Talkative-Afterlife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-08 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Other

23% 100% +$0

Crypto

6% 10% $-10

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$2.3K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	05-31 17:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$1.6K	885	885	+0	open	—	06-08 05:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$1.1K	662	662	+0	open	—	04-12 19:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$846	686	364	+322	open	—	06-03 02:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$707	1,032	0	+1,032	open	—	06-08 05:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$635	369	369	+0	open	—	06-02 17:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	4	$616	868	338	+529	open	—	06-08 05:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$480	262	262	+0	open	—	05-26 14:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$479	458	458	+0	open	—	03-31 15:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$411	213	213	+0	open	—	04-29 21:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$325	192	192	+0	open	—	03-23 18:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$287	339	0	+339	open	—	04-24 14:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	3	$284	406	406	+0	open	—	06-04 14:42
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$276	158	158	+0	open	—	04-10 16:11
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$259	136	136	+0	open	—	04-09 22:04
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$188	110	110	+0	open	—	04-13 16:25
btc updown 5m 1776099900	4	$182	211	197	+14	open	—	04-13 17:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	1	$180	254	0	+254	open	—	03-02 07:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$151	297	296	+0	open	—	03-31 15:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$109	75	75	+0	open	—	03-23 18:29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$100	186	0	+186	open	—	02-27 19:33
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	04-24 14:21
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	2	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	04-14 22:25
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 18:29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 17:08
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	05-14 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-09 02:12
btc updown 5m 1776104700	2	$48	52	49	+3	open	—	04-13 18:28
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$48	106	0	+106	open	—	05-14 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776104100	3	$47	39	37	+2	open	—	04-13 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:16:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	140	76¢	$107	0xefa682…
06-08 05:16:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	529	57¢	$300	0xcb412d…
06-08 05:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	434	95¢	$412	0xc0760e…
06-05 23:44:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	599	67¢	$400	0x2e2e83…
06-05 23:43:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	451	90¢	$406	0x5805a4…
06-04 14:42:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	151	86¢	$130	0x947854…
06-04 14:42:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	406	33¢	$134	0x580cfe…
06-04 01:30:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	190	86¢	$163	0x450db3…
06-04 01:29:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	338	49¢	$166	0xfe0a39…
06-03 02:58:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	397	87¢	$346	0x6297db…
06-03 02:57:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	364	95¢	$345	0x0d897f…
06-03 02:57:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x648ef9…
06-03 02:57:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf771f3…
06-03 02:56:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x4f670e…
06-02 17:15:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	147	87¢	$128	0x34c4dd…
06-02 17:15:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0x1b1673…
06-02 17:14:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xfc2922…
06-02 17:14:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x25332e…
06-02 17:13:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	369	90¢	$332	0xb1fb1e…
05-31 17:19:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	369	82¢	$303	0x7b5387…
05-31 17:05:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	324	99¢	$320	0xf03dfc…
05-28 01:06:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	686	73¢	$501	0x2eeee6…
05-28 01:05:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	576	87¢	$501	0x1b64ce…
05-26 14:59:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	331	77¢	$255	0x1527b5…
05-26 14:58:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	262	97¢	$255	0x030dd8…
05-25 20:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	262	86¢	$225	0x22c809…
05-25 20:57:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	363	62¢	$225	0x41948b…
05-25 20:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	64¢	$95	0xc2e941…
05-22 02:46:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	348	82¢	$285	0xb1662c…
05-14 20:16:09	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x4818ea…
05-14 20:15:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	87¢	$52	0x50049a…
05-14 17:09:40	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	106	45¢	$48	0xb96011…
05-14 17:08:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xda75ec…
05-14 17:07:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	87¢	$101	0x703d60…
05-07 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb97540…
05-07 19:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5ecfd8…
05-05 22:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x57e9be…
05-05 22:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb4c653…
05-05 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2f9e71…
05-05 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x10a3ac…
05-05 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf136aa…
05-05 22:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x1ebf89…
05-05 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x64ae79…
05-05 22:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x73820e…
05-05 22:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x0b4a27…
05-05 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x7c086f…
05-05 22:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xde44a5…
05-05 22:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc53c0…
05-05 22:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x689935…
05-05 22:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x20b654…
05-05 22:07:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x5561da…
05-05 16:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9b99b…
05-05 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf800b9…
05-05 16:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x19728c…
05-05 16:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a5ef6…
05-05 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb44dee…
05-05 16:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xc8576a…
05-05 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2d4bec…
05-05 16:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2da492…
05-05 16:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x1d08ae…
05-05 16:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x44c98d…
05-05 16:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1d13e9…
05-05 16:14:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x7d5ef9…
05-01 18:30:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	263	80¢	$211	0x38f5cb…
04-29 21:27:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	76¢	$107	0x998843…
04-29 21:16:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0x00e042…
04-24 14:21:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	85¢	$287	0x79d658…
04-24 14:21:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xcc0efa…
04-24 14:18:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xc5d5bd…
04-24 14:18:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x47ed5c…
04-24 14:18:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5f914b…
04-14 22:28:48	btc updown 5m 1776205500	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x016522…
04-14 22:28:12	btc updown 5m 1776205500	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xab472a…
04-14 22:27:48	btc updown 5m 1776205500	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc95f67…
04-14 22:25:58	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$49	0x444d75…
04-13 20:56:11	btc updown 5m 1776113700	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf64994…
04-13 20:56:05	btc updown 5m 1776113700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xee7b88…
04-13 20:50:41	btc updown 5m 1776113400	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2bb858…
04-13 20:49:25	btc updown 5m 1776113100	Down	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xfd38e3…
04-13 20:48:19	btc updown 5m 1776113100	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd31575…
04-13 20:43:27	btc updown 5m 1776112800	Down	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x74ea76…
04-13 20:41:51	btc updown 5m 1776112800	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1d59b1…
04-13 20:39:17	btc updown 5m 1776112500	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xafe870…
04-13 20:37:27	btc updown 5m 1776112500	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xb2d6c7…
04-13 20:36:39	btc updown 5m 1776112500	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x18e7bb…
04-13 20:35:49	btc updown 5m 1776112500	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x08fcb6…
04-13 20:34:03	btc updown 5m 1776112200	Down	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x7554b9…
04-13 20:33:23	btc updown 5m 1776112200	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x50e26a…
04-13 20:33:01	btc updown 5m 1776112200	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xafd0c0…
04-13 20:31:29	btc updown 5m 1776112200	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x311688…
04-13 20:29:41	btc updown 5m 1776111900	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfd42e0…
04-13 20:28:53	btc updown 5m 1776111900	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x13a1ea…
04-13 20:28:21	btc updown 5m 1776111900	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x66756c…
04-13 20:23:07	btc updown 5m 1776111600	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xa810e2…
04-13 20:22:37	btc updown 5m 1776111600	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xde6922…
04-13 20:20:01	btc updown 5m 1776111300	Up	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe9fd05…
04-13 20:19:41	btc updown 5m 1776111300	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9c4edd…
04-13 20:17:49	btc updown 5m 1776111300	Down	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xd259fc…
04-13 20:15:53	btc updown 5m 1776111300	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe63ac3…
04-13 20:14:11	btc updown 5m 1776111000	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x4295fe…