Traumatic-Playground — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

15.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$254

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-01 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 20% $-8

Politics

16% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes		-23	$-4	12¢	$-3	+$1	06-14 17:22
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes		-17	$-1	3¢	$-0	+$1	06-11 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$23	26	26	+0	open	—	04-08 22:57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-28 21:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 13:46
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	2	$20	31	31	+0	open	—	06-15 17:35
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	$-3	05-06 20:35
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	2	$15	16	16	+0	Under	$-5	05-06 20:15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 19:31
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-14 07:24
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 1pt5	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 20:43
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	2	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	06-16 22:17
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	06-16 18:13
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$8	28	0	+28	open	—	04-06 21:00
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	2	$7	31	0	+31	open	—	06-07 15:38
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:18
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 18:45
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-01 18:45
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-13 17:50
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-16 18:02
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-13 19:14
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 19:12
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$4	25	25	+0	open	—	04-12 04:29
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 20:33
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$4	0	23	-23	open	—	06-14 17:22
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-15 17:59
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	04-09 19:12
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$-2	05-06 20:47
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals desire doue gte1	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	06-16 18:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 19:14
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 first half total 1pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 18:15
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	$-2	05-06 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:45:34	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x38afb3…
06-16 22:17:01	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xe18757…
06-16 22:00:50	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xefba6a…
06-16 18:15:04	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc5f5bb…
06-16 18:14:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x17d2bc…
06-16 18:13:22	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xe9fe88…
06-16 18:03:32	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xeacf52…
06-16 18:02:34	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8629f9…
06-16 18:02:14	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1d5d94…
06-15 17:59:00	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x31e6c8…
06-15 17:35:22	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0xce5494…
06-15 17:35:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x49ed2c…
06-14 17:22:28	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x1550c9…
06-14 07:24:01	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd6906a…
06-13 17:50:54	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x38ca1f…
06-11 20:43:27	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe5796b…
06-11 13:58:22	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf0d9b…
06-11 13:56:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x98c693…
06-11 13:40:09	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x36f41f…
06-07 15:38:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x643955…
06-07 14:45:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8ba8b7…
06-05 10:31:22	will turkiye reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134482	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xecd671…
05-06 20:47:06	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2bbf27…
05-06 20:35:45	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x2c9431…
05-06 20:18:25	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x89d23b…
05-06 20:15:50	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x43e046…
05-06 15:01:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2c1a75…
05-06 14:59:03	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2eea27…
05-06 14:58:54	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa9c70c…
05-06 14:58:00	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc4f6b7…
05-06 14:57:51	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1c78a7…
05-06 14:57:46	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x49e554…
04-28 21:10:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x063ed7…
04-28 19:31:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x77cc5a…
04-28 19:06:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x725935…
04-28 19:04:24	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xcf34be…
04-20 13:46:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x6f7980…
04-16 21:44:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x46e1a7…
04-15 18:48:12	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5bb2b3…
04-14 20:33:34	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xcf9934…
04-14 20:18:10	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4b554f…
04-14 19:31:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x5afc31…
04-14 18:46:28	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6b8397…
04-14 18:46:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x05feda…
04-14 18:45:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xb67aa4…
04-13 19:14:17	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6f0d6e…
04-13 19:12:59	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x1be242…
04-12 06:02:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeefcae…
04-12 06:01:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xf40484…
04-12 04:29:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x27f5c9…
04-09 19:18:27	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x798ece…
04-09 19:18:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x43e542…
04-09 19:16:17	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6ef2f1…
04-09 19:14:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa5e37b…
04-09 19:12:57	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x27b6e8…
04-08 22:57:15	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xef970b…
04-06 21:00:03	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x5e1822…
04-04 22:08:09	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xeb7dc8…