Realized P&L (24h)
+$712
Unrealized P&L
-$8.78K
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (24h)
19
Trades (24h)
72
578 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$23.7K
$170.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$295
Open exposure
$50.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-26 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
48% 56% -$242
Other
40% 50% -$251
Crypto
11% 100% +$804
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -14,268 -$12,698 94¢ $-13340 -$642 10-21 12:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -185,202 -$14,011 6¢ $-12038 +$1,972 10-25 12:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +170,934 $12,087 6¢ $11.1K -$977 10-25 12:19
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +11,110 $10,055 97¢ $10.8K +$733 10-17 02:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +108,508 $10,187 2¢ $2.2K -$8,017 10-23 20:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -185,202 -$443 0¢ $-648 -$205 10-25 12:44
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +11,110 $1,578 3¢ $322 -$1,255 10-17 14:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -185,202 -$314 0¢ $-185 +$129 10-25 12:21
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +764 $530 2¢ $15 -$515 10-25 20:06
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 -$1 14¢ $-1 $0 10-15 03:31
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 -$1 12¢ $-1 $0 10-15 03:33
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 10¢ $-1 $0 10-15 03:34
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 03:33
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:33
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 03:34
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:34
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 03:34
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:34
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:34
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:35
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 03:34
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 03:35
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:33
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-15 03:32