Lucky-Cockpit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-02 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Crypto

16% 68% +$2

Politics

15% 0% $-4

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta parks kraus 2026 03 18	7	$223	135	135	+0	open	—	03-19 17:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	54	$187	117	117	+0	open	—	04-24 01:14
atp neumaye gea 2026 03 20	3	$143	216	0	+216	open	—	03-20 13:09
atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	2	$132	90	90	+0	open	—	03-15 02:04
atp oconnel fucsovi 2026 03 19	2	$118	73	73	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	4	$114	242	242	+0	open	—	03-20 23:03
atp royer tirante 2026 03 19	2	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
wta sonmez bencic 2026 03 19	2	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
atp ofner baena 2026 03 19	2	$98	258	0	+258	open	—	03-20 11:08
wta noskova cirstea 2026 03 19	2	$98	53	53	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$94	723	723	+0	open	—	03-12 10:38
nba nyk uta 2026 03 11 total 230pt5	2	$92	196	0	+196	open	—	03-12 00:58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$90	47	47	+0	No	+$0	03-20 23:04
wta brady stephen 2026 03 17	2	$90	277	0	+277	open	—	03-20 00:52
wta kalinsk zakharo 2026 03 20	2	$90	474	0	+474	open	—	03-20 20:02
atp svajda smith 2026 03 16	2	$90	184	0	+184	open	—	03-17 03:47
nhl nyi ott 2026 03 19	2	$90	196	0	+196	open	—	03-19 11:59
nhl chi min 2026 03 19	2	$90	273	0	+273	open	—	03-19 11:59
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$90	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$90	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 23:04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$89	128	128	+0	open	—	03-17 09:56
wta tagger seidel 2026 03 18	2	$88	154	0	+154	open	—	03-19 20:33
uel lil ast4 2026 03 12 btts	2	$88	180	0	+180	open	—	03-12 14:57
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	3	$85	134	134	+0	open	—	03-15 11:30
btc updown 5m 1774070700	9	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 05:26
btc updown 5m 1774070400	5	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 05:22
btc updown 5m 1774071300	5	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 05:36
btc updown 5m 1774069800	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	03-21 05:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$47	57	57	+0	open	—	04-18 20:45
atp jong ruiz 2026 03 20	1	$47	55	0	+55	open	—	03-20 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:27:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x68725b…
05-09 04:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e417f…
05-09 04:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc54d8b…
05-09 04:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x509c25…
05-08 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc85cbd…
05-08 00:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe55ddd…
05-07 16:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd2e0e4…
05-07 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xda0a90…
05-07 16:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x312cad…
05-07 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2fd7f0…
05-07 02:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xdf341d…
05-07 02:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49137d…
05-07 02:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x121769…
05-07 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x65d6c0…
05-07 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x25c1b3…
05-07 02:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf2c5d2…
05-07 01:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8c5244…
05-07 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4edb44…
05-07 01:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5f1562…
05-07 01:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x86a6a7…
05-07 01:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe067e0…
05-07 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3038b0…
05-07 01:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xd295a0…
05-07 01:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b995a…
05-07 01:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0c556c…
05-06 23:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8801bb…
05-06 23:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6dd9a…
05-06 23:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ba763…
05-06 21:12:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x63abd5…
05-06 21:11:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8a2f7c…
05-06 20:49:03	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xda39f8…
05-06 20:48:31	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x668a40…
05-06 20:48:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x98ad7e…
05-06 20:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf49a0f…
05-06 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb4d208…
05-06 20:32:57	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9ca9a6…
05-06 20:32:15	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9916d0…
05-06 14:09:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x1eadf4…
05-06 14:08:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x438a13…
05-06 14:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd84c5d…
05-06 14:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd45094…
05-06 13:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x45e4bc…
05-06 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x018baa…
05-06 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x093506…
05-04 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9bf8db…
05-04 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdd425e…
05-04 09:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb69950…
05-04 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc561dc…
05-03 12:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xec04a1…
05-03 12:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f4168…
04-25 02:44:16	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x5399cf…
04-25 02:43:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x9261d5…
04-25 02:43:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x3c7cf1…
04-25 02:43:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xa2c0b1…
04-25 02:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x9893e0…
04-25 02:42:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xb156fa…
04-25 02:42:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x7a72f0…
04-25 02:42:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x01f35e…
04-25 02:41:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xfee7d8…
04-25 00:05:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xb65521…
04-25 00:05:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x164f83…
04-25 00:05:38	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x212be7…
04-25 00:05:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd6b65c…
04-24 23:55:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x164c7a…
04-24 23:55:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x34d33b…
04-24 23:45:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa6aa0a…
04-24 23:39:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc2823c…
04-24 23:39:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8447ee…
04-24 23:39:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xff45a0…
04-24 23:39:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x46c981…
04-24 23:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa6eff9…
04-24 23:39:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x5851a6…
04-24 23:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3437f2…
04-24 23:39:02	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x2c9635…
04-24 23:39:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x2713c1…
04-24 23:39:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x21419f…
04-24 23:39:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x1985a8…
04-24 23:39:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x0a87d3…
04-24 20:16:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x4d0f93…
04-24 20:16:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x4333f3…
04-24 20:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd45110…
04-24 20:16:36	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x42a0ad…
04-24 20:16:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x4a35a0…
04-24 20:04:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x65368a…
04-24 20:04:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x85f973…
04-24 19:48:18	Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc136a6…
04-24 19:44:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbfbc9a…
04-24 17:54:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x17225b…
04-24 17:45:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x821f39…
04-24 17:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x46117e…
04-24 17:30:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1b8cd0…
04-24 17:30:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x9a6343…
04-24 17:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xca4d68…
04-24 12:46:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x44cc9a…
04-24 12:40:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf4b52c…
04-24 12:40:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xde2732…
04-24 12:40:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x50a709…
04-24 04:42:38	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1663f1…
04-24 04:38:14	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x25dd48…
04-24 04:20:18	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbd63dc…