Metallic-Ordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$864

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$97

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-05 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

93% 0% $-10

Crypto

7% 0% $-10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	-75	$-50	84¢	$-62	$-12	05-29 15:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	-200	$-25	16¢	$-33	$-8	05-31 15:40
2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No	+273	$3	1¢	$2	$-1	06-05 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$530	200	493	-293	open	—	05-26 02:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$137	85	85	+0	open	—	06-01 09:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-05 11:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	05-06 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	0	75	-75	open	—	05-29 15:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	3	$25	0	200	-200	open	—	05-31 15:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$10	60	0	+60	No	$-10	05-05 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-07 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-12 12:28
2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	1	$3	273	0	+273	open	—	06-05 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:08:34	2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xb7361c…
06-01 09:04:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xab5be1…
05-31 15:40:02	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xcbcf47…
05-31 13:23:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x618af6…
05-31 13:03:56	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x0554c8…
05-29 15:37:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0x7a2a7b…
05-26 02:35:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x98a1c3…
05-25 19:38:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x017555…
05-24 14:11:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	293	75¢	$220	0x90c74a…
05-13 22:49:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x6871bb…
05-12 12:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4f1ad7…
05-07 21:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe2966f…
05-06 15:15:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xd72df3…
05-05 11:47:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xdea5a7…
05-05 11:28:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf0e63e…
05-04 08:21:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x57b37f…
05-04 08:19:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x86bb0b…