Aching-Junket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$220

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-12 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$1

Politics

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+338	$247	8¢	$27	$-220	06-12 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$304	156	156	+0	open	—	05-28 07:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$247	338	0	+338	open	—	06-12 06:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$190	235	0	+235	open	—	05-28 07:22
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	01-06 04:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	01-29 14:19
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	01-17 08:15
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	01-11 09:12
will wicked for good win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$47	0	47	-47	open	—	01-17 08:13
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$46	0	46	-46	open	—	01-06 04:33
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 05:33
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	02-11 01:52
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	03-07 04:11
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	05-28 07:21
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$-0	02-04 05:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	05-11 02:01
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-06 05:34
will kristen kish win the traitors us season 4	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-26 05:11
will the life of a showgirl by taylor swift be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 21	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-11 01:53
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-11 02:02
nvda close above 165 on march 25 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 09:35
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$10	0	3,200	-3,200	open	—	01-17 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:29:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	338	73¢	$247	0x25a108…
05-28 07:22:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x78c7cd…
05-28 07:21:56	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x4d0f33…
05-28 07:21:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	198	81¢	$160	0x9f95f4…
05-28 07:21:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0xfeb0ff…
05-23 06:14:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xea4d4a…
05-11 02:02:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd35cff…
05-11 02:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf2d50c…
04-06 05:34:03	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1344c7…
04-06 05:33:01	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xe07698…
03-31 07:34:25	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xdc6576…
03-25 09:35:05	nvda close above 165 on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fe61b…
03-07 04:11:43	Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x94b41b…
02-26 05:11:44	will kristen kish win the traitors us season 4	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5e63e9…
02-11 01:53:23	will the life of a showgirl by taylor swift be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d399e…
02-11 01:52:59	Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x81f6f1…
02-04 05:51:18	Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x5cf9c8…
02-04 05:49:44	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x463224…
01-29 14:19:30	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x71cb62…
01-21 10:44:24	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7a08e9…
01-17 08:15:34	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xcc61d1…
01-17 08:14:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3,200	0¢	$10	0x371f28…
01-17 08:13:14	will wicked for good win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xff6a81…
01-11 09:12:26	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xae48ad…
01-06 04:34:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2c2434…
01-06 04:33:53	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0ca631…