Dear-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 32% $-5

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-15 04:22
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	+$10	05-13 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$2	109	0	+109	open	—	05-15 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-14 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-14 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-14 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-14 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-14 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-14 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-14 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9e9eb9…
05-15 04:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x82ee5c…
05-15 04:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x390fb6…
05-15 04:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x156377…
05-15 04:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x20650a…
05-15 04:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf19501…
05-15 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3ef799…
05-15 04:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b09c3…
05-15 04:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc20844…
05-15 04:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdd4ccd…
05-15 03:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8163cb…
05-15 03:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x242f9f…
05-15 03:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84ea5a…
05-15 03:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe8ff3…
05-15 03:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x638877…
05-15 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc6087…
05-15 03:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf643f9…
05-15 03:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdecf36…
05-15 03:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f98c3…
05-14 04:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb57fdb…
05-14 04:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb1e27f…
05-14 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe46293…
05-14 04:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x46ae8b…
05-14 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x61261e…
05-14 04:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x36bb86…
05-14 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa997e2…
05-14 04:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x807733…
05-14 04:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd57445…
05-14 04:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e134c…
05-14 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcfcade…
05-14 03:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7c86e4…
05-14 03:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd8a153…
05-14 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cb7ac…
05-14 03:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1cf738…
05-14 03:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfbf9b9…
05-14 03:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd869f6…
05-14 03:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2fe197…
05-14 03:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa014a5…
05-14 02:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xacfa74…
05-14 02:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7f0a89…
05-14 01:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa4a7bc…
05-14 01:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x165b61…
05-14 01:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5dae41…
05-14 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xba9be1…
05-14 00:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x414d7c…
05-14 00:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbda012…
05-14 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2af4af…
05-14 00:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83a347…
05-14 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x494114…
05-14 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x420948…
05-14 00:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x754d0b…
05-14 00:14:06	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4779cb…
05-14 00:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6aadb…
05-14 00:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf6e9a…
05-14 00:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0548f2…
05-13 23:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4cdb0a…
05-13 23:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x02b560…
05-13 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb24b32…
05-13 23:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbbc130…
05-13 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x327a54…
05-13 23:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xad122f…
05-13 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfc9a63…
05-13 23:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27faca…
05-13 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd839f2…
05-13 23:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x459ca0…
05-13 23:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x421608…
05-13 23:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfff07f…
05-13 22:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x772148…
05-13 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcb67f0…
05-13 22:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe82b6c…
05-13 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65ddc4…
05-13 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xca19cf…