Rundown-Freezing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-08 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 20% $-7

Sports

42% 0% $-17

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	10	$458	416	329	+87	open	—	05-26 17:30
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$412	244	244	+0	open	—	05-24 04:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$375	202	202	+0	open	—	06-08 15:15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	3	$317	294	294	+0	open	—	05-27 01:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	7	$296	243	108	+135	open	—	05-25 15:46
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	10	$266	1,341	1,341	+0	open	—	05-27 15:17
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	4	$241	306	134	+172	open	—	05-24 01:58
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$154	114	114	+0	open	—	05-23 03:48
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	10	$116	328	156	+172	open	—	05-29 14:39
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	3	$75	125	0	+125	open	—	05-23 17:56
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	3	$74	667	667	+0	open	—	05-30 22:14
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$53	0	160	-160	open	—	05-25 01:50
will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	3	$50	185	0	+185	open	—	06-04 06:19
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	5	$44	76	76	+0	open	—	05-28 14:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$28	167	167	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$27	1,216	0	+1,216	open	—	05-12 09:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$25	160	160	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$24	60	0	+60	open	—	05-19 17:20
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 17:20
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$11	286	286	+0	open	—	05-22 10:02
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$10	28	0	+28	Seattle Mariners	$-10	05-12 23:03
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-12 10:27
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-12 19:13
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	1	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	05-19 17:20
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	05-12 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:15:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	202	93¢	$187	0x8b2946…
06-08 15:06:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	202	93¢	$187	0x91e005…
06-04 06:19:06	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	65	27¢	$18	0xbe6633…
06-04 05:11:28	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8f4e71…
06-04 05:01:58	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x9a2540…
05-30 22:14:51	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	SELL	667	2¢	$14	0x2cce2b…
05-30 22:10:35	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1c0619…
05-30 22:03:30	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x83a42a…
05-29 14:39:17	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x64b62f…
05-29 11:15:21	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x4fbe69…
05-29 09:33:30	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5bd94b…
05-29 09:15:47	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	38¢	$21	0x22b342…
05-29 03:30:50	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0xb50301…
05-29 03:26:10	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x17c870…
05-28 14:20:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$4	0x315841…
05-27 21:31:33	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xecb5f0…
05-27 21:25:27	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x75b120…
05-27 21:21:17	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0xb1033b…
05-27 15:17:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,163	4¢	$52	0x5b0a3c…
05-27 14:31:08	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x65f05a…
05-27 13:31:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x072f5e…
05-27 13:02:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	311	13¢	$40	0xaaf994…
05-27 03:38:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x35fbe7…
05-27 01:13:34	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	252	91¢	$229	0x1b0fe8…
05-27 01:06:36	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x5230c9…
05-27 00:59:36	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x447642…
05-26 17:30:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x51e058…
05-26 17:28:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	85	59¢	$50	0x181d19…
05-26 17:02:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x7d0dd3…
05-26 15:33:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	156	14¢	$22	0x10f50c…
05-26 15:22:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x71d7a3…
05-26 13:46:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	177	15¢	$27	0x59f048…
05-26 13:44:46	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0x7af714…
05-26 13:32:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	87	21¢	$18	0xcf7712…
05-26 13:31:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x45d0e6…
05-26 03:23:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0xc31652…
05-26 01:45:55	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0x46f2e4…
05-25 22:54:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x747b72…
05-25 19:57:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb7d7ea…
05-25 19:50:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x8d4231…
05-25 18:13:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4c8c59…
05-25 15:46:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xc69dbd…
05-25 07:31:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	66	55¢	$36	0x5c5176…
05-25 01:50:08	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	SELL	160	33¢	$53	0x42788a…
05-24 22:57:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0x903c00…
05-24 14:28:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x79e9b8…
05-24 14:26:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x83e6b8…
05-24 13:59:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xdc44ae…
05-24 08:56:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x00c380…
05-24 08:32:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x10e66e…
05-24 08:28:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x7c9810…
05-24 04:59:17	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	244	99¢	$241	0x1cf0c7…
05-24 03:37:50	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	244	70¢	$171	0x2d3373…
05-24 01:58:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	172	86¢	$148	0x0c219b…
05-24 01:56:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	134	13¢	$17	0xc8e187…
05-24 00:19:12	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	69¢	$75	0xb746cd…
05-24 00:13:59	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0x290a15…
05-24 00:13:55	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xb1fbd3…
05-23 22:47:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x9a5fe9…
05-23 22:42:22	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x709af8…
05-23 17:56:36	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x14e631…
05-23 17:53:07	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x2b153c…
05-23 17:35:32	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4e0afc…
05-23 03:48:17	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xfadde6…
05-22 23:41:23	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xa1cda1…
05-22 10:02:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7a00b8…
05-22 10:02:53	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ba306…
05-22 10:02:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd71070…
05-22 10:02:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7db378…
05-22 10:02:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x4a3101…
05-22 10:02:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0x45b394…
05-22 10:02:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	9¢	$14	0x141ec8…
05-22 10:02:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$4	0x278001…
05-19 17:20:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	286	2¢	$7	0xddba5c…
05-19 17:20:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	11¢	$18	0x988841…
05-19 17:20:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	7¢	$11	0x88b438…
05-19 17:20:37	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5de5bc…
05-19 17:20:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x39fc36…
05-19 17:20:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x307227…
05-19 17:20:36	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tommy Paul	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x531cad…
05-19 17:20:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x460d26…
05-19 17:20:34	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x9927b7…
05-19 17:20:34	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	60	41¢	$24	0x65b802…
05-12 23:03:48	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x40307e…
05-12 23:03:48	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2c6d27…
05-12 21:19:49	Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x96d634…
05-12 21:19:47	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xba83a6…
05-12 21:15:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x9d1818…
05-12 19:13:04	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbeb783…
05-12 10:27:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3611e3…
05-12 09:47:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xf70b65…
05-12 09:45:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x68516c…
05-12 09:45:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x06a8ac…
05-12 09:40:59	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0xc6eb0d…
05-12 09:40:57	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbdd662…
05-12 09:40:57	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x76440f…
05-12 09:40:57	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x4964c2…
05-12 09:40:56	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xa5d2ce…
05-12 09:40:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,049	2¢	$23	0x07eefc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	21	$44.6K	893	06-06 05:01
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	20	$3.21K	439	06-05 18:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	19	$33.4K	120	05-29 21:27
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	17	$52.1K	731	06-01 01:08
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	17	$47.5K	5,114	06-09 18:06
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	17	$9.93K	2,857	05-31 21:11
Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c	16	$10.1K	175	05-30 20:29
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$177.5K	2,822	05-30 19:26