Tall-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-16 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 0% $-21

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$194	165	165	+0	open	—	05-02 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$163	148	148	+0	open	—	05-02 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$60	114	0	+114	open	—	05-02 00:59
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$60	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$45	134	0	+134	open	—	05-02 14:59
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$45	141	0	+141	open	—	05-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$45	55	0	+55	open	—	05-02 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	05-02 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	05-01 23:36
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$38	71	44	+27	open	—	05-01 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$35	78	0	+78	open	—	05-01 23:13
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	3	$31	47	15	+31	open	—	05-01 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-02 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$30	402	0	+402	open	—	05-02 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$30	495	0	+495	open	—	05-02 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$30	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	05-02 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	05-02 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	05-02 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 01:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-01 23:24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-01 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$20	83	0	+83	open	—	05-01 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-01 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$20	193	0	+193	open	—	05-02 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-02 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-03 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	05-02 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	05-03 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:45:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2,112	0¢	$11	0x873b5b…
05-16 02:33:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x265b2f…
05-16 01:44:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xc6045f…
05-16 01:32:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2f5a7c…
05-16 01:02:16	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x24dff6…
05-15 21:44:17	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x6906e4…
05-15 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb38bd8…
05-15 19:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf06675…
05-15 19:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x98d57c…
05-15 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb254db…
05-15 19:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x351b61…
05-15 19:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x55bc48…
05-15 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xff82c3…
05-15 19:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeb4197…
05-07 23:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x70a659…
05-07 23:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x19f55c…
05-07 23:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd8914d…
05-07 23:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3af639…
05-07 23:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0e0ff3…
05-04 12:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x83c668…
05-03 18:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdac9bf…
05-03 18:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd57aaa…
05-03 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbd938b…
05-03 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7671c1…
05-03 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbfb4b6…
05-03 18:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x399094…
05-03 18:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7848bb…
05-03 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x70cf2e…
05-03 17:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x288131…
05-03 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x82b558…
05-03 17:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x848fc5…
05-03 17:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1dcdc4…
05-03 17:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9dd81…
05-03 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7b982e…
05-03 17:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdc4881…
05-03 17:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6df9a0…
05-03 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xab8422…
05-03 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa9c4a4…
05-03 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9fde64…
05-03 17:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9c6380…
05-03 17:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xfcfe04…
05-03 17:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc3a082…
05-03 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd19515…
05-02 19:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2aa54f…
05-02 18:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfbca60…
05-02 18:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x97bbb4…
05-02 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	172	5¢	$9	0x89c9f3…
05-02 16:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xcc32e5…
05-02 16:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe260a5…
05-02 16:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xda875c…
05-02 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x69d741…
05-02 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2fbacc…
05-02 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xe5c077…
05-02 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8c9169…
05-02 16:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbde615…
05-02 16:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x2ce7a4…
05-02 16:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x27e633…
05-02 16:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xdf5d66…
05-02 16:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x545650…
05-02 16:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x59b651…
05-02 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x24ae9f…
05-02 15:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1631bd…
05-02 15:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe3be5d…
05-02 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce9b48…
05-02 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x94316f…
05-02 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8ef84c…
05-02 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf6059f…
05-02 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x931d8e…
05-02 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9c5e9c…
05-02 15:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x606f32…
05-02 15:04:34	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf8e98b…
05-02 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x70c0c0…
05-02 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xf0a8ca…
05-02 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x5c1833…
05-02 14:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xacbfda…
05-02 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xf1475e…
05-02 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xbb1638…
05-02 14:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x80f9cd…
05-02 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xce01bc…
05-02 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x20eefd…
05-02 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf9a48b…
05-02 14:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d83fe…
05-02 14:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdb6bc2…
05-02 14:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x916df8…
05-02 14:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x1e7771…
05-02 14:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x26047b…
05-02 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x45a673…
05-02 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3fefe1…
05-02 13:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xae726c…
05-02 13:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x36e688…
05-02 13:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xde8709…
05-02 13:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbc8a5e…
05-02 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x0df6a4…
05-02 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0381d5…
05-02 02:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x095d3b…
05-02 01:54:20	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5e1d97…
05-02 01:54:20	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x4e0045…
05-02 01:54:16	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xc2455a…
05-02 01:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	224	7¢	$15	0x9a7991…
05-02 01:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	271	6¢	$15	0x2151ca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	102	$18.8K	3,566	05-15 19:53
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	102	$7.26K	740	05-15 19:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	100	$66.9K	5,184	05-15 19:54
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	100	$12.3K	6,026	05-15 19:54
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	97	$2.17K	187	05-15 19:54
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	95	$14.8K	3,127	05-15 19:53
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	93	$8.76K	538	05-15 19:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	91	$79.7K	3,053	05-16 01:12