Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$64

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-28 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

88% 44% +$29

Politics

12% 0% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+94	$20	34¢	$32	+$12	10-27 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+89	$11	30¢	$27	+$15	10-27 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	—	+46	$5	10¢	$5	$0	10-28 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$38	51	51	+0	No	+$18	10-23 12:09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	08-18 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$20	94	0	+94	open	—	10-27 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	4	$19	59	39	+20	No	-$5	10-27 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$16	112	66	+46	open	—	10-28 09:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$13	23	23	+0	Yes	-$3	04-13 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$11	89	0	+89	open	—	10-27 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$9	23	23	+0	No	+$3	04-15 11:43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	4	$9	72	72	+0	No	+$2	10-23 12:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$8	23	23	+0	open	—	10-27 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$7	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	10-22 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$7	71	71	+0	open	—	10-27 10:17
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$6	5,530	0	+5,530	Yes	-$6	04-15 11:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$5	19	19	+0	open	—	10-26 20:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$5	21	21	+0	open	—	10-25 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	1	$5	20	0	+20	Yes	+$15	10-23 20:49
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$5	2,077	0	+2,077	No	-$5	08-19 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$5	101	101	+0	open	—	10-27 11:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$4	22	22	+0	open	—	10-25 07:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$4	17	0	+17	Yes	-$4	04-19 19:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	1	$4	58	0	+58	Yes	-$4	04-14 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$4	31	31	+0	No	-$2	10-25 07:21
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$3	1,171	0	+1,171	No	-$3	08-19 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	+$5	10-25 14:35
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$3	1,535	0	+1,535	No	-$3	08-19 08:43
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$3	991	0	+991	No	-$3	08-19 08:43
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$3	1,003	0	+1,003	No	-$3	08-19 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	-$1	10-22 08:59
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	2	$2	29	29	+0	No	-$2	10-26 13:01
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	104	0	+104	No	-$2	08-19 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	12¢	$6	0x05e03c…
10-28 07:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	8¢	$6	0x012e88…
10-27 18:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x45971f…
10-27 18:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4e4a45…
10-27 13:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x852119…
10-27 13:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0xc9362f…
10-27 11:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x081436…
10-27 10:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xcb3da3…
10-27 10:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xdd2eeb…
10-27 10:20:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x6f340e…
10-27 10:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$4	0x89743b…
10-27 07:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x08c8a5…
10-26 20:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd49bc4…
10-26 20:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xb5d4ac…
10-26 13:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x878084…
10-25 19:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe8f20d…
10-25 14:37:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x8df817…
10-25 14:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x40672c…
10-25 14:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x20fa33…
10-25 07:26:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0xa93e94…
10-25 07:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x2c145c…
10-25 07:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xa9ea13…
10-25 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6286ba…
10-25 07:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x35a875…
10-25 07:21:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x74ad1d…
10-25 07:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xf3d8d1…
10-24 04:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x8235f9…
10-23 20:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x956c7d…
10-23 20:48:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5ce85f…
10-23 20:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x26e772…
10-23 20:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x1ac13a…
10-23 20:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfb394d…
10-23 20:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x615462…
10-23 20:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x24353b…
10-23 12:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xef4d24…
10-23 12:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	55¢	$28	0x076409…
10-22 09:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x0d4d88…
10-22 09:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x722a4f…
10-22 09:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x9d415a…
10-22 09:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0xabc1ff…
10-22 08:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa094fd…
10-22 08:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xb5d997…
10-21 08:34:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x9215cf…
10-21 08:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x56f725…
10-21 08:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3a7996…
10-21 08:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x98504e…
10-21 08:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2a95c6…
08-19 08:47:12	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8e6517…
08-19 08:47:03	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,077	0¢	$5	0x9a4b0f…
08-19 08:44:01	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xbaff33…
08-19 08:43:34	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,003	0¢	$3	0x8df538…
08-19 08:43:30	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,171	0¢	$3	0x365e3f…
08-19 08:43:25	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	991	0¢	$3	0x738a4d…
08-19 08:43:16	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,535	0¢	$3	0x6f0a4f…
08-18 16:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xeaa4ca…
08-18 09:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd20fbc…
08-18 09:44:10	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	526	0¢	$1	0x8ffb86…
04-19 19:28:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x0beac4…
04-15 11:43:44	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5,530	0¢	$6	0xa634c2…
04-15 11:43:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x6deb54…
04-14 13:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x301fef…
04-13 07:34:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x730820…
04-13 07:34:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x42787e…
04-13 07:34:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xfb4fc6…
04-13 07:34:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b80a5…
04-13 07:34:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d0495…
04-12 15:43:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xf8d203…
04-12 15:39:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4d3640…