Gruesome-Portion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-11 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$1

Other

25% 100% +$0

Sports

17% — —

Politics

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+10	$1	11¢	$1	+$0	06-11 17:37
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+5	$1	20¢	$1	+$0	06-11 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772758500	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	03-06 00:57
btc updown 5m 1772759100	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-06 01:09
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 15:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$5	29	29	+0	open	—	02-06 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:02
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 15:17
btc updown 5m 1774302900	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 21:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 15:17
btc updown 5m 1773094200	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	03-09 22:14
bitcoin up or down on february 6	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	02-06 16:09
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-30 16:15
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	02-11 01:46
btc updown 5m 1776466200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 22:52
btc updown 5m 1780939800	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 17:32
btc updown 5m 1774365900	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	03-24 15:29
btc updown 15m 1770156900	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	02-03 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 20:17
btc updown 5m 1774368600	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 16:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 15:38
btc updown 5m 1774374900	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 17:57
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 15:38
btc updown 5m 1774368300	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-21 23:45
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-09 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-25 23:56
btc updown 5m 1776465900	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-17 22:47
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 ars	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-06 23:56
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	06-11 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-21 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:37:39	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd97f9a…
06-11 17:37:30	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc98a42…
06-08 17:32:00	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xb2ff49…
06-08 17:30:30	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x02b5eb…
06-01 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf3cb61…
06-01 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xa9d156…
06-01 20:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa2bc58…
06-01 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x196b66…
05-21 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x345f6e…
05-21 23:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc666ff…
05-21 23:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x38bd93…
05-21 23:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb477d1…
05-20 23:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8a509a…
05-18 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x51dd60…
05-07 18:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc232ca…
05-07 18:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x9554e4…
05-07 18:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2f8ed5…
05-07 18:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd86bf3…
04-21 23:56:06	btc updown 5m 1776815700	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5ceddb…
04-17 22:52:44	btc updown 5m 1776466200	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xcec755…
04-17 22:51:18	btc updown 5m 1776466200	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b74e1…
04-17 22:47:38	btc updown 5m 1776465900	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xd4d6f0…
04-17 22:45:58	btc updown 5m 1776465900	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x13fd51…
04-17 22:45:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x088d06…
04-09 17:50:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6ea10f…
04-09 14:54:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6e451e…
04-08 15:01:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x25ac6e…
03-30 16:15:49	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0df70f…
03-25 23:56:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb65359…
03-24 17:57:21	btc updown 5m 1774374900	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6e4fd9…
03-24 17:56:31	btc updown 5m 1774374900	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2f13ec…
03-24 16:14:31	btc updown 5m 1774368600	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x73ef2f…
03-24 16:13:15	btc updown 5m 1774368600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0525ea…
03-24 16:09:07	btc updown 5m 1774368300	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4b292c…
03-24 16:07:21	btc updown 5m 1774368300	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x85728d…
03-24 15:29:31	btc updown 5m 1774365900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f51b7…
03-24 15:28:49	btc updown 5m 1774365900	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x540e0f…
03-24 15:20:39	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf5433…
03-23 21:59:41	btc updown 5m 1774302900	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x89342e…
03-23 21:58:39	btc updown 5m 1774302900	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xde2624…
03-20 19:48:35	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xca6f75…
03-12 19:15:01	btc updown 5m 1773342600	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x02cde3…
03-12 16:23:59	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa9fb50…
03-11 22:09:49	btc updown 5m 1773266700	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb57d08…
03-11 21:56:55	will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcdb280…
03-11 21:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773264900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebbf09…
03-11 19:44:15	btc updown 5m 1773258000	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8357ac…
03-10 19:16:27	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb99ada…
03-09 22:14:25	btc updown 5m 1773094200	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xaeb614…
03-06 01:09:17	btc updown 5m 1772759100	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc2bd0c…
03-06 00:57:19	btc updown 5m 1772758500	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7a7482…
03-04 19:17:49	btc updown 5m 1772651700	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x931c65…
03-04 19:12:19	btc updown 5m 1772651400	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4525d5…
03-04 19:06:53	btc updown 5m 1772651100	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x93181e…
03-04 16:38:19	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x565dbb…
03-04 16:33:37	btc updown 5m 1772641800	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6863c0…
03-04 16:22:31	btc updown 5m 1772641200	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb09c58…
03-04 16:21:11	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe23e45…
03-04 16:20:41	epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6696e0…
03-04 16:20:27	bun bay moe 2026 03 06 bay	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66fc2e…
03-04 16:13:37	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7064c…
03-04 16:09:07	Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc77737…
03-04 16:05:43	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcc7494…
03-04 16:04:47	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd30dac…
02-25 02:45:24	bitcoin up or down on february 25	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x691e35…
02-25 02:43:24	nba mia mil 2026 02 24	Heat	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7ade4a…
02-25 02:38:02	bitcoin up or down february 24 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3e3840…
02-25 02:35:12	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3de3d6…
02-23 23:48:52	btc updown 5m 1771890300	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf3dbe5…
02-23 23:04:30	btc updown 5m 1771887600	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf1acb5…
02-23 21:47:14	btc updown 5m 1771883100	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa08ad6…
02-14 00:15:27	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Nuggets	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7f50fc…
02-13 18:36:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xda7adf…
02-13 16:13:03	will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x54867c…
02-13 16:12:23	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd4d0e8…
02-12 15:58:51	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x657d1a…
02-12 15:58:19	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xefa58c…
02-12 15:58:09	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x17e582…
02-12 15:58:01	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd3603c…
02-12 15:57:45	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb86f3…
02-12 15:57:25	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd15afe…
02-12 15:57:13	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x758036…
02-12 15:48:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5d5e6d…
02-12 15:45:53	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa2d6b6…
02-12 15:45:43	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd68b65…
02-12 15:38:33	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x6c88c2…
02-12 15:38:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x00c1f5…
02-12 15:17:35	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x537f35…
02-12 15:17:27	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xd69dbd…
02-12 15:17:05	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8b332b…
02-11 22:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc28752…
02-11 22:56:57	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x71a9cc…
02-11 18:48:01	nba mil orl 2026 02 11	Magic	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x843c85…
02-11 18:47:23	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6b473…
02-11 18:43:59	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeb2b81…
02-11 01:49:19	mex tol tij 2026 02 13 tol	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x170e5e…
02-11 01:46:13	nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	Knicks	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x049704…
02-11 01:42:29	nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	Knicks	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfcb004…
02-10 22:08:17	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc6fef2…
02-10 17:54:47	nba por min 2026 02 11	Timberwolves	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2e11f3…