Negative-Complement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

584

lifetime

Volume

$6.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-31 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-28

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes		+882	$4	0¢	$4	$-0	05-30 10:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$404	1,133	333	+800	open	—	05-29 18:00
btc updown 5m 1776958500	5	$226	164	158	+7	open	—	04-23 15:40
btc updown 5m 1777059600	5	$182	182	125	+57	open	—	04-24 19:45
btc updown 5m 1777059300	3	$173	171	82	+89	open	—	04-24 19:39
btc updown 5m 1776960000	7	$164	165	154	+11	open	—	04-23 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$145	159	108	+52	open	—	05-29 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776959700	5	$140	321	117	+204	open	—	04-23 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776958200	5	$130	100	97	+3	open	—	04-23 15:34
btc updown 5m 1776960300	4	$124	595	49	+546	open	—	04-23 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$122	127	116	+11	open	—	05-30 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	6	$119	257	118	+139	open	—	05-30 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$110	130	89	+41	open	—	05-29 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$103	91	91	+0	open	—	05-29 17:53
btc updown 5m 1776957000	6	$101	88	85	+3	open	—	04-23 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776958800	3	$100	245	0	+245	open	—	04-23 15:42
btc updown 5m 1776957600	5	$96	105	101	+4	open	—	04-23 15:24
btc updown 5m 1777059000	4	$96	160	114	+46	open	—	04-24 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$88	161	0	+161	open	—	05-31 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$85	168	126	+41	open	—	05-29 16:59
btc updown 5m 1776959100	4	$78	269	43	+226	open	—	04-23 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$78	85	44	+41	open	—	05-31 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$77	88	57	+31	open	—	05-29 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$75	101	91	+10	open	—	04-25 06:09
btc updown 5m 1776959400	6	$74	70	63	+7	open	—	04-23 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$70	90	35	+56	open	—	05-29 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$68	129	129	+0	open	—	05-29 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$67	130	130	+0	open	—	05-29 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$66	55	55	+0	open	—	05-29 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776957300	4	$66	143	41	+102	open	—	04-23 15:18
btc updown 5m 1776963300	3	$64	68	27	+40	open	—	04-23 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 18:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$8	0x75d6ff…
05-31 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xe829d1…
05-31 18:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x004f2a…
05-31 18:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd9b0ff…
05-31 18:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x6d2dde…
05-31 18:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x02a5b4…
05-31 18:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb1895b…
05-31 18:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x8b5713…
05-31 18:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x047e5e…
05-31 18:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xc30b8c…
05-31 18:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x4156ac…
05-31 18:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0x1716c9…
05-31 18:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x3dd7c7…
05-31 18:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x990528…
05-31 13:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x798230…
05-31 13:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x03749f…
05-31 13:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x830e23…
05-31 13:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x5edc20…
05-31 13:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x989032…
05-31 12:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x55a2c2…
05-31 12:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0xf2aab7…
05-31 12:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xaa8711…
05-31 12:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x573751…
05-31 12:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x979045…
05-31 12:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xc08f2d…
05-31 12:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0x08459a…
05-31 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd048c0…
05-31 12:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0xfcefe2…
05-31 12:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc0ced6…
05-31 12:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa7243d…
05-31 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x6f6c70…
05-31 12:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xdc3424…
05-31 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x7b190d…
05-31 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xe1b88b…
05-31 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x735ca1…
05-31 12:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0xcfc23b…
05-31 12:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x922bb4…
05-31 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3ffb49…
05-31 12:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x687076…
05-31 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xc1aab5…
05-31 12:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xc0ccf2…
05-31 12:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x077103…
05-31 12:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2996cb…
05-31 12:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x16c155…
05-31 12:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xa3ffce…
05-31 12:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x9a4181…
05-31 12:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x4052e2…
05-31 12:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x547ce2…
05-31 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4bb002…
05-31 12:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x2e3e69…
05-31 12:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x87bd6a…
05-31 12:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xa0623a…
05-31 12:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb2c7d2…
05-31 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x459937…
05-31 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0xea1c2a…
05-31 12:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3bcbca…
05-31 12:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x61fff9…
05-31 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x393254…
05-31 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0x4d1f11…
05-31 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x412dae…
05-31 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x2e8a35…
05-31 12:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x15cb66…
05-30 11:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xd4650f…
05-30 11:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x673121…
05-30 11:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	118	33¢	$39	0x7e0c2e…
05-30 11:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x793e0a…
05-30 11:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe3b7bb…
05-30 11:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x1e396b…
05-30 11:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xfbf510…
05-30 11:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe035da…
05-30 11:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x34908a…
05-30 11:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x116830…
05-30 11:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x0bd523…
05-30 11:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x27c8f1…
05-30 10:43:13	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	549	1¢	$3	0x5dc40f…
05-29 19:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xbe80d2…
05-29 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xee8142…
05-29 19:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x389ab2…
05-29 19:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x455f42…
05-29 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x54da18…
05-29 19:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x0731ce…
05-29 19:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	37¢	$14	0x92be3f…
05-29 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x4c41d7…
05-29 19:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x1ccfb5…
05-29 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xda607b…
05-29 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	130	5¢	$7	0x8fda57…
05-29 19:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x715218…
05-29 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x18e776…
05-29 18:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	55¢	$23	0x98bd0c…
05-29 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	25¢	$12	0x58ba2b…
05-29 18:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x93849f…
05-29 18:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x4e812b…
05-29 18:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d2baa…
05-29 18:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x667dba…
05-29 18:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xaa5aa0…
05-29 18:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0xb3a511…
05-29 18:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xecc8d3…
05-29 18:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa9bc4a…
05-29 18:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x20f100…
05-29 18:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xaedd7e…