Alert-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-17 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

8% 0% $-1

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$105	107	0	+107	open	—	04-27 08:02
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 120 139	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 03:37
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-13 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	05-17 08:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-18 03:49
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 100 119	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-08 08:38
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	04-03 08:41
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	03-31 11:23
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$71	73	0	+73	open	—	03-02 03:25
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	02-13 08:23
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	02-05 02:10
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-08 02:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	02-09 03:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-18 11:09
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	03-11 02:11
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	03-23 08:02
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	03-14 09:40
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	1	$66	96	0	+96	open	—	03-31 06:57
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	03-27 08:05
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$34	53	53	+0	open	—	01-30 01:30
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	01-13 03:04
will primate opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	01-12 07:28
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	1	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	01-09 03:28
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	01-05 02:22
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-14 09:40
will india join the board of peace	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-23 08:03
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	$-1	05-14 02:56
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 02:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 11:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:44:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfac3c3…
05-15 11:11:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7edd51…
05-15 11:11:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf27edb…
05-15 11:11:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x911fee…
05-15 11:11:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x247ce3…
05-14 02:56:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f7751…
05-14 02:56:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf8139…
05-14 02:56:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe81c5e…
05-14 02:56:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x236a8f…
05-12 07:10:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb25c2d…
05-12 07:10:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42800b…
04-27 08:02:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$105	0x10d609…
04-22 03:37:56	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 120 139	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x0d2aca…
04-18 03:49:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xec6f90…
04-13 06:39:41	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfe80b1…
04-08 08:38:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 100 119	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8ebad8…
04-03 08:41:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x70136d…
03-31 11:23:31	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0cb58c…
03-31 06:57:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	96	68¢	$66	0x28cda6…
03-27 08:05:41	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f2fd3…
03-27 08:05:21	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xe291f5…
03-23 08:03:05	will india join the board of peace	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbebe3a…
03-23 08:02:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x0ec9f9…
03-18 11:09:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x561d47…
03-14 09:40:25	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe81bbc…
03-14 09:40:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xd8520c…
03-11 02:11:59	will usd fall to 1pt3m iranian rials by march 31 476 423 961	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f3d3c…
03-11 02:11:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf1b9c5…
03-08 02:58:13	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb8e5f…
03-08 02:57:57	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47d63e…
03-08 02:57:53	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x114590…
03-08 02:57:43	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x400379…
03-02 03:25:07	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	73	96¢	$71	0xd4a5d0…
02-13 08:23:55	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0x8f88b3…
02-09 03:33:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xe8c86b…
02-05 02:10:01	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x36e245…
01-30 01:30:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xe3b662…
01-15 08:52:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	53	63¢	$34	0xf16486…
01-13 03:04:35	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x0d56ef…
01-12 07:28:42	will primate opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x76b9b6…
01-09 03:28:04	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x74e583…
01-05 02:22:31	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xfe5817…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$221.6K	3,808	05-30 11:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	27	$4.07K	1,249	05-14 13:01
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	25	$43.6K	3,706	04-30 13:54
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	25	$6.22K	2,858	04-16 21:51
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	24	$8.75K	1,651	05-06 11:14
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	24	$924	680	05-29 21:42
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	23	$24.3K	182	05-29 21:26
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	23	$19.6K	1,988	03-28 06:11