Leading-Anthropology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-23 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

31% 50% $-1

Sports

9% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	60	$3.6K	6,400	6,400	+0	open	—	07-15 06:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	65	$3.4K	8,794	11,390	-2,595	open	—	06-05 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	48	$3.1K	3,942	5,190	-1,247	open	—	05-07 13:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	24	$2.6K	3,433	3,433	+0	open	—	07-15 07:24
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	13	$1.8K	953	1,000	-47	open	—	07-23 03:54
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-04 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$960	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-07 10:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	19	$957	3,832	5,414	-1,582	open	—	06-04 16:12
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	20	$622	1,174	1,174	+0	open	—	07-14 16:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$614	0	793	-793	open	—	05-30 07:32
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	12	$605	720	720	+0	open	—	07-14 16:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$273	300	300	+0	open	—	05-07 10:12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$205	0	221	-221	open	—	06-25 04:03
wti up or down on june 4 2026	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 12:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$137	147	147	+0	open	—	05-30 07:32
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	5	$132	500	500	+0	open	—	07-14 14:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$129	110	110	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 01:14
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-30 07:33
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$42	102	0	+102	open	—	06-11 10:46
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season	1	$20	20	0	+20	UCAM Esports Club	+$0	05-07 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 03:54:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	236	98¢	$231	0x3b5d72…
07-23 02:54:00	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4e26b3…
07-23 02:53:58	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b36de…
07-23 02:53:57	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x727dd1…
07-23 02:53:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6d97c…
07-23 02:53:52	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x223770…
07-23 01:46:21	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0xf5bd5a…
07-22 06:48:39	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	237	98¢	$232	0x77405a…
07-22 06:47:25	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	185	98¢	$181	0x6f5f8f…
07-20 16:31:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0x4ade07…
07-15 07:24:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	846	37¢	$313	0xf4c35f…
07-15 07:01:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0xbfb2d6…
07-15 06:59:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	415	30¢	$124	0x7aa556…
07-15 06:58:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	185	31¢	$57	0xdc9530…
07-15 06:48:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	600	32¢	$192	0x6d30f7…
07-15 04:13:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	600	33¢	$198	0x5fd2e2…
07-15 00:30:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x1b29e8…
07-14 23:46:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	253	34¢	$86	0xacb0c0…
07-14 23:36:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	162	37¢	$60	0x32f8a2…
07-14 23:21:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	138	37¢	$51	0x9e6bc3…
07-14 23:19:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x787921…
07-14 23:19:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x69c947…
07-14 23:18:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x20f9f9…
07-14 23:18:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xf8e6ef…
07-14 23:18:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	283	36¢	$102	0x958b60…
07-14 23:18:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x6ac204…
07-14 23:17:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x98de12…
07-14 18:39:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	600	28¢	$168	0x75c3b6…
07-14 18:32:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	38¢	$342	0x6f2812…
07-14 18:00:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x3d3a87…
07-14 17:36:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	37¢	$333	0x3b4a3b…
07-14 17:10:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xa56aac…
07-14 16:40:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xfdebc3…
07-14 16:34:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0x17890f…
07-14 16:34:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	574	27¢	$155	0x65697c…
07-14 15:48:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x9309f0…
07-14 15:43:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x68a07e…
07-14 15:17:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xa94ffb…
07-14 15:15:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x6d1bed…
07-14 15:13:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	82	41¢	$34	0xcf81ae…
07-14 15:13:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	269	29¢	$78	0x6efb81…
07-14 15:13:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	167	41¢	$68	0x3e1fd0…
07-14 14:56:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x92651d…
07-14 14:41:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xa4d7a9…
07-14 14:38:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	344	26¢	$89	0x7a02c9…
07-14 14:36:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$45	0xa74355…
07-14 14:36:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	52	26¢	$13	0x0042e4…
07-14 14:35:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	52	26¢	$13	0xe4baea…
07-14 14:35:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	153	26¢	$40	0x9856ad…
07-14 11:54:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xed8c76…
07-14 11:23:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	216	24¢	$52	0x266b96…
07-14 10:49:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xabfc46…
07-14 10:44:26	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4c4df0…
07-14 10:44:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	130	25¢	$33	0xb1a838…
07-14 10:41:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	36¢	$144	0x90ad8c…
07-14 10:40:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	400	43¢	$172	0xe44b75…
07-14 10:39:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	240	24¢	$58	0xb5c6a1…
07-14 10:25:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$23	0xcbb70c…
07-14 10:21:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x619cf2…
07-14 10:21:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	57	26¢	$15	0xd9b3d2…
07-14 10:21:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	201	26¢	$52	0x3e30fb…
07-14 10:19:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	241	26¢	$63	0xd2c898…
07-14 10:16:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x01c05f…
07-14 09:56:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xb8fea7…
07-14 09:56:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x73674a…
07-14 09:55:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	58	25¢	$15	0x4dd2f8…
07-14 09:52:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x12db2e…
07-14 09:52:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0xd41fed…
07-14 09:46:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0xe69059…
07-14 09:37:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	236	25¢	$59	0x1150e8…
07-14 09:21:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xffcdf8…
07-14 09:12:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xe055b8…
07-14 08:56:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x02da3c…
07-14 08:54:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x7bf625…
07-14 08:54:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	194	24¢	$47	0x828f6a…
07-14 08:54:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x4769e0…
07-14 08:53:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	300	24¢	$72	0xe93d4b…
07-14 08:47:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x184740…
07-14 08:43:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	38¢	$95	0x841e2f…
07-14 08:32:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	408	25¢	$102	0x66ae1e…
07-14 08:32:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0xa4e0fe…
07-14 08:22:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x247fe0…
07-14 08:08:32	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xf4131a…
07-14 08:05:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x9013f8…
07-14 08:02:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x10005f…
07-14 08:01:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x03e7c9…
07-14 08:00:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	37¢	$93	0x44ec4c…
07-14 08:00:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xa6a12c…
07-14 07:57:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x8099cc…
07-14 07:57:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x0750d1…
07-14 07:55:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	860	38¢	$327	0xa7e33a…
07-14 07:50:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	58	25¢	$15	0x108e99…
07-14 07:49:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xefe4af…
07-14 07:46:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x85e11e…
07-14 07:44:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0xfbd6b4…
07-14 07:42:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x57f810…
07-14 07:42:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x3331a1…
07-14 07:41:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0xa7424d…
07-14 07:40:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0x964b0d…
07-14 07:17:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x934dae…