Incomplete-Netsuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,347

lifetime

Volume

$186.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

40% 73% +$29

Crypto

34% 100% +$10

Politics

20% 50% +$2

Sports

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	75	$21.2K	14,002	14,002	+0	open	—	01-31 04:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	29	$7.1K	4,650	4,650	+0	open	—	02-08 16:02
btc updown 15m 1769986800	4	$6.4K	3,233	3,233	+0	open	—	02-01 23:11
nba sac mem 2026 02 23	5	$6.1K	3,446	3,446	+0	open	—	02-24 03:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	22	$5.2K	4,792	1,800	+2,992	open	—	02-28 11:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9pm et	114	$5.0K	2,568	2,568	+0	open	—	02-01 02:50
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	2	$4.1K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	02-25 00:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	14	$4.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-03 17:38
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$3.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	02-18 01:37
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	11	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-19 16:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-06 15:33
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$2.6K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	03-31 00:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$2.5K	1,477	1,477	+0	open	—	03-30 13:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$2.5K	1,602	1,602	+0	open	—	03-01 15:27
btc updown 15m 1769778000	86	$2.4K	1,364	1,360	+4	open	—	01-30 13:07
cbb uk ala 2026 01 03	2	$2.3K	1,178	1,178	+0	open	—	01-03 19:11
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	35	$2.2K	1,440	1,440	+0	open	—	01-18 14:22
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	4	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	01-03 14:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	40	$2.1K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	01-19 21:45
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	04-01 10:05
atp wendelk tu 2026 04 10	5	$1.5K	1,012	1,012	+0	open	—	04-11 15:17
btc updown 15m 1769781600	1	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	open	—	01-30 14:14
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	23	$1.4K	1,222	1,200	+22	open	—	02-19 05:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.4K	950	950	+0	open	—	03-01 21:33
btc updown 15m 1769737500	1	$1.4K	1,357	0	+1,357	open	—	01-30 01:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	14	$1.3K	2,199	2,199	+0	open	—	04-29 20:03
btc updown 15m 1769733900	1	$1.2K	1,194	0	+1,194	open	—	01-30 00:58
lal cel val 2026 01 03 cel	1	$1.1K	0	1,132	-1,132	open	—	01-03 15:03
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	15	$1.1K	634	634	+0	open	—	01-19 13:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-15 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 15:27:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xfff3b1…
07-18 14:44:13	btc updown 5m 1784385600	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x72f108…
07-18 14:43:46	btc updown 5m 1784385600	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xae83b9…
07-12 13:36:28	mlb mil pit 2026 07 12 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x22df60…
07-11 14:51:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd7ebff…
07-10 16:08:14	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4335de…
07-10 12:18:56	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa4eab8…
07-10 12:06:38	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdaec67…
07-09 21:43:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x670588…
07-09 18:31:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lautaro martinez gte1	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x066643…
07-09 12:11:17	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x382b2e…
07-07 23:51:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa99c9e…
07-07 22:17:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5ff379…
07-07 11:20:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfeaff6…
07-06 12:51:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x26413b…
07-05 14:45:46	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6cdbdc…
07-05 14:45:08	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals julian quinones gte1	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf87055…
07-04 21:29:08	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x82b4bb…
07-04 09:20:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x994ead…
07-03 13:06:02	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xea7d70…
07-02 14:25:38	btc updown 5m 1783002300	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4cf6be…
07-02 14:25:16	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x818e2f…
07-02 14:19:32	btc updown 5m 1783002000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x66864d…
07-01 22:15:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts first half	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xd43641…
07-01 22:11:28	btc updown 5m 1782943800	Up	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xe70294…
07-01 21:35:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc34a35…
07-01 19:28:53	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa5b68f…
07-01 18:08:53	wta alexand tararud 2026 07 01	Ekaterina Alexandrova	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0x9edcb1…
07-01 17:50:41	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xbcbcd1…
07-01 17:27:40	wta alexand tararud 2026 07 01	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x755e2b…
07-01 17:25:08	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0x5bb962…
07-01 17:14:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x362538…
07-01 17:13:40	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0xd06c03…
07-01 17:13:22	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Under	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xa7edb1…
07-01 17:08:32	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x73ff3a…
07-01 15:24:01	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x561e10…
07-01 13:42:19	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4a5f25…
07-01 13:21:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts first half	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x0372dd…
06-30 23:33:59	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xbdba60…
06-30 20:41:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf0175d…
06-30 13:20:52	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xcfc234…
06-30 00:29:23	btc updown 5m 1782779400	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x61261a…
06-30 00:25:37	btc updown 5m 1782779100	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1bb35a…
06-30 00:24:59	btc updown 5m 1782779100	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x88b1cc…
06-30 00:21:20	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x428853…
06-30 00:20:23	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Down	SELL	39	56¢	$22	0x7c09ca…
06-30 00:19:05	btc updown 5m 1782778500	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7caa23…
06-30 00:18:46	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7d981f…
06-30 00:16:23	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x3e89a5…
06-30 00:15:41	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe87844…
06-30 00:11:35	btc updown 5m 1782778200	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x427b90…
06-30 00:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782778200	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf1772a…
06-30 00:06:28	btc updown 5m 1782777900	Down	SELL	66	78¢	$51	0x6f478f…
06-30 00:06:11	btc updown 5m 1782777900	Down	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x33cba9…
06-30 00:04:28	btc updown 5m 1782777600	Up	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0x478c1c…
06-30 00:03:32	btc updown 5m 1782777600	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x255575…
06-29 23:59:37	btc updown 5m 1782777300	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x24b5c0…
06-29 23:58:05	btc updown 5m 1782777300	Down	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0x44a90b…
06-29 23:57:47	btc updown 5m 1782777300	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x72a746…
06-29 23:57:25	btc updown 5m 1782777300	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4a370b…
06-29 23:53:59	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Down	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0x1d0263…
06-29 23:53:35	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Up	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0x4ece5a…
06-29 23:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe79ca4…
06-29 23:52:05	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Down	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x4fd075…
06-29 23:50:28	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x68a7f5…
06-29 23:50:16	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xbdc91b…
06-29 23:47:10	btc updown 5m 1782776700	Down	SELL	56	17¢	$9	0x1dd64e…
06-29 23:45:43	btc updown 5m 1782776700	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd2d57a…
06-29 23:43:50	btc updown 5m 1782776400	Up	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0x9f7435…
06-29 23:40:34	btc updown 5m 1782776400	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xd3951b…
06-29 23:35:01	btc updown 5m 1782776100	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x705aba…
06-29 23:29:26	btc updown 5m 1782775500	Down	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0xeaec6d…
06-29 23:25:26	btc updown 5m 1782775500	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf3cea6…
06-29 23:19:41	btc updown 5m 1782774900	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9302bf…
06-29 23:11:29	btc updown 5m 1782774600	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x986620…
06-29 23:11:02	btc updown 5m 1782774600	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc58d5c…
06-29 23:09:58	btc updown 5m 1782774300	Down	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x646eb7…
06-29 23:06:52	btc updown 5m 1782774300	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x48827c…
06-29 23:06:14	btc updown 5m 1782774300	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x88e0a5…
06-29 23:03:01	btc updown 5m 1782774000	Down	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xb310c4…
06-29 23:02:29	btc updown 5m 1782774000	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x579145…
06-29 23:01:38	btc updown 5m 1782774000	Up	SELL	78	66¢	$52	0xf02563…
06-29 23:00:05	btc updown 5m 1782774000	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x7f4246…
06-29 22:57:10	btc updown 5m 1782773700	Up	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x2e69f5…
06-29 22:55:32	btc updown 5m 1782773700	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa6aeb0…
06-29 22:54:04	btc updown 5m 1782773400	Up	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xb884a5…
06-29 22:52:28	btc updown 5m 1782773400	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe9cab8…
06-29 22:51:32	btc updown 5m 1782773400	Down	SELL	160	75¢	$120	0x198712…
06-29 22:50:17	btc updown 5m 1782773400	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x58fb5a…
06-29 22:45:26	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x217ae3…
06-29 22:45:13	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb6bbeb…
06-29 22:43:46	btc updown 5m 1782772800	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc88442…
06-29 22:36:29	btc updown 5m 1782772500	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5ea148…
06-29 22:32:35	btc updown 5m 1782772200	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xd3d1d7…
06-29 22:26:28	btc updown 5m 1782771900	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x83180d…
06-29 22:22:44	btc updown 5m 1782771600	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x89f62f…
06-29 22:20:04	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf11c60…
06-29 22:19:25	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x851723…
06-29 22:18:14	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	SELL	75	43¢	$32	0x8cd194…
06-29 22:16:55	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xf41f1c…