Flat-Sow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$160

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-07 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Other

35% 0% $-2

Sports

16% 50% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+11	$2	14¢	$1	$-0	06-03 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 02:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-12 03:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$13	19	14	+5	open	—	04-19 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 04:49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-19 07:09
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-19 06:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	04-08 14:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 14:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 02:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-09 03:14
Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 07:06
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 02:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	06-07 19:13
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 13:41
bkarg ins qui 2026 04 16	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-15 13:50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 13:29
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-09 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 04:48
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 13:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	06-03 18:44
mlb cin mia 2026 04 09	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-09 13:36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$2	3	0	+3	Heroic	$-2	05-09 03:49
cricpsl kar isl 2026 04 16	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-15 13:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 03:16
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$2	3	0	+3	Spurs	+$1	05-09 03:49
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 13:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 06:27
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-23 02:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	1	$1	63	0	+63	open	—	04-15 13:41
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:13:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xcb926e…
06-03 18:44:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x58927c…
05-18 03:33:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe11587…
05-18 03:21:17	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8cc4e4…
05-15 03:27:00	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0d88a7…
05-12 03:32:05	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x21af22…
05-12 03:29:15	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd4f7bf…
05-12 03:16:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x618eb0…
05-12 03:15:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xca3d21…
05-12 03:14:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf82c16…
05-12 03:10:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x699f94…
05-09 03:49:48	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6ad5b2…
05-09 03:49:20	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x80b0f4…
05-03 06:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd7671f…
05-01 13:29:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x56c20e…
05-01 13:23:38	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa92c58…
04-29 13:19:14	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc421b…
04-26 05:11:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x6bdde1…
04-26 04:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x819284…
04-26 04:48:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63b453…
04-23 02:58:44	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x5e0d57…
04-23 02:57:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0142a1…
04-23 02:57:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x57ceee…
04-23 02:52:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x680ecc…
04-19 08:08:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe74996…
04-19 08:07:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x3247b6…
04-19 07:12:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb8d574…
04-19 07:12:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x12acaa…
04-19 07:09:38	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x35c97c…
04-19 07:06:00	Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic	Hiroshima Dragonflies	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xfe803c…
04-19 06:55:56	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfcb939…
04-17 13:41:42	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x1ba40c…
04-15 13:50:04	bkarg ins qui 2026 04 16	Instituto Cordoba	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xb6c70e…
04-15 13:47:20	cricpsl kar isl 2026 04 16	Islamabad United	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x820e9b…
04-15 13:43:22	nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 220pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc228a6…
04-15 13:41:42	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x5b3dc1…
04-11 04:57:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde68d6…
04-11 04:56:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3ba725…
04-10 13:27:55	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfb828…
04-10 13:25:59	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3b3510…
04-10 03:04:19	nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	Knicks	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfc3f5c…
04-09 13:37:31	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x12d4b1…
04-09 13:36:47	mlb cin mia 2026 04 09	Miami Marlins	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x78d032…
04-09 03:15:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0f7595…
04-09 03:14:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x788701…
04-08 14:22:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xadfa7c…
04-08 14:06:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa8427d…