Fast-Instrumentalist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

115

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$989

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-23 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 83% $-1

Politics

14% — —

Other

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		+10	$6	68¢	$7	+$1	06-08 20:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+10	$4	32¢	$3	$-1	06-08 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 23:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	15	$48	87	7	+80	open	—	06-07 17:04
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	13	$43	55	25	+30	open	—	06-08 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$28	52	4	+47	open	—	06-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	7	$26	32	14	+18	open	—	06-01 03:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	10	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	06-08 19:13
wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	6	$20	35	7	+28	open	—	06-08 15:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	6	$18	36	0	+35	open	—	06-02 15:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	5	$17	33	1	+32	open	—	06-05 04:47
bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	06-14 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 00:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-08 20:24
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$6	11	1	+10	open	—	06-08 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	06-01 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	open	—	05-24 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	05-23 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-23 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-23 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-24 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-22 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-24 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-17 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-22 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-22 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 08:26:11	btc updown 5m 1782203100	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x196223…
06-23 08:25:50	btc updown 5m 1782203100	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd27010…
06-23 08:20:43	btc updown 5m 1782202800	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x7b362b…
06-23 08:16:17	btc updown 5m 1782202500	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x94f7ac…
06-23 08:15:41	btc updown 5m 1782202500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8d05ba…
06-17 02:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781663400	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe77648…
06-16 16:01:25	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xd50ce1…
06-16 15:51:19	btc updown 5m 1781625000	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xbeba39…
06-16 15:39:22	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xfa0471…
06-16 15:35:44	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4d01c3…
06-14 20:55:24	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4801e3…
06-14 20:38:31	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9d31a6…
06-14 20:38:31	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x01c26e…
06-14 20:37:31	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x999c49…
06-14 20:37:30	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x77d290…
06-08 21:58:10	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x4ca1b3…
06-08 21:49:43	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd466f…
06-08 21:49:43	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8ff33a…
06-08 20:24:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcc0fbc…
06-08 20:24:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7f39e8…
06-08 20:19:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x527cf2…
06-08 20:19:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x265313…
06-08 19:13:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc1f42d…
06-08 19:13:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x85fa08…
06-08 19:13:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7bd262…
06-08 19:13:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x68c5e8…
06-08 19:11:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x739693…
06-08 19:11:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x227b12…
06-08 18:51:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9a6610…
06-08 18:51:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x696a20…
06-08 18:49:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x846717…
06-08 18:49:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1ca360…
06-08 16:25:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe74f3c…
06-08 16:01:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb68d85…
06-08 16:01:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd214f3…
06-08 16:01:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc78c27…
06-08 15:53:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5fe5d8…
06-08 15:53:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc2ddcd…
06-08 15:24:40	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x96ed15…
06-08 15:24:30	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb0c2ec…
06-08 15:20:10	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xe86c3a…
06-08 15:20:10	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x28bab3…
06-08 15:18:46	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xba705c…
06-08 15:18:46	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x15ba64…
06-08 12:05:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5ef43f…
06-08 12:01:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfa2964…
06-08 12:01:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9a2250…
06-08 12:01:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf7a825…
06-08 12:00:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x810321…
06-08 11:52:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8bd4ac…
06-08 11:52:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x397b48…
06-07 22:20:45	btc updown 5m 1780870800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf368a2…
06-07 22:15:58	btc updown 5m 1780870500	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x5eec35…
06-07 22:15:42	btc updown 5m 1780870500	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd506be…
06-07 22:01:27	btc updown 5m 1780869600	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7347df…
06-07 22:00:42	btc updown 5m 1780869600	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4a7319…
06-07 21:36:06	btc updown 5m 1780868100	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x538199…
06-07 21:03:07	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x45c05c…
06-07 18:05:03	btc updown 5m 1780855200	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x62e249…
06-07 18:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780855200	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe180cc…
06-07 17:52:36	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x891deb…
06-07 17:48:12	btc updown 5m 1780854300	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xda7ba4…
06-07 17:04:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xb949ff…
06-07 14:58:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xfbe528…
06-06 05:10:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xff2deb…
06-06 05:10:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa5e7a0…
06-06 05:04:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x600728…
06-06 05:04:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0b1f83…
06-06 05:03:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc415e5…
06-06 05:03:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa194c5…
06-06 04:14:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5d4e54…
06-06 04:14:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x23e59a…
06-06 02:49:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x964ccd…
06-06 02:49:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0f37c3…
06-05 23:50:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xcd0c09…
06-05 23:50:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc26936…
06-05 21:53:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x47e128…
06-05 21:53:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x129a0d…
06-05 20:53:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xdfa888…
06-05 20:53:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x11249c…
06-05 20:38:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb9f408…
06-05 20:38:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xb50e42…
06-05 19:44:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb9fa0d…
06-05 19:44:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x6547ee…
06-05 18:11:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4cb63e…
06-05 18:11:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xde8777…
06-05 18:11:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x05bac7…
06-05 16:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x0d00c4…
06-05 16:29:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x1c6a32…
06-05 16:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x3373d3…
06-05 14:34:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x8d8ff7…
06-05 14:34:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x362c11…
06-05 14:07:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc5b329…
06-05 14:07:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x5e8c6e…
06-05 14:07:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x191295…
06-05 07:30:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xf9c09f…
06-05 07:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x7e0d57…
06-05 07:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x70e18a…
06-05 07:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x084804…
06-05 04:47:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	94¢	$0	0x694db2…