Doting-Mess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-04 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

58% 52% -$46

Other

41% 40% +$49

Crypto

0% 31% -$8

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$5.2K	3,088	3,088	+0	No	$0	03-24 00:00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 17:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$2.0K	2,778	2,778	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 00:39
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$339	233	162	+72	No	+$11	03-31 21:56
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$164	133	85	+48	No	+$12	03-31 18:20
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$152	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:10
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	6	$141	149	150	-1	No	+$0	04-09 13:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	3	$132	100	100	+0	Yes	+$12	06-22 17:42
Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?	2	$91	50	50	+0	Yes	+$8	06-23 17:16
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$66	100	0	+100	Yes	+$34	06-16 18:37
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	3	$51	123	0	+123	Yes	-$1	02-25 15:42
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-27 09:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$39	46	45	+2	No	+$1	03-31 18:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	07-10 17:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$27	167	0	+167	No	-$27	05-18 09:23
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	1	$22	100	0	+100	No	-$22	06-16 18:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$21	238	238	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 20:23
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-13 15:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 17:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$20	14	14	+0	No	+$6	01-27 16:23
Ben Pasternak jailed?	14	$14	32	562	-530	open	—	10-04 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:15 UTC	2	$14	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	02-17 18:18
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$13	5,100	0	+5,100	Yes	-$13	09-21 09:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 5c	2	$12	25	0	+25	Yes	+$13	02-18 12:54
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 15:25
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-06 21:48
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	02-13 16:52
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	02-15 23:33
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	03-31 17:34
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	03-06 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 15:05:56	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x3759dd…
09-21 09:06:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x51176f…
09-21 09:05:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$5	0xa691c7…
09-21 09:05:23	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0a9fe4…
09-21 09:05:12	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb61586…
09-21 09:05:00	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeeee8b…
09-21 09:04:47	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43edea…
09-21 09:04:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x51a76e…
09-21 09:04:05	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb3b7aa…
09-21 09:03:53	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x986cb2…
09-21 09:03:38	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb59483…
09-06 14:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe0883c…
09-06 14:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9fd2f4…
09-06 14:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xaca42e…
08-09 22:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xf141b3…
08-09 22:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc11a7c…
08-01 13:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2c79e0…
07-30 17:36:53	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x5f956f…
07-10 17:16:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x02d258…
07-09 19:45:17	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xa8e58c…
06-23 17:41:52	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x629ab2…
06-23 17:39:46	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	408	0¢	$0	0x69a290…
06-23 17:39:43	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	592	0¢	$1	0xccf11b…
06-23 17:38:47	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x35509c…
06-23 17:38:22	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x33f3d8…
06-23 17:38:20	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0xcdf42c…
06-23 17:35:43	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x3c0733…
06-23 17:32:22	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x23b233…
06-23 17:30:44	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x842bfd…
06-23 17:28:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0xda3960…
06-23 17:26:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x75d18e…
06-23 17:16:05	Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcd81e0…
06-23 16:55:53	Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xe8c499…
06-22 17:42:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x7ad953…
06-22 17:33:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x8df92e…
06-22 17:27:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xaa1496…
06-16 18:37:46	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xc5c77d…
06-16 18:37:16	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xdff311…
06-11 02:59:03	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x38e53b…
06-09 15:23:43	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x5bff5f…
06-09 15:23:30	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xd220ff…
06-09 15:01:13	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2898af…
06-09 13:57:42	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x05cf2f…
06-09 13:57:37	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$3	0x16ca0c…
06-09 13:57:31	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x03d7a5…
06-09 13:57:27	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x1ac301…
06-09 13:57:21	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4eb75f…
06-09 13:57:15	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0xb2bfe0…
06-09 13:48:10	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc771f8…
06-09 13:48:03	Ben Pasternak jailed?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1c8893…
05-18 09:23:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0fd643…
05-16 13:30:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa6703e…
05-14 18:29:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x474794…
05-14 18:14:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x11e67c…
04-29 13:10:42	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x53f3fa…
04-28 12:50:36	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xa001e4…
04-28 06:42:16	Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x528585…
04-27 21:00:48	Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf6f742…
04-27 09:33:42	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0x82d56d…
04-22 19:33:40	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6c1db1…
04-22 19:33:20	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6cac5b…
04-22 18:48:30	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x680995…
04-22 16:57:24	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x633ff1…
04-09 13:38:57	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xd3b7c5…
04-09 02:53:33	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x6f5d79…
04-09 02:53:31	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xd918d7…
04-09 02:53:31	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7e2699…
04-08 22:51:03	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x01c44b…
04-08 20:26:15	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x419bf2…
04-02 15:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6bd089…
04-02 15:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe9d235…
04-02 15:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x25ba8f…
04-02 15:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3b21b9…
04-02 15:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6cd188…
04-02 15:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc54e5…
03-31 21:56:51	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0ea770…
03-31 21:21:39	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	157	86¢	$135	0x32d88d…
03-31 18:20:23	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	71	75¢	$53	0x8d4b95…
03-31 18:04:09	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	45	43¢	$19	0x86f654…
03-31 18:02:31	Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc34d77…
03-31 17:56:39	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x2e93f7…
03-31 17:41:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x016ebc…
03-31 17:40:57	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd85530…
03-31 17:34:49	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6aa99b…
03-31 17:32:03	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xc46d43…
03-31 17:30:51	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x560750…
03-31 17:28:25	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x755e18…
03-30 14:17:39	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xde7861…
03-24 00:39:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	2,122	36¢	$764	0x116736…
03-24 00:35:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xb18b04…
03-24 00:34:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	653	36¢	$235	0x74aa71…
03-24 00:02:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x9c99d6…
03-24 00:00:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	49	83¢	$40	0x90bb00…
03-23 23:56:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,039	84¢	$2,553	0x313663…
03-23 23:56:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,088	84¢	$2,594	0x8dde22…
03-13 15:25:59	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x92d89d…
03-13 15:25:53	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfcec2b…
03-06 21:49:13	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x4f3eb0…
03-06 21:48:57	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x2fcbfb…
02-28 21:38:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26cca2…