Limping-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

-$422

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,237

lifetime

Volume

$135.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

62% 47% +$534

Other

32% 90% +$130

Sports

3% 9% $-212

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes		-200	$-26	14¢	$-27	$-1	07-17 16:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+692	$429	1¢	$8	$-421	06-20 13:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$2.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-20 13:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	44	$2.4K	3,193	2,391	+802	open	—	05-17 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	21	$2.3K	2,689	2,323	+367	open	—	06-16 03:24
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	10	$2.3K	1,682	1,550	+132	open	—	06-03 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-24 01:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$1.9K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	02-28 18:56
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	6	$1.8K	1,873	291	+1,583	open	—	04-17 00:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.7K	2,000	1,634	+366	open	—	06-14 21:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	14	$1.5K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	06-13 18:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-15 19:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.5K	1,800	2,000	-200	open	—	06-12 20:45
will leavitt say democrat shutdown during the next white house press briefing	8	$1.5K	824	806	+19	open	—	03-25 18:06
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	11	$1.4K	2,036	1,419	+617	open	—	06-26 22:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$1.4K	6,920	6,920	+0	open	—	06-02 08:19
will trump say too big to rig at the nrcc dinner on march 25 922	5	$1.4K	719	719	+0	open	—	03-26 01:07
Will "Hantavirus" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	11	$1.4K	806	806	+0	open	—	06-03 17:04
will trump say obliterated or obliteration during the white house easter egg roll	7	$1.4K	811	743	+67	open	—	04-06 15:16
will trump be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 6	4	$1.3K	768	768	+0	open	—	04-09 02:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	6	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-13 16:33
will trump say hormuz during cabinet meeting on march 26	3	$1.2K	720	720	+0	open	—	03-26 15:20
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?	4	$1.2K	2,150	0	+2,150	open	—	04-18 13:14
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	7	$1.1K	641	641	+0	open	—	06-02 21:09
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$1.0K	713	712	+1	open	—	06-02 17:45
will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	5	$1.0K	548	548	+0	open	—	03-26 01:47
will trump say equipment during national agriculture day events	2	$974	497	497	+0	open	—	03-27 16:56
will trump say six seven during speech to the nation 20260713200621435	2	$914	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-16 23:17
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	27	$903	2,657	27	+2,631	open	—	05-20 16:19
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$895	500	500	+0	open	—	06-03 17:00
Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	6	$861	482	482	-0	open	—	06-02 21:09
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$822	493	492	+0	open	—	06-03 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:00:07	will trump say ceasefire during remarks in georgia 20260720190340722	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x03f2d5…
07-21 15:29:36	will trump say gianni or infantino this week 20260719005322442	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xd4c915…
07-21 14:59:24	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012850	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xf19d6b…
07-21 14:22:37	will trump say booming during remarks in georgia 20260720190340711	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x9a1e05…
07-21 14:21:52	will trump say booming during remarks in georgia 20260720190340711	No	BUY	180	36¢	$65	0xf7198b…
07-20 23:59:01	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x6ce59a…
07-20 23:55:04	will trump say transgender this week 20260719005322461	Yes	BUY	122	73¢	$89	0x934455…
07-20 23:39:12	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0xd86a85…
07-20 23:31:30	will bernie say trump 5 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357847	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xdd1ab2…
07-20 23:30:03	will bernie say trump 5 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357847	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x84d277…
07-20 22:48:40	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xa94dbb…
07-20 22:33:03	will bernie say trump 5 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357847	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x11167b…
07-20 22:06:13	will bernie say afford affordable or affordability during minneapolis rally 20260719004357850	No	BUY	152	17¢	$26	0xf4b727…
07-20 22:05:25	will bernie say afford affordable or affordability during minneapolis rally 20260719004357850	No	BUY	93	15¢	$14	0x6122d3…
07-20 21:56:55	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xaf3eaa…
07-20 21:17:42	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x9e24a9…
07-20 20:16:03	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260719005322456	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1d96ee…
07-20 20:04:54	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x7e4f08…
07-20 19:59:03	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012850	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc9c089…
07-20 19:25:55	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x1d4838…
07-20 17:57:27	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	BUY	105	17¢	$18	0x20661a…
07-20 17:46:12	will bernie say percent or percenter 11 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357845	Yes	BUY	128	25¢	$32	0x8f51f0…
07-20 16:26:10	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0xfe7f41…
07-20 16:17:19	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012850	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x38d52d…
07-20 15:04:03	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012850	No	BUY	73	77¢	$56	0x88d8ff…
07-20 14:27:13	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f666b…
07-18 15:19:55	will trump say giraffe in july 20260702143051772	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x029f18…
07-17 22:17:36	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012858	No	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x735ef5…
07-17 22:14:04	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	SELL	241	99¢	$238	0x5c60a5…
07-17 21:41:33	will trump praise lionel messi by july 31 20260626214328043	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x80d8b9…
07-17 20:10:10	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	227	3¢	$7	0xfc2aa5…
07-17 16:13:27	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xf77b30…
07-17 16:07:07	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	134	79¢	$106	0x9caf68…
07-17 15:56:06	will trump praise lionel messi by july 31 20260626214328043	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x3c296a…
07-17 11:38:06	will trump say spain this week 20260710153927807	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4431cf…
07-17 11:12:09	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8a9ba9…
07-17 11:12:03	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x6e116a…
07-17 11:11:54	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x034710…
07-17 08:54:46	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xaad0c1…
07-17 03:56:28	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012858	No	BUY	129	28¢	$36	0x9fb3d5…
07-17 03:45:39	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012850	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xcbdd7f…
07-17 03:25:46	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb8157c…
07-17 03:25:37	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xdaad3f…
07-17 03:24:57	will trump say melania this week 20260710153927804	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x06b5cb…
07-17 01:33:23	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xd86675…
07-17 01:10:40	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xcfaf88…
07-17 01:07:17	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	No	BUY	105	63¢	$66	0x9ed671…
07-17 01:06:22	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x79d34a…
07-17 00:58:19	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	141	66¢	$93	0xef2d77…
07-17 00:44:31	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7a4b64…
07-17 00:44:17	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x20b956…
07-17 00:43:58	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x4ab141…
07-17 00:34:11	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	No	BUY	176	66¢	$116	0xe8c19c…
07-17 00:11:08	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	No	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x0d973e…
07-16 23:53:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa64012…
07-16 23:53:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x850c4e…
07-16 23:53:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x715668…
07-16 23:53:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x07f02d…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xce2b07…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xc9f1e0…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa883ae…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x983175…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9128be…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x797d9f…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6ecc00…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x601401…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5c849d…
07-16 23:53:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x50e610…
07-16 23:17:52	will trump say six seven during speech to the nation 20260713200621435	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x279348…
07-16 23:15:52	will trump say six seven during speech to the nation 20260713200621435	No	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0x33c192…
07-16 22:19:38	will netflix say user during earnings call 20260709145309031	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4c1464…
07-16 21:26:02	will netflix say cloud gaming during earnings call 20260709145309024	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1ad6c3…
07-16 20:57:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0xf47da0…
07-16 20:51:52	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x11becd…
07-16 20:40:50	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	No	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x31d3f4…
07-16 20:39:26	will netflix say user during earnings call 20260709145309031	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x80342f…
07-16 20:27:26	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd52858…
07-16 20:25:52	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x79650d…
07-16 20:11:50	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xb9d8bc…
07-16 20:10:28	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x0f71d4…
07-16 20:09:44	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x481462…
07-16 20:03:13	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x2857c6…
07-16 19:27:56	will netflix say user during earnings call 20260709145309031	No	BUY	111	14¢	$15	0x6b1abc…
07-16 19:04:53	will netflix say squid game during earnings call 20260709145309026	No	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xe591fb…
07-16 17:41:20	will leavitt say hormuz or strait during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953944 687	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xc2039b…
07-15 23:02:35	will trump say movie star in july 20260629200910953	No	BUY	83	9¢	$7	0x0542e5…
07-15 22:40:19	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0xb7b644…
07-15 20:01:01	will trump say iraq during speech to the nation 20260713200621436	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x47b474…
07-15 20:00:13	will trump say iraq during speech to the nation 20260713200621436	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x513a77…
07-15 19:24:02	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716008	No	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xe1a13b…
07-15 18:50:44	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	No	SELL	74	14¢	$10	0xb02f86…
07-15 17:33:31	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0xe67a83…
07-15 17:16:19	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	198	71¢	$141	0x129891…
07-15 16:24:43	will trump say elon or musk at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716015	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xebb5d8…
07-15 04:07:22	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	No	BUY	89	12¢	$10	0xd5c0a8…
07-14 19:55:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xf923f5…
07-14 19:33:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x5b2cfc…
07-14 17:00:31	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x19a1f8…
07-14 17:00:26	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x066468…
07-14 15:08:46	will trump say melania this week 20260710153927804	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xeb06c7…