Realized P&L
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$734
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
1,981
Trades
6,538
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$22.1K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-27 00:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 231 days
Categories
Other
45% 66% -$2,493
Politics
31% 76% +$11,153
Sports
22% 61% -$9,886
Crypto
3% 97% +$234
Tech
0% 78% -$363
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,084 $11,251 92¢ $14.0K +$2,702 09-15 08:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,095 $3,836 72¢ $4.4K +$583 06-19 09:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,095 $2,067 28¢ $1.7K -$391 06-21 21:24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,030 $3,304 8¢ $1.1K -$2,176 06-19 09:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +100 $96 95¢ $95 -$1 10-27 00:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +94 $86 92¢ $86 +$0 10-27 00:37
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +55 $51 100¢ $55 +$4 09-15 08:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +55 $50 98¢ $54 +$4 09-14 19:22
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +55 $50 95¢ $52 +$2 09-15 08:25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +54 $51 96¢ $52 +$2 09-15 08:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +52 $48 100¢ $51 +$3 10-03 10:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 09-15 08:23
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +55 $50 92¢ $51 +$1 09-15 06:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +53 $49 94¢ $50 +$0 09-15 08:33
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +54 $50 92¢ $49 $0 09-15 08:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +54 $50 90¢ $48 -$1 09-15 08:41
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +50 $39 92¢ $46 +$7 07-07 14:05
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +48 $44 91¢ $44 -$1 10-01 19:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $37 92¢ $37 -$1 10-27 00:38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +33 $31 99¢ $33 +$1 10-24 20:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +32 $29 92¢ $29 +$0 09-29 20:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$0 10-27 00:37
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -16 -$16 100¢ $-16 $0 10-26 00:50
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 05-24 08:04
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +16 $14 82¢ $13 -$1 08-13 06:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 09-15 09:19
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +50 $10 8¢ $4 -$7 07-14 11:20
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +16 $2 18¢ $3 +$0 08-13 06:20
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 05-19 11:55