Nocturnal-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-28 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

51% 0% $-1

Other

24% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	12	$1.4K	736	736	+0	open	—	04-09 21:24
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$1.2K	642	642	+0	open	—	03-18 09:04
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$1.2K	625	625	+0	open	—	03-28 21:36
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$1.0K	544	544	+0	open	—	03-25 14:12
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$435	224	224	+0	open	—	03-16 19:21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$426	218	218	+0	open	—	03-16 07:13
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$424	217	217	+0	open	—	03-17 19:05
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$413	211	211	+0	open	—	03-21 01:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$412	210	210	+0	open	—	03-13 02:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$407	220	220	+0	open	—	03-19 15:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 05:32
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$391	203	203	+0	No	$-0	03-20 17:38
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$388	208	208	+0	open	—	04-24 19:17
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$388	202	202	+0	open	—	03-26 16:53
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$378	194	194	+0	open	—	04-25 01:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$370	197	196	+0	open	—	04-25 08:13
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$351	179	179	+0	open	—	03-23 02:31
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$223	114	114	+0	open	—	03-30 20:05
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$208	107	107	+0	open	—	04-16 19:11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$136	71	71	+0	open	—	06-20 10:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$133	68	68	+0	open	—	04-10 06:40
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$131	67	67	+0	open	—	04-13 13:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	04-11 10:45
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	06-05 13:00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$115	60	60	+0	No	$-0	04-27 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	05-20 09:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	05-21 08:57
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	06-10 17:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	04-11 04:27
will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	3	$108	58	58	+0	open	—	06-20 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 00:42:51	mlb hou laa 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x22524c…
06-20 10:08:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x66b414…
06-20 04:07:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x6ddb01…
06-20 03:36:38	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x1d8d1a…
06-19 22:03:55	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x9c4063…
06-19 21:36:20	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe2ad04…
06-18 22:39:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xc0eb07…
06-18 17:34:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x996ea9…
06-18 17:04:19	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x4b8f6e…
06-18 12:56:10	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xcde28b…
06-16 06:35:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x5361b3…
06-15 02:01:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$43	0x08dae5…
06-10 17:20:10	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x8ddd67…
06-10 11:16:10	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x0aae38…
06-09 21:23:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x1cc49a…
06-09 16:19:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x90f89e…
06-07 11:09:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0xe35391…
06-07 06:06:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x1675da…
06-06 21:40:01	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xc0f3f5…
06-06 13:32:22	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xa32e85…
06-06 06:09:54	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xdc3c95…
06-06 01:03:37	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x322cd3…
06-05 13:00:22	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0xb91e6c…
06-05 04:19:40	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x8987da…
06-02 15:58:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x56b9c9…
06-02 11:56:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x0cd825…
05-23 03:24:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0xa7317b…
05-22 19:19:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6f0d2e…
05-21 08:57:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xa473fd…
05-21 01:52:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xb45fa1…
05-20 09:50:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xbae475…
05-20 02:49:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x225e75…
05-19 09:32:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xf62601…
05-19 03:30:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x7d966d…
04-27 15:41:14	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0x5ee1de…
04-27 09:32:36	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x6f25bc…
04-25 08:13:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	196	94¢	$185	0x68bc03…
04-25 02:39:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	145	94¢	$137	0x3a551a…
04-25 02:07:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x3c5814…
04-25 01:39:04	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	194	97¢	$189	0x4a0d1a…
04-24 19:37:54	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	194	98¢	$189	0x59ad06…
04-24 19:17:14	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	208	93¢	$194	0x345213…
04-24 15:07:12	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	93¢	$194	0x07037e…
04-22 03:19:18	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$43	0xd720d5…
04-21 20:01:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xf91269…
04-16 19:11:06	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xe60ca6…
04-16 08:25:54	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x3c4e44…
04-15 15:12:00	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x39c258…
04-15 08:18:22	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x726ed1…
04-13 13:52:07	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0xf0dc7b…
04-13 08:43:27	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x14cf6d…
04-11 10:45:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$61	0x242961…
04-11 05:25:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$61	0xe60f94…
04-11 04:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x0d43c0…
04-10 19:54:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0xb2f5bf…
04-10 06:40:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x77d129…
04-09 23:00:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x08032d…
04-09 21:24:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x50bbd3…
04-09 10:40:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb5e018…
04-09 01:37:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xd805d4…
04-08 18:35:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xe8d5fc…
03-31 19:39:13	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x9ec5a9…
03-31 12:03:25	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x3c6e0a…
03-31 10:44:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x00eb03…
03-31 04:50:01	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x049ea5…
03-30 20:05:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x0a1e70…
03-30 15:32:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x8521a0…
03-30 15:04:25	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x9eff22…
03-30 10:40:32	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc4b101…
03-28 21:36:00	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	204	94¢	$192	0x0acb06…
03-28 12:23:37	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	204	95¢	$194	0x30062b…
03-28 11:04:47	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	203	95¢	$193	0x9b742c…
03-28 07:01:15	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	203	95¢	$193	0x8f5518…
03-28 05:32:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xa9a69f…
03-28 00:00:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x82a96b…
03-26 16:53:29	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	202	96¢	$194	0x583664…
03-26 08:41:35	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0x71f4d5…
03-26 01:27:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	212	94¢	$199	0xae6acc…
03-25 17:29:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0xe470d0…
03-25 17:28:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x67d533…
03-25 16:23:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x322f7f…
03-25 14:12:35	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	206	96¢	$198	0x78b292…
03-25 08:06:17	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0x9c81b6…
03-25 06:58:15	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	86	96¢	$82	0x63749b…
03-25 06:22:41	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	209	93¢	$194	0x463e10…
03-25 00:33:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	209	93¢	$194	0x0a9eff…
03-23 02:31:27	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	179	98¢	$176	0x147f01…
03-22 18:09:57	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x351cb2…
03-22 17:49:49	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xb153b5…
03-21 01:17:15	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	211	98¢	$207	0x31140b…
03-20 18:14:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	211	98¢	$206	0xcea842…
03-20 17:38:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	203	96¢	$195	0xf6b4c4…
03-20 11:23:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	203	97¢	$196	0x4dba88…
03-19 23:12:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	209	96¢	$201	0xb05a10…
03-19 19:25:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x455b75…
03-19 19:09:07	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1f6b0…
03-19 19:09:05	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8319f0…
03-19 19:05:51	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0xb3df79…
03-19 19:03:17	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x11cb85…
03-19 15:21:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0x24ca5b…