Dear-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

19 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$22

$22 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	Up	$-0	05-13 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	+$10	05-13 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-14 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-14 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-14 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-14 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-14 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-13 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-14 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-14 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-14 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-14 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3ef799…
05-15 04:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b09c3…
05-15 03:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdecf36…
05-14 04:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb57fdb…
05-14 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x61261e…
05-14 04:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e134c…
05-14 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcfcade…
05-14 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cb7ac…
05-14 03:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1cf738…
05-14 03:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa014a5…
05-14 02:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7f0a89…
05-14 01:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x165b61…
05-14 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2af4af…
05-14 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x494114…
05-13 23:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x02b560…
05-13 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb24b32…
05-13 23:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27faca…
05-13 23:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x421608…
05-13 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65ddc4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$4.69K	162	05-15 04:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$3.71K	312	05-15 04:13
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	18	$2.40K	98	05-15 04:13
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$2.29K	91	05-15 04:13
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$1.94K	162	05-15 04:13
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	18	$1.44K	95	05-15 04:13
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	18	$862	98	05-15 04:10
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	17	$1.42K	49	05-15 04:13