Somber-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,837 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$15

$12.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-20 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

42% 62% $-2

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	7	$643	355	355	+0	open	—	02-16 15:50
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	13	$480	431	431	+0	open	—	02-17 16:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	29	$410	1,533	1,208	+325	open	—	04-27 15:00
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	30	$262	885	858	+27	open	—	04-22 06:47
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	25	$222	322	322	+0	open	—	02-04 15:41
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	21	$208	580	580	+0	open	—	02-25 15:24
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	12	$181	267	261	+6	open	—	04-15 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	5	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	8	$120	154	150	+4	open	—	04-25 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	6	$116	123	120	+3	open	—	04-27 06:41
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	4	$109	175	175	+0	open	—	02-06 04:19
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	5	$101	150	150	+0	open	—	02-24 13:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$100	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 14:11
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	4	$100	150	150	+0	open	—	02-09 12:39
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	18	$100	214	210	+4	open	—	04-11 13:42
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	13	$97	148	148	+0	open	—	02-06 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	4	$97	300	300	+0	open	—	02-10 13:41
lol blg wb 2026 02 02 game2	4	$88	69	69	+0	open	—	02-02 13:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	6	$87	553	529	+24	open	—	04-25 00:33
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	11	$85	114	114	+0	open	—	02-08 13:37
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	2	$84	62	60	+2	open	—	04-18 15:30
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	12	$83	160	157	+3	open	—	04-12 10:29
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	6	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	02-20 16:48
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	7	$81	214	210	+3	open	—	04-15 07:22
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	9	$80	114	112	+2	open	—	04-15 07:50
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	10	$79	60	60	+0	open	—	04-06 12:54
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	2	$78	62	60	+2	open	—	04-08 10:52
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	6	$75	140	140	+0	open	—	02-20 06:27
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	5	$72	80	80	+0	open	—	02-24 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	6	$71	127	127	+0	open	—	02-06 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 03:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d967d…
05-20 03:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xbfd214…
05-20 03:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe00ecd…
05-20 03:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfd8454…
05-20 03:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb0985…
05-20 03:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2a0f58…
05-20 03:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x601486…
05-15 03:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xef6c65…
05-15 03:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7aee29…
05-15 03:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x1b2040…
05-15 03:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35b901…
05-15 03:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xad5b4d…
05-15 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4665b2…
05-15 02:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x3ed167…
05-15 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9075c4…
05-15 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6764bc…
05-15 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd91484…
05-09 07:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb7639f…
05-09 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5481c3…
05-09 06:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x345b32…
05-09 06:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6abc51…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbf65c8…
05-06 06:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdcb616…
05-05 01:06:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5020cb…
05-05 01:04:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdb75bb…
05-05 00:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x9531f1…
05-05 00:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x80fdcf…
05-05 00:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xff58de…
05-05 00:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0edbe0…
05-05 00:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe1fb17…
05-05 00:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x655bb9…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfdaa43…
05-05 00:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x49693c…
05-05 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x53bd0a…
05-04 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x199c8d…
05-04 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3e7358…
05-04 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x502c90…
05-04 15:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x870327…
05-04 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x28becd…
05-04 15:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbdd208…
05-04 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe595ea…
05-04 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4f2917…
05-04 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x4eb453…
05-04 15:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a1138…
05-04 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xee2fe6…
05-04 15:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4ba28d…
05-04 15:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xf5639c…
05-04 15:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9508b4…
05-04 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x219139…
05-04 14:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8f6fe1…
05-04 14:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xee2e22…
05-04 14:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd5947b…
05-04 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xef2100…
05-04 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe946f4…
05-04 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x7dd92a…
05-04 14:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc377fd…
05-04 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xfee5e0…
05-04 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd41e6e…
05-04 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6da6e6…
05-04 14:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x25877b…
05-04 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe9cdc8…
05-04 14:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6b3091…
05-04 14:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9bb18a…
05-04 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xdb7101…
05-04 14:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1fd570…
05-04 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb274f7…
05-04 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x26c067…
05-04 14:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0ee22a…
05-04 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe841a1…
05-04 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x96d668…
05-04 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2a7561…
05-04 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x9d02e0…
05-04 13:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2b98f6…
05-04 13:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7abcf8…
05-04 13:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x211690…
05-04 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb8e89d…
05-04 13:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2112f8…
05-04 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb52ac5…
05-04 13:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4cfe26…
05-04 13:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x618561…
05-04 13:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd2e835…
05-04 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xd21200…
05-04 13:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe26961…
05-04 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9908d4…
05-04 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3865b2…
05-04 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x301567…
05-04 13:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe9fd09…
05-04 13:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd48cb…
05-04 13:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x00108d…
05-04 13:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x5a5b83…
05-04 13:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x353b36…
05-04 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf3b7cb…
05-04 13:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x95ecb2…
05-04 13:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x507993…
05-04 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x545c62…
05-04 13:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfc1554…
05-04 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe47b5b…
05-04 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1a4af8…
05-04 13:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2c8616…
05-04 12:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xdc8c80…