Radiant-Hedgehog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$626

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$643

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-09 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-626

Sports

46% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	-719	$-532	74¢	$-532	$-0	06-09 04:18
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?	Yes	+510	$250	21¢	$107	$-143	05-31 23:58
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+6	$3	65¢	$4	+$1	05-30 13:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	15	$7.0K	9,568	79	+9,489	open	—	06-05 00:17
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	17	$1.7K	3,485	1,630	+1,855	Yes	$-623	03-30 17:07
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	4	$1.1K	756	756	+0	open	—	05-31 04:07
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$989	526	526	+0	No	$-2	03-08 22:26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	7	$903	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	03-30 03:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	58	$629	1,156	1,156	+0	No	$-2	03-17 11:11
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	3	$532	0	719	-719	open	—	06-09 04:18
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	15	$438	438	438	+0	open	—	03-31 13:30
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	4	$368	511	511	+0	open	—	06-03 14:03
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	7	$358	645	645	+0	open	—	03-05 08:18
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	10	$270	240	240	+0	open	—	03-02 06:50
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?	1	$250	510	0	+510	open	—	05-31 23:58
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$185	123	123	+0	open	—	02-26 07:09
Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	2	$155	179	179	+0	open	—	04-26 13:15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	16	$94	96	96	+0	open	—	02-25 09:12
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	5	$76	488	488	+0	open	—	04-21 00:57
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	7	$71	275	275	+0	open	—	03-28 13:13
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	6	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	06-03 20:16
Will Kirk Cousins play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-16 03:16
Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	2	$30	900	900	+0	open	—	03-13 12:21
Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	2	$28	31	31	+0	open	—	04-27 05:27
Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	3	$28	180	180	+0	open	—	04-22 20:49
Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 11:41
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	5	$12	88	88	+0	open	—	02-27 00:53
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 00:12
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	6	$6	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 17:44
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	04-19 11:31
Will Kirk Cousins play for Cincinnati Bengals in 2026-27?	6	$6	143	143	+0	open	—	03-15 19:55
Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 21:19
Will Trey Hendrickson play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?	3	$4	115	115	+0	open	—	03-11 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:18:01	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x178895…
06-09 03:56:31	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	619	74¢	$458	0x475db1…
06-05 06:38:12	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	72	74¢	$54	0xfbbe92…
06-05 00:17:24	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	BUY	9,489	73¢	$6,927	0xb816a9…
06-03 20:16:25	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x486731…
06-03 20:16:12	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5128d4…
06-03 20:12:10	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x853a48…
06-03 20:12:01	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	31	53¢	$17	0xece98d…
06-03 20:10:33	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xd67509…
06-03 20:10:24	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x286c82…
06-03 14:03:27	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xd211da…
06-03 14:03:19	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x34039f…
06-03 07:30:38	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xb6dde7…
06-03 07:30:26	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6af074…
06-03 07:30:23	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Soto	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x5121ae…
06-03 07:30:12	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Soto	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xac1691…
06-03 07:20:57	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9dfe59…
06-03 07:20:49	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc63041…
06-02 22:17:00	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	480	36¢	$173	0x5d3803…
06-02 22:16:51	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	480	36¢	$173	0x6f8abb…
06-01 00:44:28	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3a5faa…
05-31 23:58:07	City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x1f1754…
05-31 19:20:13	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x75a3a8…
05-31 19:20:11	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x5ae3c8…
05-31 19:19:59	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2b900f…
05-31 19:19:26	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x77279a…
05-31 19:19:19	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x40b6e6…
05-31 17:40:09	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Soto	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x6fca37…
05-31 17:39:55	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Soto	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x1eaa55…
05-31 04:07:35	Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	207	71¢	$147	0x55154c…
05-30 20:13:45	Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	86	73¢	$63	0x4cdb66…
05-30 20:13:43	Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	462	73¢	$338	0x488fcd…
05-30 20:02:28	Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	756	73¢	$552	0x1bd2f8…
05-30 13:21:11	City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1e73c8…
05-02 11:41:00	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xefde17…
05-02 07:42:06	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xc98557…
05-01 00:12:18	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xc6ef52…
05-01 00:12:06	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xbe2b18…
04-27 05:27:54	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x7a7bbe…
04-27 05:27:42	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x844ef2…
04-26 13:15:36	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	179	43¢	$77	0xbe97a0…
04-26 07:58:04	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	179	44¢	$79	0x0c6d24…
04-23 05:29:46	Will the DHS shutdown end between July 27-31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc88bcc…
04-23 05:29:34	Will the DHS shutdown end between July 27-31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbd5a25…
04-22 21:19:32	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xeea5bd…
04-22 21:19:22	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x48a1b4…
04-22 20:49:42	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x3f05a9…
04-22 20:49:02	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	180	6¢	$12	0x065700…
04-22 20:48:56	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	180	9¢	$16	0xec19ad…
04-22 08:03:30	Will the DHS shutdown end between May 4-10 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x2f739e…
04-22 08:03:22	Will the DHS shutdown end between May 4-10 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x668814…
04-22 01:27:34	Will the DHS shutdown end between July 13-19 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc943f6…
04-22 01:27:22	Will the DHS shutdown end between July 13-19 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x090a1d…
04-21 15:10:20	Will the DHS shutdown end between June 1-7 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x3130c4…
04-21 15:10:08	Will the DHS shutdown end between June 1-7 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xab5b31…
04-21 00:57:50	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	SELL	212	7¢	$15	0x8881be…
04-20 23:50:34	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x134b11…
04-20 23:47:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	BUY	207	8¢	$17	0x847c40…
04-19 11:31:24	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x7b1384…
04-19 11:31:12	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbeb4d8…
04-19 01:10:04	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	SELL	275	8¢	$22	0xd81da6…
04-19 01:09:52	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	BUY	275	8¢	$22	0x061989…
03-31 13:30:43	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	374	47¢	$176	0xbfd120…
03-31 10:54:19	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xebeb45…
03-30 17:07:45	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x734b08…
03-30 10:41:34	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0x4d9b00…
03-30 08:36:00	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc73f09…
03-30 08:07:52	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1310c5…
03-30 07:41:44	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	53¢	$61	0xcf56b4…
03-30 07:41:30	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x021b0c…
03-30 07:35:46	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	53¢	$127	0xaa651a…
03-30 07:33:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x316efb…
03-30 07:32:56	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x47e453…
03-30 07:32:46	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x7eef8c…
03-30 07:31:22	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x6ad1c6…
03-30 07:30:54	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x8b4bbf…
03-30 07:22:00	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x34bd9d…
03-30 07:21:42	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x8eddc3…
03-30 03:20:12	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	37¢	$370	0x3b591e…
03-30 03:14:18	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x167ae1…
03-30 00:38:50	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0x3b07ff…
03-29 17:44:20	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xda988f…
03-29 17:44:10	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x84f188…
03-29 13:32:20	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x857726…
03-29 13:32:08	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xa49160…
03-29 13:26:08	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6911af…
03-29 10:12:06	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	182	38¢	$69	0x5ac2a9…
03-29 10:05:42	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0x4f2798…
03-29 10:05:32	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x9f67cf…
03-29 10:03:10	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5da5b2…
03-29 10:03:00	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x70f0ae…
03-29 04:58:36	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb74574…
03-29 04:58:26	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe08db9…
03-28 13:13:29	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$29	0x4cf534…
03-28 07:31:39	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xef62d7…
03-28 06:25:27	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xab7a77…
03-28 06:06:15	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xeb4ee7…
03-28 06:06:15	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xdd02c2…
03-28 06:06:05	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6567ac…
03-28 06:05:31	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	14¢	$38	0xfb70a5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	39	$973	357	06-09 17:07
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	27	$2.55K	161	06-09 15:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	25	$66.8K	601	06-09 10:59
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	24	$6.41K	473	05-02 09:00
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	22	$1.62K	100	06-07 08:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$15.9K	409	06-04 21:32
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	20	$549	87	06-09 03:56
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	17	$700	1,103	06-09 17:10