Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

918

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-08 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 67% +$29

Other

36% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	6	$798	529	500	+29	open	—	02-28 19:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	9	$756	414	412	+1	open	—	03-06 07:21
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	33	$705	890	880	+10	open	—	01-23 16:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	24	$493	460	459	+1	open	—	03-23 11:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$334	250	250	+0	open	—	03-01 00:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$279	200	199	+1	open	—	03-09 15:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$261	150	149	+1	open	—	03-09 13:05
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	9	$235	230	99	+131	open	—	04-07 14:55
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	17	$225	487	487	+0	open	—	01-23 14:14
iran strike on israel by january 31	9	$222	400	350	+50	open	—	01-31 06:36
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	12	$222	391	190	+200	open	—	04-24 15:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$214	200	199	+1	open	—	03-09 01:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$212	159	158	+1	open	—	02-28 06:25
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	15	$196	174	174	+0	open	—	01-31 14:09
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 16:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	6	$190	190	189	+1	open	—	03-01 02:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$189	403	286	+117	open	—	03-31 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	12	$173	410	0	+410	open	—	01-16 16:48
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$172	100	99	+1	open	—	02-28 06:28
will xrp dip to 1pt6 in january 2026	17	$166	115	115	+0	open	—	01-31 17:08
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility	9	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	01-17 06:33
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$164	100	99	+1	open	—	02-28 06:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	19	$162	229	229	+0	open	—	01-27 15:28
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$161	80	130	-50	open	—	03-05 17:18
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	7	$154	207	157	+50	open	—	01-16 16:48
nothing ever happens january 581	7	$153	228	107	+121	open	—	01-30 16:34
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$149	90	90	+0	open	—	04-07 14:08
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	24	$139	3,400	1,561	+1,839	open	—	03-12 01:34
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	9	$139	110	110	+0	open	—	03-01 04:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:05:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcaa112…
05-08 11:55:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x47788c…
05-08 11:37:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf1b811…
05-08 11:37:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x8a3614…
05-08 11:07:53	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xcb0155…
05-08 11:04:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x225eb8…
05-06 15:53:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x3915aa…
05-06 15:19:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x45c740…
05-06 15:19:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x39c089…
05-06 10:49:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	37	24¢	$9	0x63883f…
05-06 10:49:30	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xc18544…
05-06 10:48:48	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xe112f4…
05-06 10:48:02	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xe721b8…
05-06 10:48:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x3cb154…
05-06 10:10:42	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x75b1ea…
05-06 10:10:16	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe7dc36…
05-06 02:44:20	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0x234c20…
05-06 02:44:14	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe815f8…
05-05 17:03:38	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x23126c…
05-05 16:21:02	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x17fb5f…
05-05 16:20:08	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe033e5…
05-05 16:12:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3d0646…
04-24 15:32:20	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4aab4a…
04-24 07:13:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x514c78…
04-21 13:16:30	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	95	80¢	$76	0x9d261a…
04-16 14:08:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x40d833…
04-07 14:55:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0xce2812…
04-07 14:08:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$89	0x188344…
04-01 09:11:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4e2eb2…
04-01 01:44:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa737f2…
04-01 01:44:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x76b737…
03-31 01:11:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	210	4¢	$8	0x6184f2…
03-31 00:18:49	will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xaf731d…
03-29 18:40:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0xa68657…
03-26 03:04:25	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	220	2¢	$5	0xb458bd…
03-25 18:45:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x314fef…
03-25 07:43:17	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xd0e8e4…
03-25 07:42:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xe05b1c…
03-25 02:42:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3a1eef…
03-25 02:41:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc35931…
03-25 01:33:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfce452…
03-25 01:32:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa3fc40…
03-25 01:32:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcddffb…
03-23 14:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xe4b5c9…
03-23 14:47:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xf6f3fa…
03-23 11:12:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	110	24¢	$26	0x0e2f60…
03-21 21:44:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xee1faf…
03-21 20:43:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x9681b0…
03-21 20:43:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x31c8a6…
03-21 17:10:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0x8df72d…
03-21 17:08:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xff0372…
03-21 17:08:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc31ae0…
03-21 17:07:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x36d7c8…
03-21 17:07:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xd0c671…
03-21 17:07:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xd0c3ef…
03-21 17:07:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xeb25e2…
03-21 17:07:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x2eaa55…
03-21 17:07:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0x0aff1e…
03-21 16:58:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0d4623…
03-21 16:48:03	will sweden join the board of peace	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x06df03…
03-21 16:47:55	will the netherlands join the board of peace	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc5f34c…
03-21 16:47:49	will france join the board of peace	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5370e7…
03-21 16:47:27	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x088638…
03-21 16:41:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x37a68b…
03-20 21:48:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xd366e9…
03-20 19:40:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x9281c8…
03-20 16:34:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x167ac7…
03-20 13:28:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8cb553…
03-20 00:14:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x75a42d…
03-19 01:16:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x31144e…
03-19 01:15:17	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x381088…
03-18 17:06:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x6394db…
03-18 17:01:05	hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x637438…
03-18 14:36:51	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd10176…
03-17 16:38:25	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3519f1…
03-16 22:39:13	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x159560…
03-16 22:36:29	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	37¢	$21	0x04a9ca…
03-16 14:26:03	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6cf1d7…
03-16 09:19:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0x948024…
03-14 19:53:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x1a9e3c…
03-14 09:24:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	76	48¢	$36	0xaee510…
03-14 04:32:33	north korea missile test by march 31 472	Yes	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x0e32d8…
03-14 04:31:45	north korea missile test by march 31 472	Yes	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0xd0e7f4…
03-13 23:12:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xfe2c2c…
03-13 22:21:03	will the netherlands join the board of peace	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8b94f…
03-13 17:13:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x2a9234…
03-13 17:11:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x818e24…
03-13 15:35:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0xcfe4e5…
03-13 15:04:35	will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xc4d70b…
03-12 22:37:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd385b2…
03-12 22:07:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x58e4fc…
03-12 21:27:55	will sweden join the board of peace	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe98526…
03-12 21:09:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x13a251…
03-12 18:03:29	will france join the board of peace	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6eada0…
03-12 16:07:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa2ce79…
03-12 15:24:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x830368…
03-12 15:22:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x122aef…
03-12 15:05:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x34a0df…
03-12 15:04:49	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc18073…
03-12 13:13:33	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x6639eb…