Familiar-Smuggling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$427

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-18 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$0

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$27	3,421	3,421	+0	open	—	04-12 18:22
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-06 11:56
bitcoin above 72k on april 4	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-03 16:11
ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-06 11:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-01 12:51
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-22 09:49
ethereum above 2400 on april 13	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-13 09:54
bitcoin above 72k on april 5	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-05 02:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-21 09:36
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-14 13:15
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 13:46
bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-18 02:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-16 12:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 09:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-17 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-11 10:12
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 01:38
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 10:57
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 11:58
ethereum above 2500 on april 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 14:04
bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-12 11:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-26 11:41
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-17 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-10 12:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 08:13
ethereum above 2500 on april 15	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-15 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 02:44:59	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ee627…
06-14 13:27:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x857047…
06-12 11:17:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xcc0221…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa544c1…
06-01 12:51:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfae1c5…
05-26 11:41:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0842d…
05-21 09:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xba2e8e…
05-20 10:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b9e15…
05-17 12:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe93d33…
05-15 10:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43243d…
05-14 08:24:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10c1ba…
05-13 12:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x880b0c…
05-11 10:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x374ef3…
05-10 12:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x43f4be…
05-07 09:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x56d9df…
05-03 08:13:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581f15…
04-27 09:26:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x30a161…
04-26 11:37:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ce8a1…
04-25 15:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9cc94b…
04-23 09:20:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdbe42…
04-22 09:49:20	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0b2925…
04-20 13:46:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c9f85…
04-19 11:58:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7df56…
04-18 14:04:52	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74949b…
04-17 13:14:02	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf1055b…
04-16 12:20:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb047a9…
04-15 09:58:04	ethereum above 2500 on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe2984…
04-14 13:15:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa4e1b0…
04-13 09:54:29	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeffb9c…
04-13 01:38:27	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9bafb…
04-12 18:22:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3,421	0¢	$14	0x5ac897…
04-12 18:11:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,421	0¢	$14	0xae8e77…
04-10 15:09:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91fef0…
04-06 11:56:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5efcba…
04-05 02:19:07	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5c3af7…
04-03 16:11:29	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf358bf…