Untrue-Quill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-24 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 62% $-3

Other

35% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	2	$43	48	46	+2	open	—	04-27 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 15:55
Will Trump dance today?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-3	05-06 13:59
Will Trump wear a red tie today?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-06 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 10:10
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 28?	1	$1	102	0	+102	open	—	04-27 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-24 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-22 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 17:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x867bbf…
05-24 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4cf29f…
05-24 05:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4e0af0…
05-24 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd98e66…
05-22 13:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28dc12…
05-22 13:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x223cfc…
05-07 11:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf5acf6…
05-07 11:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdeb715…
05-07 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x108c58…
05-07 11:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x828aac…
05-07 11:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9ee3a…
05-07 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaa1317…
05-07 10:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0291e7…
05-07 10:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8e4004…
05-07 10:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd25203…
05-07 10:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1866f5…
05-06 15:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x18b50d…
05-06 15:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3b629d…
05-06 15:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdbb120…
05-06 15:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc174f…
05-06 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d30ec…
05-06 13:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x284264…
05-06 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbf6346…
04-28 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeb8929…
04-28 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaf256c…
04-28 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7e7bc6…
04-28 14:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa8eb43…
04-28 13:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe8c57a…
04-28 10:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x67db76…
04-28 09:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf3c9e3…
04-28 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89555c…
04-28 09:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaa43c3…
04-28 08:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe8bc8d…
04-28 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbaf7a8…
04-28 07:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfff0ee…
04-28 07:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2fbc4f…
04-28 06:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa3b80f…
04-28 06:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2023f2…
04-28 06:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7fcb13…
04-28 06:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7cd82a…
04-28 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x727c85…
04-27 13:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x875f46…
04-27 13:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x2cdfc5…
04-27 12:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf59405…
04-27 07:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x420504…
04-27 07:15:46	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x614606…
04-26 14:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x97b01b…
04-26 14:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf9b90a…
04-26 12:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x277c03…
04-26 12:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8d9ce4…
04-25 13:33:26	Will Trump wear a red tie today?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb1322d…
04-25 13:33:16	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9890bf…
04-25 13:11:54	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd53d9c…