Limping-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,428

lifetime

Volume

$142.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

63% 47% +$534

Other

32% 90% +$130

Sports

3% 9% $-212

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$2.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-20 13:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	44	$2.4K	3,193	2,391	+802	open	—	05-17 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	21	$2.3K	2,689	2,323	+367	open	—	06-16 03:24
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	10	$2.3K	1,682	1,550	+132	open	—	06-03 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-24 01:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$1.9K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	02-28 18:56
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	6	$1.8K	1,873	291	+1,583	open	—	04-17 00:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.7K	2,000	1,634	+366	open	—	06-14 21:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	14	$1.5K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	06-13 18:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-15 19:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.5K	1,800	2,000	-200	open	—	06-12 20:45
will leavitt say democrat shutdown during the next white house press briefing	8	$1.5K	824	806	+19	open	—	03-25 18:06
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	11	$1.4K	2,036	1,419	+617	open	—	06-26 22:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$1.4K	6,920	6,920	+0	open	—	06-02 08:19
will trump say too big to rig at the nrcc dinner on march 25 922	5	$1.4K	719	719	+0	open	—	03-26 01:07
Will "Hantavirus" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	11	$1.4K	806	806	+0	open	—	06-03 17:04
will trump say obliterated or obliteration during the white house easter egg roll	7	$1.4K	811	743	+67	open	—	04-06 15:16
will trump be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 6	4	$1.3K	768	768	+0	open	—	04-09 02:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	6	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-13 16:33
will trump say hormuz during cabinet meeting on march 26	3	$1.2K	720	720	+0	open	—	03-26 15:20
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?	4	$1.2K	2,150	0	+2,150	open	—	04-18 13:14
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	7	$1.1K	641	641	+0	open	—	06-02 21:09
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$1.0K	713	712	+1	open	—	06-02 17:45
will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	5	$1.0K	548	548	+0	open	—	03-26 01:47
will trump say equipment during national agriculture day events	2	$974	497	497	+0	open	—	03-27 16:56
will trump say six seven during speech to the nation 20260713200621435	2	$914	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-16 23:17
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	27	$903	2,657	27	+2,631	open	—	05-20 16:19
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$895	500	500	+0	open	—	06-03 17:00
Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	6	$861	482	482	-0	open	—	06-02 21:09
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$822	493	492	+0	open	—	06-03 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:12:52	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x65ad40…
08-11 17:53:33	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x73ed67…
08-11 06:17:12	will trump say six seven this week 20260807162748311	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0181fe…
08-10 20:15:07	will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550026	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb88757…
08-10 19:35:04	will trump say kevin or warsh this week 20260807162748305	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x9d5e57…
08-10 19:34:58	will trump say kevin or warsh this week 20260807162748305	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x691e87…
08-10 14:32:30	will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550026	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x648a96…
08-10 14:13:40	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x98530d…
08-10 13:19:22	will leavitt say madness during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550021	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdf872b…
08-09 14:54:57	will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550026	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x04ee90…
08-09 14:16:21	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4ce8f4…
08-09 08:27:58	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x1d51af…
08-09 08:27:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xfdeb95…
08-09 08:27:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x3782e2…
08-09 08:27:42	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xb6ad38…
08-09 08:27:42	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x4a2f87…
08-09 08:27:40	will trump say no no no this week 20260807162748308	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xdb7bf4…
08-07 19:58:22	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172420403	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x3c40a0…
08-07 19:23:10	will trump say national security during friday roundtable 20260805211427279	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xc0a2ff…
08-07 19:15:49	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x310f7b…
08-07 19:13:09	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during friday roundtable 20260805211427284	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xad4f05…
08-07 08:53:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x1bfb86…
08-06 23:27:44	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x9d7e4b…
08-06 23:27:32	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during team usa reception 20260806140037186	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x86650e…
08-06 23:26:30	will trump say transgender during team usa reception 20260806140037187	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x552a9a…
08-06 23:25:54	will trump say transgender during team usa reception 20260806140037187	No	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x508b71…
08-06 23:24:18	will trump say oval office during team usa reception 20260806140037180	Yes	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0xd5cca2…
08-06 23:08:26	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x923ed2…
08-06 23:08:14	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x0e569a…
08-06 20:45:06	will trump say transgender during team usa reception 20260806140037187	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x064edf…
08-06 20:30:50	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	SELL	125	77¢	$96	0xc34290…
08-06 20:24:36	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during team usa reception 20260806140037186	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xc8b03d…
08-06 20:24:29	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during team usa reception 20260806140037186	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x25b909…
08-06 20:23:32	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during team usa reception 20260806140037186	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb36f39…
08-06 20:16:09	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x443c03…
08-06 20:14:53	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xd45658…
08-06 20:01:47	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xeb784c…
08-06 19:48:59	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x1d4cdb…
08-06 19:48:54	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0xaf6a9b…
08-06 19:48:44	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during team usa reception 20260806140037186	No	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0x824305…
08-06 19:18:15	will trump say team 15 times during team usa reception 20260806140037176	No	SELL	55	50¢	$28	0x848aa7…
08-06 17:59:02	will trump say transgender during team usa reception 20260806140037187	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x201446…
08-06 17:47:27	will trump say team 15 times during team usa reception 20260806140037176	No	BUY	55	26¢	$14	0x3865ad…
08-06 17:13:08	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb2b7b3…
08-06 17:11:21	will trump say china or chinese during team usa reception 20260806140037185	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xce7db9…
08-06 16:46:44	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x61531c…
08-05 22:00:11	will trump say trump derangement syndrome in august 20260728182325264	Yes	BUY	114	96¢	$110	0x60ffe5…
08-05 18:30:41	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172420403	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x481e47…
08-05 13:01:00	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550011	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x50059a…
08-03 18:28:54	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	SELL	106	68¢	$72	0xf4d163…
08-03 17:07:08	will trump say hell during his executive order signing 20260803134026615	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x3e9caf…
08-03 15:45:21	will trump say corrupt or corruption during his executive order signing 20260803134026613	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x4e3911…
08-03 15:44:53	will trump say corrupt or corruption during his executive order signing 20260803134026613	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x7932e8…
08-03 15:13:44	will trump say corrupt or corruption during his executive order signing 20260803134026613	No	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0x189592…
08-02 14:49:47	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xcd7925…
08-01 19:39:03	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550011	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xd784af…
08-01 17:20:06	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x4a87ce…
08-01 15:17:45	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550011	No	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x139014…
08-01 15:14:14	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550011	No	BUY	182	30¢	$55	0x3b48bb…
07-31 16:27:12	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x2ca85b…
07-31 16:27:05	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xdb40f5…
07-31 16:27:00	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x46be50…
07-31 16:23:38	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xef18b1…
07-31 15:50:54	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	No	SELL	78	60¢	$47	0x1dfc26…
07-31 15:44:50	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x8b4806…
07-31 15:31:15	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x8a5b99…
07-31 15:28:23	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260724154805096	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x99723b…
07-31 15:19:09	will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	No	SELL	92	63¢	$58	0x7098a1…
07-31 15:12:03	will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xc86f8b…
07-31 08:46:39	will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xbf41ee…
07-31 04:45:18	will trump say trump account this week 20260724154805105	No	BUY	291	27¢	$78	0x248b9e…
07-31 04:25:41	will trump say trump account this week 20260724154805105	No	BUY	146	12¢	$18	0x8284d4…
07-31 03:56:38	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260724154805096	No	BUY	250	89¢	$224	0xdb8b71…
07-30 23:03:27	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x2229c4…
07-30 21:31:24	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	BUY	173	28¢	$48	0x332b17…
07-30 21:29:59	will apple say sport during earnings call 20260727155548226	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd12332…
07-30 21:19:56	will apple say icloud during earnings call 20260727155548212	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x7eb2c8…
07-30 20:48:26	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xe5112e…
07-30 17:50:26	will trump say stock market during announcement on freedom haulers 20260730133922121	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x540c47…
07-30 15:37:54	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0xc99222…
07-30 15:23:51	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	No	BUY	531	30¢	$159	0x4ae2f7…
07-29 22:44:59	will trump say democrat during tele rallies 20260729141144272	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xd9d39c…
07-29 19:32:32	will trump say helicopter during announcement with the secretary of transportation 20260729142018031	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x206153…
07-29 19:09:33	will trump say train during announcement with the secretary of transportation 20260729142018027	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35f5b5…
07-29 19:05:54	will trump say airport during announcement with the secretary of transportation 20260729142018024	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1a35d…
07-29 09:59:56	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd89cc1…
07-28 18:43:19	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x06b27d…
07-28 18:42:16	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x64274c…
07-28 18:38:20	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x38f963…
07-28 18:38:19	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x625f3b…
07-28 18:38:19	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3c381c…
07-28 18:29:59	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc7917d…
07-28 18:16:38	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	SELL	67	80¢	$54	0x6c3a0b…
07-28 18:03:20	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	SELL	54	76¢	$41	0x5f2133…
07-28 17:45:28	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x34de6f…
07-28 17:00:07	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025069	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0xef364e…
07-28 16:18:56	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x5d5e51…
07-28 16:11:59	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	239	61¢	$146	0x26909d…
07-28 12:59:58	will paypal say regulation or regulator or regulatory during earnings call 20260724221739520	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc92a34…
07-28 12:55:25	will paypal say google during earnings call 20260724221739519	No	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0xaad44d…