Windy-Responsibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-17 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$131	131	+131	open	—	05-17 08:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	1	$115	116	+116	open	—	04-14 03:55
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-13 03:55
will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	04-08 07:47
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	04-03 07:55
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	02-13 09:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	02-09 03:48
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	02-03 07:14
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$110	111	+111	open	—	01-30 02:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	1	$110	111	+111	open	—	03-02 07:21
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-08 03:07
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	01-13 03:38
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$108	109	+109	open	—	01-26 07:51
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	1	$108	109	+109	open	—	01-12 08:28
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	01-09 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-11 01:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-23 07:19
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-31 09:06
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-27 07:51
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 40 64	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-25 09:49
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-21 08:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$105	106	+106	open	—	03-14 09:44
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-15 09:17
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	1	$103	107	+107	open	—	01-05 03:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	03-18 11:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	03-18 11:00
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	03-08 03:07
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-14 09:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-25 09:50
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-11 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xfcb1a4…
05-14 03:10:43	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcab181…
05-14 03:10:37	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26aecb…
05-14 03:10:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41f40a…
05-12 07:48:26	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x069353…
05-12 07:48:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7790f7…
05-12 07:47:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf56bb4…
05-12 07:47:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f0a13…
04-14 03:55:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xdee3bd…
04-13 03:55:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe33ffa…
04-08 07:47:13	will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9da511…
04-03 07:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xfef2da…
03-31 09:06:17	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9ddf08…
03-27 07:52:09	will jeff bezos be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xb77a0b…
03-27 07:51:51	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x391823…
03-27 07:51:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x0a9cec…
03-23 07:19:23	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfe82a9…
03-23 07:19:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d2503…
03-23 07:19:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x058fb4…
03-18 11:00:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4e00b0…
03-18 11:00:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x22bdcf…
03-14 09:44:21	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf89a36…
03-14 09:44:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x7a5481…
03-11 01:52:25	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc69419…
03-11 01:51:55	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x6644f4…
03-11 01:51:49	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6f99c…
03-11 01:51:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x8ed934…
03-08 03:07:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x755a37…
03-08 03:07:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0beb91…
03-02 07:22:03	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x120ed0…
03-02 07:21:47	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b4f10…
03-02 07:21:33	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x3e1170…
02-13 09:42:43	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x547d77…
02-09 03:48:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe74dc6…
02-03 07:14:00	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7aae8e…
01-30 02:20:00	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x45dbd5…
01-26 07:51:25	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x1a7422…
01-25 09:50:08	will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9c7a3…
01-25 09:49:56	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 40 64	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xda2c17…
01-21 08:07:16	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf1fdd0…
01-21 08:07:04	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x31dbaa…
01-15 09:18:18	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4303e4…
01-15 09:18:12	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x51b61b…
01-15 09:18:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9924f8…
01-15 09:17:56	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcb326d…
01-15 09:17:48	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9b8048…
01-13 03:38:31	us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc07883…
01-12 08:28:12	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xb54710…
01-09 03:06:36	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x0f0e0a…
01-05 03:22:15	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	Yes	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x4a29f8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	43	$280.2K	4,712	05-30 11:45
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	37	$21.9K	8,931	04-13 16:21
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	36	$4.69K	1,689	05-14 13:01
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	33	$28.7K	2,843	03-28 06:08
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	32	$1.51K	1,109	05-29 21:42
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	30	$225.8K	9,758	04-09 19:50
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	30	$9.41K	4,294	05-29 22:35
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	30	$2.03K	494	03-27 15:51