Clueless-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

89% — —

Crypto

11% 56% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+800	$80	6¢	$44	$-36	06-06 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$988	510	510	+0	open	—	01-21 09:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$950	556	556	+0	open	—	01-18 17:23
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	1	$80	800	0	+800	open	—	06-06 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$47	60	50	+10	Up	+$28	05-12 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$28	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 15:06
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	1	$10	198	0	+198	open	—	01-01 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	9	$9	25	15	+10	open	—	05-16 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	3	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$5	120	0	+120	Down	$-5	05-12 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	3	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	3	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	8	$3	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 13:00
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	01-07 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	3	$2	20	0	+20	Down	$-2	05-12 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	2	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-12 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$0	10	0	+10	Up	$-0	05-12 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 19:08:36	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	10¢	$80	0x6a0d58…
05-16 16:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x971a5b…
05-16 16:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x725a88…
05-16 16:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x32e08e…
05-16 16:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa634df…
05-16 16:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1b1fd0…
05-16 15:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x575340…
05-16 15:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x0a2eda…
05-16 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xb1298b…
05-16 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x270ef9…
05-16 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe34825…
05-16 15:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x446caa…
05-16 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x90c761…
05-16 14:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xec6505…
05-16 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf34255…
05-16 14:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x68e8f9…
05-15 13:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfef30b…
05-15 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdd30c5…
05-15 13:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e6d02…
05-15 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa80351…
05-15 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7e8426…
05-15 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd79e0b…
05-15 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xcf79b4…
05-15 08:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5c1529…
05-14 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x855aa4…
05-14 17:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x34940b…
05-14 17:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5caf51…
05-14 08:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4a585c…
05-12 16:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2c4361…
05-12 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xaba882…
05-12 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x69cbaa…
05-12 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0x099aa3…
05-12 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9e26e9…
05-12 15:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x79fc0b…
05-12 14:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1211f4…
05-12 14:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x779178…
05-12 14:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0dde09…
05-12 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x9c92b3…
05-12 14:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x050d06…
05-12 14:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xcae3fb…
05-12 14:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x075949…
05-12 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc5c321…
05-12 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbaec97…
05-12 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x683d05…
05-12 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdf147f…
05-12 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x9083c0…
05-12 14:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x702731…
05-12 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xf600d8…
05-12 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3e4c7b…
05-12 13:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf9fff0…
05-12 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc3a8b3…
05-12 09:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe990a4…
05-12 09:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6169a9…
05-12 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5b5bef…
05-11 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5557ee…
05-11 15:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1f7e04…
01-21 09:18:10	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	510	98¢	$498	0xb7fd0b…
01-18 17:24:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	510	96¢	$490	0x6a84aa…
01-18 17:23:42	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	556	88¢	$490	0x787226…
01-16 16:13:32	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	219	83¢	$182	0x891235…
01-16 16:03:06	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	337	82¢	$278	0x2873b7…
01-07 11:22:33	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x63f29b…
01-01 21:10:21	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x295de9…
01-01 20:35:33	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x2fd490…