Steep-Excuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

393

Trades

1,816

lifetime

Volume

$3.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-194

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 457 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$103	184	0	+184	Down	$-103	05-06 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$73	100	0	+100	Down	+$27	05-06 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$63	80	21	+59	Up	$-48	05-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	11	$48	62	62	+0	open	—	05-17 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$48	88	55	+33	Down	+$16	05-07 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$45	98	98	+0	open	—	05-17 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	05-17 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	05-17 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$31	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$31	43	43	+0	open	—	05-17 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$31	34	34	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$30	31	31	+0	open	—	05-17 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$30	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	05-08 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$29	37	0	+37	Down	+$8	05-08 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$29	37	0	+37	Down	$-29	05-08 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	10	$28	35	7	+28	Up	+$4	05-08 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$27	41	2	+39	Down	+$12	05-08 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	6	$26	35	0	+35	Up	+$9	05-08 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$26	29	29	+0	Up	$-14	05-07 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$26	28	28	+0	open	—	05-17 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$26	33	9	+24	Up	+$8	05-08 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$25	19	11	+9	open	—	05-17 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$8	05-07 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	05-07 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	9	$23	31	9	+22	Up	+$3	05-08 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$23	33	6	+27	Down	$-7	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	05-17 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$23	37	37	+0	Up	$-7	05-07 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	9	$22	30	9	+21	Down	+$3	05-08 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	5	$21	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x218e2b…
05-17 05:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc1b74f…
05-17 05:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5605b0…
05-17 05:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcada2c…
05-17 05:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xca148e…
05-17 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xaa3286…
05-17 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5c1f51…
05-17 05:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x627f3d…
05-17 05:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xe2154f…
05-17 05:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf21996…
05-17 05:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5ba38a…
05-17 05:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3cf85a…
05-17 05:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcaed34…
05-17 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x132b06…
05-17 05:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7e3267…
05-17 05:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5dd71d…
05-17 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75bd60…
05-17 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	44¢	$12	0xa91513…
05-17 04:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe63b4e…
05-17 04:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x66885b…
05-17 04:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x54234a…
05-17 04:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0xa2f418…
05-17 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd391a8…
05-17 04:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd8e999…
05-17 04:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x19c395…
05-17 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae78f2…
05-17 04:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x5edea6…
05-17 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x551f24…
05-17 04:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x88f7f0…
05-17 04:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa8eb61…
05-17 04:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6238c9…
05-17 04:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec7e1b…
05-17 04:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x979689…
05-17 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdd4670…
05-17 04:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4e7dc9…
05-17 04:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdda232…
05-17 04:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1fada7…
05-17 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc27e11…
05-17 04:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9528f2…
05-17 04:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4e5ac5…
05-17 04:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	94	19¢	$18	0x35a568…
05-17 04:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa4cd28…
05-17 04:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdd8591…
05-17 04:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb28ea1…
05-17 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x6eb14c…
05-17 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x2363dc…
05-17 04:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x5ea833…
05-17 04:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9dcfce…
05-17 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x276944…
05-17 04:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0eb383…
05-17 04:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x0e3b64…
05-17 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd23b20…
05-17 04:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xea4b76…
05-17 04:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe5ee60…
05-17 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6aef70…
05-17 04:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x6d27af…
05-17 04:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd0bf10…
05-17 04:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x93950a…
05-17 04:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x08aa08…
05-17 04:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf18917…
05-17 04:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x73db0c…
05-17 04:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x06d441…
05-17 04:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x68c23b…
05-17 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2bd0b4…
05-17 04:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x4ab828…
05-17 04:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc93fb1…
05-17 04:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf568ba…
05-17 04:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x30c225…
05-17 04:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0xc8230f…
05-17 04:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x309be4…
05-17 04:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x451fe7…
05-17 04:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x589199…
05-17 04:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xd47e5c…
05-17 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1a72b4…
05-17 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9d4805…
05-17 04:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe8d767…
05-17 04:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x701801…
05-17 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x40e3c9…
05-17 04:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0xa37a31…
05-17 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x21cc99…
05-17 04:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3dc998…
05-17 03:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xba14e8…
05-17 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x51d343…
05-17 03:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x97ece2…
05-17 03:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x915a01…
05-17 03:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x283af1…
05-17 03:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x816e59…
05-17 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb57165…
05-17 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c22c2…
05-17 03:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x583a3e…
05-17 03:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9d00d5…
05-17 03:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x291362…
05-17 03:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x445fcc…
05-17 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x99f728…
05-17 03:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1fda71…
05-17 03:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3485f1…
05-17 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfd22e6…
05-17 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x866218…
05-17 03:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x58fdeb…
05-17 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb11cae…