Tedious-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$74

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-11 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Crypto

40% 29% $-11

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		-385	$-7	2¢	$-6	+$1	06-11 06:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	06-11 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$26	31	0	+31	open	—	04-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 12:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 16:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$7	0	385	-385	open	—	06-11 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Up	$-6	05-05 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-05 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-05 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-06 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-06 05:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-11 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:05:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x722527…
06-11 06:51:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	385	2¢	$7	0x54bada…
05-06 12:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x30a5de…
05-06 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd4ab59…
05-06 12:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb18c87…
05-06 05:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x31aab0…
05-05 17:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf28d00…
05-05 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbc3d8e…
05-05 05:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf2e152…
05-05 05:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5ef79d…
05-04 16:48:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4f2ce9…
04-06 18:58:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xba6334…