Realistic-Mukluk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$766

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-11 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% — —

Other

17% 50% +$12

Sports

13% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781127600	4	$131	158	158	+0	open	—	06-10 21:44
btc updown 5m 1781127900	4	$88	118	118	+0	open	—	06-10 21:48
btc updown 5m 1781128500	4	$80	128	78	+50	open	—	06-10 21:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-20 07:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$64	64	0	+64	open	—	04-08 14:35
mlb chc col 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	1	$40	57	0	+57	open	—	06-10 22:03
eth updown 5m 1781128800	3	$35	58	58	+0	open	—	06-10 22:01
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi	2	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 11:08
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-13 09:20
btc updown 5m 1781128200	1	$18	182	0	+182	open	—	06-10 21:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrino	1	$18	45	0	+45	Andrea Pellegrino	+$27	05-05 10:56
nhl edm col 2026 03 10	1	$18	46	0	+46	open	—	03-10 22:25
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	01-13 09:20
nhl ana wpg 2026 03 10	1	$16	36	0	+36	open	—	03-10 22:25
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	1	$15	26	0	+26	All Gamers	$-15	05-05 10:55
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-08 14:35
nhl sj buf 2026 03 10	1	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	03-10 22:25
mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	1	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	06-11 21:40
cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	1	$13	29	0	+29	open	—	06-11 08:50
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassan	1	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 07:43
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 14:35
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-13 09:21
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-13 09:21
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 btts	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-08 14:35
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	0	24	-24	open	—	01-13 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 21:40:31	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x6d6dda…
06-11 08:50:22	cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	Legacy	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xdedab2…
06-10 22:03:40	mlb chc col 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xc74fe3…
06-10 22:01:45	eth updown 5m 1781128800	Up	SELL	58	25¢	$15	0x7a781e…
06-10 22:01:28	eth updown 5m 1781128800	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8355c6…
06-10 22:00:37	eth updown 5m 1781128800	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0bf335…
06-10 21:59:19	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe132af…
06-10 21:55:51	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	SELL	78	52¢	$40	0xc1b35e…
06-10 21:55:27	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xf579ca…
06-10 21:54:51	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xa7854e…
06-10 21:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781128200	Up	BUY	182	10¢	$18	0x995141…
06-10 21:48:58	btc updown 5m 1781127900	Down	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x739248…
06-10 21:48:36	btc updown 5m 1781127900	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x006cf8…
06-10 21:46:48	btc updown 5m 1781127900	Up	SELL	74	39¢	$29	0x7b69a9…
06-10 21:46:07	btc updown 5m 1781127900	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe509a8…
06-10 21:44:21	btc updown 5m 1781127600	Up	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x678778…
06-10 21:43:58	btc updown 5m 1781127600	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4f9cb1…
06-10 21:43:30	btc updown 5m 1781127600	Down	SELL	105	9¢	$9	0x811c89…
06-10 21:43:01	btc updown 5m 1781127600	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x4e4f6b…
05-21 11:08:28	Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1b6106…
05-20 07:43:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd49526…
05-20 07:43:26	Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassan	Daniel Michalski	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x9c76e3…
05-20 07:43:03	Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xb74cbd…
05-05 10:56:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrino	Andrea Pellegrino	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x2a796a…
05-05 10:55:54	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	TYLOO	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x68ca7e…
04-08 14:35:49	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x344750…
04-08 14:35:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 btts	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7bd758…
04-08 14:35:29	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc0a0b1…
04-08 14:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x4f3d86…
03-10 22:25:31	nhl edm col 2026 03 10	Oilers	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x38c0b3…
03-10 22:25:19	nhl ana wpg 2026 03 10	Ducks	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xc68db2…
03-10 22:25:03	nhl sj buf 2026 03 10	Sharks	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x9087f0…
01-13 09:21:57	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbe36a5…
01-13 09:21:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x2795dc…
01-13 09:21:05	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x517842…
01-13 09:20:47	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d8b8c…
01-13 09:20:37	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x0bcf15…