Primary-Courage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-13 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 20:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$3	31	31	+0	open	—	05-13 19:19
Will "Obsession" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	286	0	+286	open	—	05-13 19:19
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	100	0	+100	Yes	$-1	05-10 09:20
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	257	0	+257	Yes	$-1	05-10 09:17
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$1	11	0	+11	Yes	$-1	05-07 22:35
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	167	0	+167	Yes	$-1	05-07 22:36
Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 22:10
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-30 22:11
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	89	0	+89	open	—	05-10 09:18
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	$-1	04-30 22:11
Will "Obsession" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	90	0	+90	open	—	05-10 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:19:16	Will "Obsession" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	286	0¢	$1	0x2a29c0…
05-13 19:19:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x6c1f04…
05-10 09:27:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x29aa33…
05-10 09:20:34	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x404ef0…
05-10 09:19:33	Will "Obsession" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xbad1a9…
05-10 09:18:33	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x5d0da4…
05-10 09:17:34	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0xe9ec9e…
05-07 22:36:57	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x037728…
05-07 22:35:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc81385…
05-07 20:45:46	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2dd838…
04-30 22:11:36	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcdae41…
04-30 22:11:08	Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x20860e…
04-30 22:10:38	Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe7b8eb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	10	$672	105	05-15 12:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	9	$3.42K	393	05-15 23:24
Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367	8	$4.69K	364	05-15 23:57
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	8	$4.47K	354	05-04 11:50
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	6	$16.5K	432	05-15 21:02
Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273	6	$1.13K	56	05-15 21:12
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	6	$517	118	05-06 18:38
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	5	$36.4K	262	05-15 21:02