Ornate-Pot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-10 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 56% $-5

Other

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$29	34	34	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$29	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$28	17	17	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$24	22	22	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$21	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	7	$19	14	13	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$18	25	17	+8	Down	$-0	05-08 21:33
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	08-10 17:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$15	167	0	+167	open	—	05-07 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$13	10	8	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$12	7	8	-1	Down	+$1	05-08 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$7	21	15	+6	Up	$-1	05-07 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$7	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$6	16	16	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$6	7	4	+4	Down	$-0	05-07 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-07 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	$-5	05-07 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:19:06	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x919e26…
08-09 16:12:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x90d070…
08-09 16:11:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2c83d5…
08-09 16:10:22	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc326be…
08-09 16:09:57	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd084e1…
05-29 19:42:19	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb1628d…
05-13 17:37:44	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xabd902…
05-13 13:50:37	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd06b3c…
05-10 10:47:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x3f160c…
05-08 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x08edf4…
05-08 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x736ac4…
05-08 21:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf57356…
05-08 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb0ede2…
05-08 21:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe75a2…
05-08 21:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3e9f34…
05-08 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xca4869…
05-08 21:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfe823d…
05-08 21:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xd0c2b3…
05-08 21:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x13db0c…
05-08 21:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x1085ef…
05-08 21:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x08065f…
05-08 21:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xb91566…
05-08 21:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x202637…
05-08 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x67103f…
05-08 21:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbcfc74…
05-08 21:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xe687ef…
05-08 21:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x07cb03…
05-08 21:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xe40f9b…
05-08 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2826d7…
05-08 21:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x58aeb3…
05-08 21:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x82dd90…
05-08 21:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x182416…
05-08 21:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x20ba8e…
05-08 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x53047e…
05-08 21:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xed2b51…
05-08 21:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xed37d6…
05-08 21:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x70725c…
05-08 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x3abb65…
05-08 21:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xffb647…
05-08 21:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb09b4…
05-08 21:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x704335…
05-08 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x588225…
05-08 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x5128f2…
05-08 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe8d384…
05-08 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f6b4b…
05-08 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7596bc…
05-08 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x4729d8…
05-08 21:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa382e0…
05-08 21:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x4b411b…
05-08 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf4a01f…
05-08 21:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9243c4…
05-08 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x59af25…
05-08 20:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbc3eb6…
05-08 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x3fd2fe…
05-08 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7bd8e8…
05-08 20:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xa83e6a…
05-08 20:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x562f52…
05-08 20:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2a3ef1…
05-08 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x80e3c1…
05-08 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x579331…
05-08 18:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x825dc3…
05-08 18:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xea9150…
05-08 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x920901…
05-08 18:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf0750f…
05-08 18:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x92c2a1…
05-08 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9d040e…
05-08 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x27309d…
05-08 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb1775a…
05-08 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x88a37d…
05-08 18:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x62d170…
05-08 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x49d6a0…
05-08 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x55fd87…
05-08 18:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x102565…
05-08 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x592595…
05-08 18:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x321878…
05-08 18:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2aa70d…
05-08 18:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbbe0a0…
05-08 18:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0be73d…
05-08 18:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x45f004…
05-08 18:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x50f03d…
05-08 18:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x0a9a09…
05-08 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3dafb0…
05-08 18:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7285ef…
05-08 18:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x983ee0…
05-08 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3ff6db…
05-08 18:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xac421e…
05-08 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x290f96…
05-08 18:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbed22e…
05-08 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xa14c7d…
05-08 18:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x53e3ef…
05-08 18:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x8fc6c4…
05-08 18:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x03e19b…
05-08 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x493208…
05-08 18:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3559b4…
05-08 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x299c08…
05-08 17:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe14059…
05-08 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5922e1…
05-08 17:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xc2965c…
05-08 17:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbcaa60…
05-08 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5b7629…