Numb-Emotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$105

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-01 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 20% $-4

Other

17% — —

Politics

16% 75% $-1

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 09:54
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 10:43
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 08:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	open	—	05-03 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-02 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 01:07
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 00:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 00:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-09 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 08:08
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 06:49
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-11 12:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 17:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 08:27
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 00:44
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 06:49:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4f80b3…
05-26 17:30:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf567ba…
05-26 07:33:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3060e…
05-25 14:11:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x55df97…
05-25 14:11:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7940a1…
05-25 10:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xa4e0f7…
05-23 23:59:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf4a3ab…
05-23 23:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2aa7bc…
05-19 10:43:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf61ad5…
05-19 08:31:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa1222e…
05-17 08:50:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x2647ea…
05-14 07:09:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e38c2…
05-14 07:09:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa0e592…
05-11 12:07:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc125cd…
05-09 11:55:27	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c89b4…
05-09 11:53:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x310a3c…
05-09 11:52:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8cf007…
05-07 10:19:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xae3243…
05-07 10:17:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf40b0f…
05-05 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5c4c5b…
05-05 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4bc316…
05-05 14:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39450b…
05-05 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90e0ce…
05-05 14:42:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1acbaf…
05-05 14:42:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x773a19…
05-05 14:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1e52ff…
05-05 14:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd1d7d0…
05-05 10:30:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x218896…
05-05 10:22:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5ebe57…
05-04 10:15:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf7bf06…
05-04 09:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c366b…
05-04 09:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb4d057…
05-04 09:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xb12024…
05-04 09:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4aa70b…
05-04 09:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa45629…
05-04 09:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x85086f…
05-04 09:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6d4e8d…
05-04 09:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xde4ff0…
05-04 09:25:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe5e2d8…
05-03 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc6f7d0…
05-03 08:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x0b2e7c…
05-03 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xedb8f0…
05-03 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x83151d…
05-03 08:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf608d7…
05-03 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4fea32…
05-03 01:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xe8caa8…
05-03 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x238910…
05-03 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0f46da…
05-03 00:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x88dec4…
05-03 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x647dc7…
05-03 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x4a967d…
05-03 00:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x336a61…
05-03 00:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbf9b2f…
05-03 00:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xffb517…
05-03 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5aeca8…
05-03 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac8ce9…
05-03 00:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7654c0…
05-03 00:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7713d8…
05-03 00:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbeeb00…
05-03 00:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x71a5df…
05-03 00:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa3298c…
05-02 09:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf8f5ed…
05-02 09:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8bd2d0…
05-02 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8ed93b…
05-02 09:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3f4206…
05-02 09:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x35253b…
05-02 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa894d5…
05-02 05:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb2a92e…
05-02 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1f8a66…
05-02 05:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4d71be…
05-02 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1195f1…
05-02 05:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x13fca6…
05-02 05:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9ca1d3…
05-02 05:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ffaa2…
05-02 05:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x24b914…
05-02 05:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x355667…
05-01 15:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0823af…
05-01 07:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x43f8d4…
05-01 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0e13f3…
05-01 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fb4b0…
05-01 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x188949…
04-30 09:37:26	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xe08fd0…
04-30 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf7103e…
04-30 09:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9533ef…
04-30 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x83f4c9…
04-30 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x396e51…
04-30 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9521ca…
04-30 08:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8bd4ea…
04-21 22:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd9bc5a…
04-20 11:28:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43cec4…
04-18 06:34:30	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9d37ae…
04-17 13:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x80cfb9…
04-17 09:41:56	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4dac47…
04-17 09:36:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x334aa4…
04-16 10:59:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee19dd…
04-16 10:58:36	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0ed24a…