Messy-Tweezers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-13 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% +$78

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$409	339	333	+6	open	—	04-27 09:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$360	253	253	+0	open	—	04-26 21:15
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	2	$202	159	159	+0	open	—	03-05 16:28
bitcoin above 70k on april 2	1	$200	690	0	+690	open	—	04-01 08:02
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$200	328	0	+328	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$128	05-05 16:20
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$187	150	150	+0	open	—	03-07 17:20
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	2	$181	135	135	+0	open	—	03-09 15:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$179	213	213	+0	open	—	05-13 22:01
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	2	$158	114	114	+0	open	—	03-08 21:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$151	349	0	+349	open	—	02-28 15:09
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	2	$151	103	101	+2	open	—	04-28 20:26
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$149	203	0	+203	open	—	03-01 07:25
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$144	106	106	+0	open	—	03-06 15:36
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 btts	2	$142	89	89	+0	open	—	03-06 22:04
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 btts	1	$130	206	0	+206	open	—	03-07 17:22
will trump be said at the oscars	2	$124	124	124	+0	open	—	03-10 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$117	115	115	+0	open	—	03-07 17:20
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	2	$112	277	0	+277	open	—	03-10 19:50
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	2	$105	75	75	+0	open	—	03-06 22:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$104	260	260	+0	open	—	03-26 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$98	169	164	+5	open	—	04-28 07:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$80	224	0	+224	open	—	03-26 22:20
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$59	174	0	+174	open	—	04-14 08:01
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$59	235	235	+0	open	—	03-23 11:26
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	2	$55	152	152	+0	open	—	03-08 21:29
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$50	98	0	+98	No	$-50	05-05 16:18
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	1	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	03-10 13:15
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	1	$49	199	0	+199	open	—	03-19 19:49
lal ovi bil 2026 02 15 spread away 1pt5	1	$35	166	0	+166	open	—	02-15 11:45
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$34	116	0	+116	No	$-34	05-05 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 22:01:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	213	37¢	$79	0x632d26…
05-05 16:22:44	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	116	29¢	$34	0xafc505…
05-05 16:21:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x62fa8d…
05-05 16:20:36	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xf87495…
05-05 16:18:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x70b8b1…
04-28 20:26:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa886e1…
04-28 08:00:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	103	48¢	$49	0x5557f8…
04-28 07:59:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	164	31¢	$51	0x0eff71…
04-27 09:18:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	333	63¢	$209	0xb85769…
04-26 21:18:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xd8a196…
04-26 21:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	169	28¢	$47	0xe856d1…
04-26 21:15:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	253	98¢	$247	0x7720f6…
04-17 13:31:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	45¢	$114	0xfef165…
04-14 08:01:51	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	174	34¢	$59	0x0f71ff…
04-03 21:24:49	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,539	1¢	$26	0x26ad1b…
04-01 08:02:13	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	Yes	BUY	324	7¢	$24	0xae26d8…
04-01 08:02:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xb6fb03…
03-26 22:20:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	116	34¢	$39	0x14ffba…
03-26 22:20:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	260	15¢	$39	0xca9b0a…
03-26 13:40:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	260	25¢	$65	0xd84db1…
03-26 13:40:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	489	1¢	$2	0x9189c5…
03-23 11:27:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	108	38¢	$41	0x0a894a…
03-23 11:26:09	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	235	8¢	$19	0x979ac6…
03-19 19:49:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	199	24¢	$49	0x1babb0…
03-19 17:10:55	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x8f1158…
03-17 17:48:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	489	3¢	$13	0x260ba1…
03-14 08:12:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x6c6792…
03-13 22:08:11	btc updown 5m 1773439500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xeff6ec…
03-13 18:44:39	lal ala vil 2026 03 13 spread away 1pt5	Villarreal CF	BUY	125	22¢	$27	0x4652a8…
03-10 19:50:43	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	156	40¢	$62	0x0ad532…
03-10 19:50:27	will trump be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	124	50¢	$62	0xffdbe2…
03-10 13:15:47	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x521f66…
03-09 22:20:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	92	34¢	$31	0x6f84ab…
03-09 22:19:47	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x86dcc9…
03-09 15:34:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 9	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x98d2e2…
03-09 07:48:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 9	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x809b9b…
03-08 22:54:45	will trump be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	124	50¢	$62	0x82a355…
03-08 21:29:59	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	114	95¢	$108	0x597dfd…
03-08 21:29:29	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	152	3¢	$5	0x514aab…
03-08 11:30:43	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x92df1d…
03-08 11:30:33	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x1c87a2…
03-07 19:00:21	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xe4e9a9…
03-07 18:59:51	lal mad rso 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5a1856…
03-07 17:22:33	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 btts	Yes	BUY	206	63¢	$130	0x2deb22…
03-07 17:21:13	lal mad rso 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc7b3a2…
03-07 17:20:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0xb7e6b2…
03-07 17:20:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	115	46¢	$53	0x03ff28…
03-06 22:08:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x0ea5a1…
03-06 22:07:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	115	56¢	$64	0xaea885…
03-06 22:05:05	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xac2aad…
03-06 22:04:55	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x08eba7…
03-06 21:41:25	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xef1535…
03-06 15:36:25	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	106	89¢	$94	0x6bfe22…
03-06 07:42:53	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	BUY	89	59¢	$53	0x5017c9…
03-05 16:28:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 5	No	SELL	159	96¢	$153	0xb6f1c3…
03-05 14:10:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 5	No	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0xcda9e6…
03-01 07:25:27	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	203	73¢	$149	0xd168ed…
03-01 07:25:13	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x76832e…
02-28 19:44:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	728	4¢	$33	0xea8cf8…
02-28 15:09:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	170	30¢	$51	0xc29dc1…
02-28 08:21:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xbfe2ee…
02-15 11:45:19	lal ovi bil 2026 02 15 spread away 1pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	166	21¢	$35	0x6d92ee…
02-09 22:13:45	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	209	10¢	$21	0xc715df…