Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-18 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

54% 57% -$37

Crypto

33% 54% -$64

Sports

9% 59% -$5

Other

4% 17% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No		+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	10-18 09:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+5	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-18 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	3	$409	211	211	+0	No	+$9	01-22 02:31
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	1	$163	2,663	0	+2,663	Yes	-$163	01-22 02:32
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	2	$60	105	0	+105	Yes	+$45	01-05 11:54
nfl was phi 2026 01 04	1	$60	61	0	+61	Commanders	+$1	01-05 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:05 UTC	2	$51	5,100	0	+5,100	Down	-$51	03-17 10:09
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	10-18 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	4	$43	44	2	+42	Up	-$1	03-17 08:50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$40	114	0	+114	Yes	+$74	01-05 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	5	$34	31	17	+14	Up	+$2	03-19 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:25 UTC	4	$31	32	5	+27	Up	+$2	03-17 08:29
crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	2	$30	17	17	+0	Bangladesh	+$0	03-11 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	2	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	03-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:10 UTC	2	$23	13	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 10:14
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-17 06:47
nba nop mia 2026 01 04	1	$20	23	0	+23	Heat	+$3	01-05 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:10 UTC	2	$16	19	0	+19	Down	$0	03-17 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:40 UTC	3	$16	17	12	+5	Up	+$4	03-19 09:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$15	300	0	+300	No	-$15	03-11 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	5	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	6	$13	121	10	+111	Down	-$3	03-17 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	4	$13	22	16	+6	Down	+$2	03-17 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:05 UTC	4	$12	19	13	+6	Down	+$2	03-17 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	5	$10	11	5	+5	Down	+$1	03-19 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:45 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-17 09:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:00 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	03-17 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:30 UTC	3	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	03-17 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:20 UTC	3	$9	12	9	+3	Up	+$1	03-19 10:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	4	$8	33	0	+33	Down	-$8	03-19 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	6	$8	9	8	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x81c975…
10-18 09:53:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4b7425…
10-18 09:50:08	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x7a86c7…
10-18 09:47:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8904cd…
10-18 09:39:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xafda37…
10-18 09:38:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x484b2b…
03-20 13:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdb2331…
03-20 13:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x830530…
03-20 13:38:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa1d1dc…
03-20 13:37:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x66f83e…
03-20 13:33:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x796dfb…
03-20 13:32:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x073bcd…
03-20 13:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb18b2c…
03-20 13:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdd298d…
03-20 13:31:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x368e3c…
03-20 13:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf31a53…
03-20 13:26:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf9b556…
03-20 13:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcfd1e9…
03-20 13:25:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x25aeed…
03-20 13:18:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa6cd3f…
03-20 13:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x759b74…
03-20 13:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d05d1…
03-20 13:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x007f7e…
03-20 13:08:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf3187a…
03-20 13:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8d3d8a…
03-20 12:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6e0548…
03-19 10:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbb58c0…
03-19 10:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc65fa8…
03-19 10:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd0ee83…
03-19 10:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd08ea2…
03-19 10:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe47a6…
03-19 10:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xcfb3f3…
03-19 10:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x420cd0…
03-19 10:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x3a6f71…
03-19 10:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x10adf2…
03-19 10:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd72c9a…
03-19 10:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x1b5d36…
03-19 10:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9484cf…
03-19 10:33:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x230e56…
03-19 10:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd51ef5…
03-19 10:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9c804d…
03-19 10:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xdcbe68…
03-19 10:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x951522…
03-19 10:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9ac6b9…
03-19 10:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x34cbb1…
03-19 10:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xfe6fde…
03-19 10:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa72b74…
03-19 10:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x1aedfa…
03-19 10:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x775aaf…
03-19 10:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xa01a71…
03-19 10:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xedd0a2…
03-19 10:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xd34e3f…
03-19 10:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd72c64…
03-19 10:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe9596e…
03-19 10:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x5c0c7c…
03-19 10:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x63b0d8…
03-19 10:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8a5dcc…
03-19 10:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfb6133…
03-19 10:01:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf1988b…
03-19 10:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6d2b2f…
03-19 10:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb4ce4c…
03-19 10:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa5ac81…
03-19 09:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x10d033…
03-19 09:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x17b698…
03-19 09:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x51d588…
03-19 09:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac5e25…
03-19 09:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xda784a…
03-19 09:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfb8ead…
03-19 09:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xf70d40…
03-19 09:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x3698e7…
03-19 09:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1b235c…
03-17 10:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x153233…
03-17 10:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfb1114…
03-17 10:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5e1608…
03-17 10:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x646d70…
03-17 10:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdf20e3…
03-17 10:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1fefdd…
03-17 10:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xa84666…
03-17 10:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x537033…
03-17 10:08:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20ab7d…
03-17 09:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8be570…
03-17 09:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x434b7d…
03-17 09:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x16e98e…
03-17 09:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xe06d95…
03-17 09:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4d2ec2…
03-17 09:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2f1acc…
03-17 09:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x3c8deb…
03-17 09:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x69be3c…
03-17 09:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe9edec…
03-17 09:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3cc2d8…
03-17 09:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdcaed6…
03-17 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e5f34…
03-17 09:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x167d97…
03-17 09:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x125ab9…
03-17 09:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc4e4ec…
03-17 09:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbb9709…
03-17 09:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x8ef625…
03-17 09:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4c6c48…
03-17 08:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb94b22…
03-17 08:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x1fb172…