Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$8.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$142

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-11 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

17% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-1

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+92	$90	98¢	$91	+$1	06-03 10:01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	+50	$49	98¢	$49	+$0	06-01 14:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	+92	$2	2¢	$1	$-1	06-03 10:02
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	+50	$1	2¢	$1	$-0	06-01 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	32	$818	1,520	80	+1,440	open	—	04-08 21:18
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	46	$717	1,564	174	+1,390	No	$-1	04-08 08:54
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	20	$547	930	110	+820	open	—	03-18 17:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$544	800	100	+700	open	—	03-20 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$541	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	04-06 11:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$360	720	0	+720	open	—	03-28 20:29
netanyahu out by march 31 854	16	$340	680	0	+680	open	—	03-17 20:40
nba uta okc 2026 04 05	27	$291	540	34	+506	open	—	04-05 23:16
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	10	$248	390	90	+300	open	—	03-19 02:04
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$235	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 18:59
will iran strike israel on march 10	6	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	03-13 17:32
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$155	380	80	+300	open	—	03-31 05:22
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$145	190	150	+40	open	—	03-18 10:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	18	$133	240	22	+218	open	—	04-06 14:00
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$130	260	0	+260	open	—	03-17 02:58
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	2	$116	70	70	+0	open	—	03-18 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$111	239	19	+220	open	—	04-13 08:29
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$102	150	30	+120	open	—	03-16 23:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 11:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 11:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$94	240	60	+180	open	—	03-28 05:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$92	187	3	+184	open	—	06-03 10:02
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	6	$92	80	80	+0	open	—	03-18 01:55
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$80	160	40	+120	open	—	03-29 18:13
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	03-18 06:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$73	190	50	+140	No	$-0	04-24 01:16
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	03-15 13:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	4	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	03-17 02:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	06-11 07:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	03-28 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:38:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xcdf4f5…
06-11 04:37:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x17d2ae…
06-11 03:42:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xaababa…
06-11 03:18:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc299ff…
06-11 03:18:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcaf89e…
06-04 07:34:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xf3b110…
06-04 07:34:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x7f133f…
06-04 00:24:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xa7279a…
06-04 00:24:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	35	73¢	$25	0x8effd8…
06-03 10:02:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xc55ff3…
06-03 10:01:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x65a89f…
06-03 10:01:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x59ad0b…
06-01 14:32:44	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf55e0f…
06-01 14:32:42	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x74209e…
05-31 18:12:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x52d277…
05-31 18:12:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x151147…
05-28 03:15:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x913718…
05-28 03:14:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x357291…
05-28 03:14:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x60270d…
05-26 20:23:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xccc788…
05-26 20:23:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xccd667…
05-26 18:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x7af8d7…
05-26 18:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0xf02621…
05-26 18:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x42455a…
05-26 11:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x31a9fe…
05-26 11:12:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x3e4780…
05-26 11:11:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4f080d…
05-25 13:07:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xb74ea6…
05-25 13:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x075907…
05-25 13:07:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4f0a32…
05-11 22:29:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xb263b9…
05-11 22:28:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x31bdcb…
05-11 22:28:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x622f6b…
05-11 20:43:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x94c0ef…
05-11 20:43:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x404b44…
05-11 20:43:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x320bf8…
05-10 16:12:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x6f6daf…
05-10 16:12:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5d780d…
05-10 08:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2566c7…
05-10 08:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x19b510…
05-09 12:02:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x35be56…
05-09 12:01:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x7bf28b…
04-28 03:46:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xb217f7…
04-28 03:46:26	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x9da7c6…
04-28 03:46:24	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb650c7…
04-28 03:46:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xed1587…
04-28 03:46:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x84059d…
04-28 03:46:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2b0751…
04-27 07:06:34	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$15	0xec10fc…
04-27 07:06:32	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0x16ec9e…
04-24 14:04:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x29ab7f…
04-24 14:04:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xcaa065…
04-24 14:04:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x02f5df…
04-24 03:56:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x8d2ed7…
04-24 03:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x3f4cd6…
04-24 03:56:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xc4aeaf…
04-24 01:16:56	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x06ab03…
04-24 01:16:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x32d8af…
04-22 18:37:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xeb6a07…
04-22 18:36:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x99bfa8…
04-22 18:36:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xf356ac…
04-21 18:36:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x9b1aa4…
04-21 18:36:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x153f97…
04-18 18:17:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x93edef…
04-18 18:17:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x5a0843…
04-17 20:39:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xcfd740…
04-17 20:38:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xec187d…
04-17 20:38:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa84819…
04-17 18:31:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x0b2003…
04-17 18:31:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xaf3a33…
04-17 18:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbb9525…
04-17 18:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x11ef4b…
04-16 14:31:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xe6d3fe…
04-16 14:30:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0x80b7ef…
04-16 14:30:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd5a781…
04-16 12:06:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xd503c4…
04-16 12:06:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x7cd61b…
04-14 08:36:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xda7c15…
04-14 08:36:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x7e8397…
04-13 08:29:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x3cabd9…
04-13 08:29:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0x528e43…
04-13 08:29:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x92d93b…
04-13 07:33:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x3763ab…
04-13 07:32:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xab3438…
04-09 11:16:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x69041e…
04-09 11:16:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x66d1fc…
04-09 07:33:33	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6c4bcc…
04-09 07:33:33	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x37f8bc…
04-08 21:18:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcd3181…
04-08 21:18:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x89f8db…
04-08 13:43:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdbd32e…
04-08 13:43:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x434e8c…
04-08 08:54:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x53450e…
04-08 08:54:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x164ff0…
04-06 14:48:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0xed0be3…
04-06 14:48:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x79f7cc…
04-06 14:00:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x434aea…
04-06 13:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xcd3f8f…
04-06 13:48:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x53ec46…
04-06 13:47:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x0692d3…