Clumsy-Substance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$0

Other

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-21 02:44
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-02 05:08
ethereum above 2900 on january 6	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	01-06 02:03
bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-18 06:17
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-05 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-04 08:57
ethereum above 1900 on april 9	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-09 02:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	05-06 07:09
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-14 08:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$45	46	+46	open	—	03-25 03:28
bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-30 04:38
ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	2	$40	40	+40	open	—	06-04 01:29
bitcoin above 84k on january 8	2	$40	40	+40	open	—	01-08 08:23
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$40	43	+43	open	—	01-25 03:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	1	$40	40	+40	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:38
ethereum above 1700 on march 6	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-06 01:51
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-09 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-14 03:19
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-07 01:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-08 07:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-10 10:01
bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	06-11 06:44
ethereum above 1900 on march 16	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-16 02:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 06:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-27 02:35
ethereum above 2100 on april 19	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-19 05:41
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-07 06:32
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-10 02:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	06-02 02:22
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 16?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-15 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:38:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbd023a…
06-27 01:54:26	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3fdc68…
06-26 04:37:20	ethereum above 1400 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f4934…
06-23 03:24:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc9961c…
06-18 06:17:44	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9fda45…
06-15 03:05:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9476a9…
06-12 01:57:15	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x899cc0…
06-11 06:44:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb09a8e…
06-08 02:10:39	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56b170…
06-08 02:10:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fa67e…
06-05 07:28:43	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1ad80…
06-04 01:29:13	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbafc66…
06-04 01:29:06	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f6cf3…
06-04 01:28:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x50d5ae…
06-04 01:28:33	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x41c560…
06-03 02:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x17f399…
06-02 02:22:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x98abcc…
05-29 03:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdad542…
05-28 07:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x647d2a…
05-26 01:44:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeeacf3…
05-20 03:28:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd2e7…
05-15 03:27:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2117d8…
05-14 03:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x63e7ac…
05-12 06:46:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3370c6…
05-10 10:01:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcdac4b…
05-10 10:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb650f…
05-09 04:38:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd4a375…
05-08 07:08:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd16c31…
05-07 07:11:10	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfef7b9…
05-06 07:09:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a3934…
05-04 08:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9cf849…
04-29 07:51:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fa403…
04-28 07:35:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x112545…
04-27 02:35:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86cf89…
04-23 01:29:40	will ethereum reach 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f3108…
04-22 01:20:30	dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	MOUZ	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6ffea6…
04-21 04:09:16	highest temperature in dallas on april 22 2026 53forbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe0954a…
04-21 04:08:34	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdce36d…
04-20 07:41:38	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7dff4…
04-20 07:38:00	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5b2763…
04-20 07:26:52	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x71af79…
04-20 07:26:46	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	469	0¢	$0	0x145718…
04-20 07:26:10	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	9,500	0¢	$10	0xa3047f…
04-20 01:26:42	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 35forbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x904bf6…
04-20 01:25:46	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97a910…
04-19 05:41:32	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x52e545…
04-19 05:40:30	lol tes ig1 2026 04 19	Top Esports	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x619c6c…
04-18 01:34:54	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69e850…
04-17 02:41:38	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd35bb9…
04-15 02:32:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77cfc1…
04-14 08:01:15	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8ca64…
04-13 02:23:59	cs2 ta emp2 2026 04 12	Team Aether	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd6aca8…
04-10 02:21:09	cs2 ta boss 2026 04 09	BOSS	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbdfc48…
04-10 02:19:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce5794…
04-09 02:11:53	ethereum above 1900 on april 9	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb40ed6…
04-08 03:24:11	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51423d…
04-08 03:23:35	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4070f3…
04-07 06:32:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf11cc4…
04-04 01:24:27	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x724d34…
04-04 01:22:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19f191…
04-02 07:39:11	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8742be…
04-02 02:49:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 2	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6d444…
04-01 03:26:27	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x53232d…
03-31 02:07:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd271f7…
03-30 01:30:44	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ba236…
03-30 01:29:12	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x10f27b…
03-29 03:31:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f1e54…
03-27 08:20:49	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x949a36…
03-26 06:57:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcc6dd4…
03-25 03:56:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1787a…
03-25 03:28:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdd62f…
03-24 03:08:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x394735…
03-24 03:08:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x85d6be…
03-23 01:19:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5b121…
03-20 03:04:47	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf12ff0…
03-19 02:42:03	nba atl dal 2026 03 18	Hawks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e728f…
03-19 02:40:51	nba atl dal 2026 03 18	Hawks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x488c8f…
03-18 05:01:33	cbb unlv ucirv 2026 03 17	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd0314c…
03-17 01:21:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3e1be0…
03-17 01:16:43	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x83fd55…
03-16 02:25:55	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8bd580…
03-15 02:49:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0b8667…
03-14 08:30:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x37eae3…
03-13 06:10:25	solana above 70 on march 13	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e6e82…
03-10 02:57:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf1abf9…
03-09 01:26:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x40c391…
03-08 08:15:31	dota2 xtreme nem 2026 03 08	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x959cf8…
03-07 01:57:53	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa42b6a…
03-07 01:52:15	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xb87897…
03-06 01:51:33	ethereum above 1700 on march 6	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd6663e…
03-05 03:37:45	cbb old gas 2026 03 04	Georgia Southern Eagles	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x54463d…
03-05 03:35:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc46e4…
03-03 02:09:53	solana above 60 on march 3	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda6fd5…
03-02 05:08:59	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x332e53…
03-02 05:08:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x459be7…
02-28 03:01:01	bitcoin above 60k on february 28	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b8b94…
02-27 03:16:10	nba por chi 2026 02 26	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef1bcc…
02-27 03:15:32	nba por chi 2026 02 26	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f7d6d…
02-23 04:07:18	solana above 70 on february 23	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x449e64…
02-22 07:26:54	ethereum above 1800 on february 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd578e1…