Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$852
Hit rate
10.8%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
42
6,626 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.90K
$1.56M lifetime
Avg / trade
$235
Open exposure
$24.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 11-14 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Other
44% 66% -$3,613
Politics
31% 77% +$11,688
Sports
22% 61% -$9,881
Crypto
3% 97% +$242
Tech
0% 78% -$363
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,084 $11,251 97¢ $14.6K +$3,351 09-15 08:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,095 $3,836 82¢ $5.0K +$1,168 06-19 09:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,095 $2,067 18¢ $1.1K -$976 06-21 21:24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $965 98¢ $985 +$20 11-10 15:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,030 $3,304 3¢ $481 -$2,823 06-19 09:26
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? No +381 $361 99¢ $377 +$16 11-09 21:50
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? No +205 $171 98¢ $201 +$30 10-12 23:37
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,400 $98 6¢ $91 -$7 11-08 20:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +90 $86 96¢ $87 +$0 11-08 07:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +90 $85 92¢ $82 -$2 11-08 06:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +78 $50 95¢ $74 +$24 11-08 17:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +70 $50 86¢ $61 +$11 11-08 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +3,100 $69 2¢ $60 -$9 11-14 21:56
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +700 $49 8¢ $59 +$10 11-08 21:26
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +60 $47 93¢ $56 +$9 11-08 19:28
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? No +72 $50 74¢ $54 +$4 11-08 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +66 $50 81¢ $53 +$4 11-08 19:57
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +55 $50 97¢ $53 +$3 09-15 08:25
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +54 $50 98¢ $53 +$3 09-15 08:35
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +55 $50 96¢ $53 +$3 09-15 06:26
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? No +55 $50 96¢ $53 +$3 09-15 09:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +54 $50 97¢ $53 +$2 09-15 08:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +54 $51 97¢ $52 +$2 09-15 08:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 96¢ $52 +$2 11-08 20:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +53 $49 97¢ $52 +$2 09-15 08:33
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? No +54 $50 95¢ $51 +$1 09-15 08:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +55 $50 93¢ $51 +$1 11-08 19:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +54 $50 94¢ $50 +$1 09-15 08:41
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +111 $50 44¢ $49 -$1 11-08 17:41
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +74 $50 66¢ $49 -$1 11-08 20:35