278 | $278 | 7 | 05-13 02:13 |
| Complete-Referendum 0x3c59…1766 | No | +286 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 05-13 19:43 |
| Incomplete-Netsuke 0x6985…afdf | No | +137 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 01:00 |
| Unlawful-Formula 0x0a7e…fce4 | No | +109 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 05-14 03:15 |
| Mellow-Antling 0xac45…20c5 | No | +88 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-13 06:14 |
| Stormy-Urgency 0x13a9…e573 | Yes | +60 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 04:31 |
| Incomparable-Astrologer 0xed29…d325 | No | +59 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 12:55 |
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | +37 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd850…e26c | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 10:55 |
| Electric-Hatbox 0xc87c…f23f | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4afd…12ff | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 19:50 |
| Sparkling-Sportsman 0x105f…8851 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:31 |
| Early-Supernatural 0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 08:49 |
| White-Automaton 0xbb4a…6c04 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 21:39 |
| Alarming-Leg 0xcaf5…41ab | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 19:43 |
| Unequaled-Cosset 0x2097…0298 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:13 |
| Serene-Cannon-Affect 0x1b4d…0ca6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:45 |
| Doting-Canopy 0x2fa7…e3c7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Vivid-Category 0x1aed…53c8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:15 |
| Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:58 |
| Numb-Sailor 0xa075…ee53 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:13 |
| Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:17 |
| Glistening-Sash 0x7c30…e257 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:28 |
| Deep-Spending 0xbe6e…acf1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:34:18 | Homely-Density 0x9997…a2bc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x8878c7… |
| 05-14 13:31:05 | Sparkling-Sportsman 0x105f…8851 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xf3c54b… |
| 05-14 12:55:11 | Incomparable-Astrologer 0xed29…d325 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x001e15… |
| 05-14 12:15:45 | Electric-Hatbox 0xc87c…f23f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x88b1a4… |
| 05-14 10:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xd850…e26c | No | BUY | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0xfea1b0… |
| 05-14 10:45:22 | Serene-Cannon-Affect 0x1b4d…0ca6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xac45ab… |
| 05-14 08:49:24 | Early-Supernatural 0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xf4376c… |
| 05-14 06:02:13 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x9f7423… |
| 05-14 04:15:12 | Vivid-Category 0x1aed…53c8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x56110b… |
| 05-14 03:21:18 | Deep-Spending 0xbe6e…acf1 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x60e42f… |
| 05-14 03:21:14 | Deep-Spending 0xbe6e…acf1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xafbfa5… |
| 05-14 03:15:12 | Unlawful-Formula 0x0a7e…fce4 | No | BUY | 109 | 79¢ | $86 | 0x482eaf… |
| 05-14 02:58:54 | Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x96020f… |
| 05-14 02:10:36 | Slight-Midnight 0x15f7…f0c4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xb2b3dd… |
| 05-14 01:28:59 | Glistening-Sash 0x7c30…e257 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x37bc1f… |
| 05-14 01:00:11 | Incomplete-Netsuke 0x6985…afdf | No | BUY | 137 | 73¢ | $100 | 0xae73cb… |
| 05-14 00:19:04 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x453714… |
| 05-13 23:22:04 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xc2d1d3… |
| 05-13 21:39:14 | White-Automaton 0xbb4a…6c04 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xf9d254… |
| 05-13 21:13:09 | Unequaled-Cosset 0x2097…0298 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe09078… |
| 05-13 21:13:09 | Numb-Sailor 0xa075…ee53 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xb6da43… |
| 05-13 19:43:56 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x0dd9d0… |
| 05-13 19:43:54 | Alarming-Leg 0xcaf5…41ab | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x4d738a… |
| 05-13 19:43:53 | Complete-Referendum 0x3c59…1766 | No | BUY | 286 | 58¢ | $166 | 0x8bb10b… |
| 05-13 11:43:11 | Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x974292… |
| 05-13 06:14:27 | Mellow-Antling 0xac45…20c5 | No | BUY | 88 | 72¢ | $63 | 0xc8b3e4… |
| 05-13 05:54:23 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x99c02f… |
| 05-13 02:13:05 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0xd065af… |
| 05-13 02:13:02 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x79cd37… |
| 05-13 02:12:27 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 80 | 74¢ | $59 | 0x9e48b0… |
| 05-13 02:12:22 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 80 | 74¢ | $59 | 0x93f0cd… |
| 05-13 02:12:18 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 27 | 73¢ | $20 | 0xad12ac… |
| 05-13 02:12:06 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x4c3b8e… |
| 05-13 02:11:59 | Growing-Classification 0x5f56…348a | No | BUY | 80 | 72¢ | $58 | 0xda1961… |
| 05-13 00:17:13 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xf5193b… |
| 05-13 00:02:55 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | BUY | 37 | 72¢ | $27 | 0x4e0477… |
| 05-12 19:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x4afd…12ff | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x80db25… |
| 05-12 04:49:16 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x4a3315… |
| 05-12 04:49:09 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xf524cb… |
| 05-12 00:38:03 | Doting-Canopy 0x2fa7…e3c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xd986f5… |
| 05-10 04:31:31 | Stormy-Urgency 0x13a9…e573 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 24¢ | $14 | 0x0a8838… |