Likable-Sorghum-Armament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

-$502

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$647

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-01 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$33

Other

19% — —

Crypto

18% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-692	$-145	94¢	$-647	$-502	06-01 16:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$668	929	521	+408	open	—	05-25 21:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$611	398	398	+0	open	—	05-25 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	1	$500	510	0	+510	No	+$10	05-10 01:48
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	4	$428	351	351	+0	open	—	05-17 01:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$145	0	692	-692	open	—	06-01 16:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$120	135	0	+135	open	—	05-07 05:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$100	133	0	+133	No	+$33	05-04 23:15
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$91	219	219	+0	open	—	05-12 13:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$52	0	158	-158	open	—	06-01 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:13:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	33¢	$52	0x5712d7…
06-01 16:13:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	692	21¢	$145	0xbbe177…
05-25 21:14:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x2c6ac5…
05-25 21:05:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	521	36¢	$188	0x1e8fc6…
05-25 20:57:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	38¢	$198	0x03657c…
05-25 20:29:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	398	88¢	$351	0xb3ab37…
05-17 01:37:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	14¢	$25	0x8ea14a…
05-15 06:52:29	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	59¢	$104	0x893da7…
05-12 13:39:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	219	14¢	$31	0xd25c29…
05-12 01:18:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	27¢	$60	0xe77216…
05-10 23:20:29	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0xaae5ba…
05-10 23:20:29	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0x5fbada…
05-10 01:48:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xe0cf9a…
05-09 22:01:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	296	71¢	$210	0x9c22af…
05-07 05:17:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0xb6cca8…
05-07 05:16:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x7aa06c…
05-04 23:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xaeae65…
05-04 23:13:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x147164…