Recent-Philosophy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

5,584

lifetime

Volume

$232.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-09 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-120

Sports

44% 57% +$264

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	12	$13.5K	7,610	8,610	-1,000	open	—	04-28 17:27
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	71	$11.2K	8,004	8,004	+0	open	—	03-26 13:16
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	21	$9.4K	9,900	9,900	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$57	05-13 17:14
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	49	$8.6K	7,000	7,000	+0	Spurs	+$50	05-12 14:22
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	8	$8.0K	8,000	7,993	+7	open	—	03-28 19:22
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	5	$6.4K	5,000	6,000	-1,000	open	—	03-26 18:55
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	33	$6.0K	5,733	6,129	-395	open	—	03-23 00:35
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	38	$5.5K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	05-18 22:35
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	15	$4.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-27 20:23
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	15	$4.7K	5,317	3,785	+1,532	Atlanta Braves	$-699	05-12 15:27
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	15	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-22 15:41
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	22	$4.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-27 11:53
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	21	$4.1K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	04-26 18:23
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	4	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-20 23:09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	23	$3.5K	2,744	4,490	-1,746	open	—	05-15 21:01
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	48	$3.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	05-14 15:39
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	20	$3.4K	3,502	3,502	+0	open	—	05-31 14:00
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	4	$3.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-23 00:35
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	19	$3.3K	3,240	3,240	+0	open	—	05-15 22:53
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$3.3K	2,800	4,800	-2,000	Cleveland Guardians	+$880	05-12 12:46
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	4	$3.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-29 15:31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	22	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-120	05-13 12:18
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	3	$3.3K	1,988	3,688	-1,700	open	—	05-14 15:39
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	13	$3.0K	2,538	5,003	-2,466	open	—	05-31 18:12
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	13	$2.8K	2,836	2,534	+302	open	—	05-31 12:27
nba cle mem 2026 04 06 spread away 13pt5	14	$2.8K	2,848	2,848	+0	open	—	04-06 19:34
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	89	$2.8K	2,657	2,657	+0	open	—	05-15 13:44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	9	$2.7K	2,863	2,863	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	$-17	05-13 01:37
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	40	$2.7K	2,573	2,723	-150	open	—	05-20 00:31
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	21	$2.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	Athletics	$-10	05-13 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 18:59:52	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	SELL	414	2¢	$9	0x57dd7a…
08-05 14:21:06	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	SELL	118	11¢	$13	0xec41e3…
08-05 14:20:56	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	SELL	89	11¢	$10	0x7ed98d…
08-05 11:20:42	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	321	65¢	$209	0x36d4a4…
08-05 09:19:29	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	207	35¢	$72	0xf0a26c…
08-05 03:43:59	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x5efbbc…
08-05 03:12:23	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x78f39c…
08-05 01:03:39	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x3d2e9a…
08-05 00:44:41	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x63e69c…
08-05 00:12:42	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xe3df3b…
08-05 00:12:41	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x3c056e…
08-05 00:12:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0xb90f63…
08-05 00:12:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0xb90f63…
08-04 23:53:32	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x1c0b8e…
08-04 23:52:41	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x8eb0a1…
08-04 23:52:20	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0xb74985…
08-04 23:51:53	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x9f3870…
08-04 23:51:51	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe586a2…
08-04 23:51:50	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0xc7b684…
08-04 23:34:42	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x40b4cf…
08-04 23:20:38	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x2ea89c…
08-04 23:05:30	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x16162d…
08-04 22:47:42	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd072d6…
08-04 22:47:42	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3ec7b7…
08-04 22:47:41	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	44	89¢	$40	0x679cb3…
08-04 22:47:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0x22e1ed…
08-04 21:51:35	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x7697e8…
08-04 21:46:17	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x4cc947…
08-04 21:35:54	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0x56fb3c…
08-04 21:35:27	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x389bb0…
08-04 21:24:14	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x5bec0c…
08-04 21:08:54	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	69	31¢	$21	0x438c04…
08-04 21:08:54	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x438c04…
08-04 21:08:29	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x934a41…
08-04 21:01:54	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x6c2830…
08-04 21:00:53	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x2e8eef…
08-04 20:59:23	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6341b2…
08-04 20:58:36	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x425812…
08-04 20:56:56	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x4faa45…
08-04 20:56:20	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x334c09…
08-04 20:56:15	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	Yes	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x3c1189…
08-04 20:55:44	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0x275dc4…
08-04 20:55:18	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa9e32d…
08-04 20:55:18	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x43d46d…
08-04 20:55:17	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0x878c53…
08-04 20:55:11	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xb6207d…
08-04 20:54:24	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x80f639…
08-04 20:42:53	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x3637d1…
08-04 20:41:26	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0x5f8fa1…
08-04 20:35:47	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x256fc1…
08-04 20:34:09	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xc12944…
08-04 20:28:18	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x6bd434…
08-04 20:28:15	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0x4a2043…
08-04 20:23:02	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0x999c7f…
07-17 16:23:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	80	53¢	$43	0x2caee8…
07-17 12:26:40	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4c773…
07-17 11:28:01	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3f70c4…
07-17 09:00:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xd17158…
07-17 08:59:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	69	57¢	$39	0xbdfc6d…
07-10 04:57:41	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x49a74b…
07-10 04:57:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$11	0xabb95c…
07-10 04:57:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x026893…
07-09 10:03:37	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x9b3282…
07-09 09:34:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xab6797…
07-09 09:11:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0xdbdd61…
07-08 12:35:02	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	105	64¢	$67	0x94dc83…
07-08 12:21:04	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xb6c38a…
07-08 12:21:04	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	105	64¢	$67	0xb6c38a…
07-08 12:10:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x7edd80…
07-08 12:01:14	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x07bc96…
07-08 11:49:52	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	181	67¢	$122	0x88e7d2…
07-08 11:45:20	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0xa17e69…
07-08 10:27:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x524aa8…
07-08 09:20:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8a9ae1…
07-08 08:49:49	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x187e48…
07-08 08:47:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xc53651…
07-08 08:47:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0ba43c…
07-08 08:47:29	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x80adf9…
07-08 05:16:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0xa57043…
07-08 05:05:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x3c434e…
07-08 05:00:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x584f8d…
07-08 04:59:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x8478a4…
07-08 04:59:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xc0084a…
07-08 04:54:34	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xb2c5bc…
07-08 04:54:32	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xd93bd6…
07-08 04:54:32	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x0ea61b…
07-08 04:54:31	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	69	78¢	$54	0xb431e9…
07-08 04:53:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xb236bb…
07-08 04:53:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x45b56a…
07-08 04:53:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa58942…
07-08 04:52:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x7ed5ab…
07-08 04:52:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x10f83f…
07-08 04:52:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x8fc447…
07-08 04:52:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0x56ef26…
07-08 04:45:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x73e12a…
07-07 15:34:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	No	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0xdc8435…
07-07 15:33:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	207	18¢	$37	0x3735cc…
07-07 15:32:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	87	16¢	$14	0x2ff130…
07-07 15:27:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x55b22f…
07-07 15:26:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5a06cb…