Jolly-Badger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-07 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

28% 100% +$0

Politics

28% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	6	$268	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	05-20 17:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$137	336	336	+0	open	—	05-07 10:47
btc updown 5m 1771775700	11	$93	130	130	+0	open	—	02-22 15:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$81	11,510	11,510	+0	open	—	05-29 01:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$77	14,067	14,067	+0	open	—	02-03 14:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$72	41	41	+0	open	—	05-14 15:39
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	02-19 13:55
btc updown 5m 1771777500	5	$54	74	20	+54	open	—	02-22 16:29
btc updown 5m 1771774200	1	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 15:34
btc updown 5m 1771776900	2	$48	110	0	+110	open	—	02-22 16:15
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	03-27 12:32
btc updown 5m 1771775100	1	$42	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	02-22 15:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$40	24	19	+5	open	—	05-29 01:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 17:13
will hamas agree to disarm by february 28	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-22 16:28
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$36	88	19	+69	open	—	02-10 17:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 12:28
btc updown 5m 1771776300	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-22 16:07
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$29	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 18:27
btc updown 5m 1774614900	1	$23	2,291	0	+2,291	open	—	03-27 12:38
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	4	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	04-23 18:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$18	320	320	+0	No	$-1	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 13:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 10:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 10:15
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$9	9,120	0	+9,120	open	—	04-14 08:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 08:49
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 11:02:34	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa4f7c9…
06-05 23:06:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x863ee5…
06-05 23:00:00	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x257934…
06-05 19:42:48	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9b4d26…
06-04 16:53:57	btc updown 5m 1780591800	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x0a2a20…
06-04 16:53:16	btc updown 5m 1780591800	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4073b9…
05-31 10:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf7d3f2…
05-31 10:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf383d1…
05-31 10:14:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd9fff8…
05-29 11:45:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdb6bfd…
05-29 11:44:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	390	0¢	$1	0xcf647f…
05-29 01:38:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8ee412…
05-29 01:38:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	358	0¢	$2	0x2bff07…
05-29 01:38:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xb5d6ed…
05-29 01:35:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	5,710	0¢	$6	0x338cf5…
05-28 11:38:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5,710	0¢	$17	0xfb2a47…
05-28 09:39:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x0654f0…
05-28 06:30:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x022c66…
05-28 00:03:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	5,800	0¢	$17	0xfc2141…
05-27 13:18:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	995	1¢	$7	0xefb6d2…
05-27 13:17:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x33cd28…
05-27 13:15:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	4,803	1¢	$34	0x90b663…
05-20 17:13:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x30bd49…
05-20 17:12:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	819	5¢	$39	0x779003…
05-20 16:27:25	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	819	10¢	$83	0x3ed62c…
05-20 09:58:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	347	11¢	$38	0x13bb6c…
05-20 09:56:42	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	347	16¢	$55	0x6bafa2…
05-14 18:27:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	53	25¢	$14	0xec1c14…
05-14 17:52:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x6b8d19…
05-14 15:39:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x3b37f9…
05-14 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb5e464…
05-14 13:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x68193d…
05-14 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8e3e3f…
05-14 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa0341d…
05-14 13:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2cc73b…
05-14 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0268c4…
05-14 13:20:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe8ee29…
05-13 14:06:15	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	184	12¢	$22	0xd42fba…
05-13 13:23:13	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	184	16¢	$30	0x595659…
05-09 05:33:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xf7853e…
05-07 10:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	36	93¢	$34	0x82f179…
05-07 06:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xafbad5…
05-06 11:48:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$31	0xe2909a…
05-06 11:47:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	269	12¢	$33	0x671b2b…
05-06 11:45:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x2ff5d3…
05-05 22:20:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	SELL	320	3¢	$8	0x66825a…
05-05 22:19:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	320	3¢	$10	0xb48745…
05-05 22:07:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xfc52d1…
05-03 12:28:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x65f5ed…
05-03 09:33:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x732937…
04-25 12:53:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8d7152…
04-23 18:42:52	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8b7eb7…
04-23 18:40:46	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x29b157…
04-23 09:03:56	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xa11354…
04-23 08:54:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x1510be…
04-23 08:52:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5aa84b…
04-23 08:49:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc41b3f…
04-23 07:48:24	btc updown 5m 1776930300	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe142b4…
04-23 07:45:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x27dc88…
04-22 17:50:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x966883…
04-22 17:50:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa93505…
04-22 17:49:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x72d32a…
04-21 07:13:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x99654b…
04-21 07:12:44	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x9fe975…
04-20 09:45:00	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xa53b7f…
04-20 09:20:34	btc updown 5m 1776676500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedf05b…
04-20 09:19:06	btc updown 5m 1776676500	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73176e…
04-14 08:24:55	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9,120	0¢	$9	0xf9884c…
03-27 12:38:49	btc updown 5m 1774614900	Down	BUY	2,291	1¢	$23	0x12f499…
03-27 12:32:21	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x864046…
03-23 20:42:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x06fb62…
03-23 19:01:01	btc updown 5m 1774292400	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x51e0ce…
02-22 16:29:14	btc updown 5m 1771777500	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xaf8ed5…
02-22 16:28:34	will hamas agree to disarm by february 28	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x7546a8…
02-22 16:28:18	btc updown 5m 1771777500	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xbe10fb…
02-22 16:26:42	btc updown 5m 1771777500	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcf08a2…
02-22 16:26:20	btc updown 5m 1771777500	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x1a114c…
02-22 16:25:42	btc updown 5m 1771777500	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc6c130…
02-22 16:15:38	btc updown 5m 1771776900	Down	BUY	76	44¢	$33	0x347994…
02-22 16:15:28	btc updown 5m 1771776900	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x40da48…
02-22 16:07:04	btc updown 5m 1771776300	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe70264…
02-22 15:57:46	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	SELL	130	22¢	$28	0xc019c2…
02-22 15:57:00	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xfd617e…
02-22 15:57:00	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf89fa…
02-22 15:57:00	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa39430…
02-22 15:57:00	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4477e2…
02-22 15:57:00	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3b0e85…
02-22 15:56:58	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc66fa8…
02-22 15:56:58	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab8dcc…
02-22 15:56:58	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x944bd1…
02-22 15:56:58	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x7e85c7…
02-22 15:56:58	btc updown 5m 1771775700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2737c8…
02-22 15:51:00	btc updown 5m 1771775100	Up	BUY	4,200	1¢	$42	0x7a66b2…
02-22 15:46:04	btc updown 5m 1771774800	Up	BUY	7,700	0¢	$8	0x2a5201…
02-22 15:34:06	btc updown 5m 1771774200	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7f9e27…
02-19 13:55:42	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x0e8818…
02-10 17:48:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0x122e68…
02-10 17:41:11	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xcb7345…
02-04 21:55:47	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xe53c46…
02-03 21:47:30	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xba1d74…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	24	$276.5K	4,423	05-31 17:50
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	23	$7.29M	8,857	06-01 02:03
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	23	$44.4K	625	06-07 05:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	23	$13.4K	317	06-06 06:30
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$44.6K	186	06-04 19:32
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	21	$15.0K	1,347	05-29 18:49
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	20	$6.07K	323	06-03 21:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	20	$5.32K	940	06-07 05:01