Treasured-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$350

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-21 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 100% +$0

Other

37% 100% +$7

Politics

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	06-13 00:45
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$38	38	+38	open	—	02-10 23:31
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	1	$30	32	+32	open	—	07-21 21:40
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$30	31	+31	open	—	03-12 00:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	01-09 15:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-16 23:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-09 17:57
will solana reach 120 in july 2026	1	$21	22	+22	open	—	07-21 21:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	05-16 23:29
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-09 15:55
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	03-12 00:04
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-09 17:57
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	02-10 23:30
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	17	+17	Yes	+$7	04-09 17:56
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-16 23:28
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-12 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:41:51	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xb91c4e…
07-21 21:40:42	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc9e4a5…
06-13 00:45:13	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb20499…
05-16 23:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc10d18…
05-16 23:28:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc9c71…
05-16 23:27:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x875f98…
04-09 17:57:49	Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x018af3…
04-09 17:57:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf3d401…
04-09 17:56:13	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x6ff1d2…
03-12 00:04:07	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf0e8e2…
03-12 00:03:13	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x58ca7e…
03-12 00:02:19	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x724ebb…
02-10 23:31:23	Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x59501e…
02-10 23:30:51	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x423eac…
01-09 15:55:38	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f5179…
01-09 15:55:30	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x773617…