Joyful-Legislation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$161

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$122

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-15 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

66% 26% -$9,284

Politics

34% 45% +$409

Crypto

0% 25% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	-1,312	-$125	5¢	$-62	+$63	06-23 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-634	-$114	6¢	$-41	+$73	05-11 20:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-750	-$44	2¢	$-18	+$25	06-18 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	17	$5.5K	11,682	0	+11,682	Yes	-$5,481	05-13 13:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$4.8K	2,768	2,768	+0	Yes	+$773	03-02 09:21
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	26	$3.3K	11,962	0	+11,962	Yes	-$3,339	06-12 23:07
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	7	$713	422	422	+0	No	+$128	02-28 14:28
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$305	3,674	3,674	+0	No	+$40	01-19 18:03
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	3	$298	885	0	+885	No	-$298	05-13 12:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$291	634	55	+578	Yes	-$209	01-29 16:18
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	13	$237	2,203	0	+2,203	No	-$237	02-24 19:16
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	6	$170	214	107	+107	Yes	+$96	01-28 10:56
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	2	$125	0	1,312	-1,312	open	—	06-23 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$114	0	634	-634	open	—	05-11 20:38
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$105	958	0	+958	No	-$105	06-18 09:37
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	2	$91	230	230	+0	No	-$15	06-24 10:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$72	388	0	+388	No	-$72	03-04 15:45
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$58	54	54	+0	Yes	+$28	01-22 18:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$44	0	750	-750	open	—	06-18 09:34
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$42	141	0	+141	No	-$42	01-22 19:03
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	24	$35	1,127	0	+1,127	No	-$35	06-24 11:38
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	02-03 22:28
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$30	103	0	+103	Yes	-$30	04-29 12:01
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	1	$27	121	0	+121	No	-$27	02-24 16:32
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	4	$27	1,254	0	+1,254	No	-$27	02-05 13:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$25	37	0	+37	Yes	+$12	03-02 11:54
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$23	40	40	+0	No	-$8	03-03 18:59
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$22	242	242	+0	No	-$8	03-15 21:21
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	01-20 14:25
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	+$8	01-03 08:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$20	0	22	-22	Yes	-$2	06-12 15:57
will ilhan omars husband be charged with fraud	4	$14	513	0	+513	No	-$14	01-23 22:56
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$11	0	81	-81	No	+$11	01-14 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:55:23	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf40e09…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xa56cc7…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x9808ba…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x72da89…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$4	0x6abd80…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x5a8793…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x4174ed…
06-24 11:38:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3c6a2d…
06-24 11:38:20	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8dbcbe…
06-24 11:09:17	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6ea003…
06-24 11:09:17	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x172fe8…
06-24 11:08:50	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x7bf844…
06-24 11:08:47	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x931b75…
06-24 11:08:47	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x683cde…
06-24 11:08:46	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xabfa82…
06-24 11:08:44	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x731443…
06-24 11:08:43	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8e92e9…
06-24 11:08:43	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6a8f7c…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xdf7ba5…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0xc79814…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xc72e8b…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xab7e0e…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x861eb0…
06-24 11:08:41	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x62d90b…
06-24 10:09:25	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x77c1ad…
06-24 10:08:53	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	16¢	$38	0x15a339…
06-23 08:09:17	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	23¢	$53	0xb2624a…
06-23 08:08:40	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	9¢	$57	0xebced5…
06-18 09:37:47	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	383	11¢	$42	0x608074…
06-18 09:34:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	6¢	$44	0x831723…
06-18 09:31:35	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	575	11¢	$63	0x0baa58…
06-18 09:31:07	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	683	10¢	$68	0x2c1e61…
06-12 23:07:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0x0e429c…
06-12 15:57:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x892429…
05-13 13:45:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	927	52¢	$482	0x711817…
05-13 13:19:57	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	24¢	$18	0xfc5b28…
05-13 13:05:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x997d0b…
05-13 13:02:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x6c636e…
05-13 13:01:02	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x9d8f90…
05-13 13:00:42	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	53¢	$122	0x709cec…
05-13 13:00:09	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	466	25¢	$116	0xad86b0…
05-13 12:59:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x2d78ba…
05-13 12:57:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x43672a…
05-13 12:57:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	643	52¢	$334	0x0c0538…
05-13 12:26:19	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	BUY	424	37¢	$157	0x37f3b2…
05-13 12:25:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,133	51¢	$578	0x0357d9…
05-13 12:25:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbef2f2…
05-13 12:08:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,507	49¢	$738	0xf72237…
05-13 12:07:08	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	BUY	128	35¢	$45	0xf074de…
05-13 12:06:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	49¢	$980	0xf14ba8…
05-13 12:05:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	234	22¢	$51	0x32ef28…
05-12 09:56:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x09380a…
05-11 20:40:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	28¢	$22	0x6dbd64…
05-11 20:39:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x55808c…
05-11 20:39:14	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x069ae2…
05-11 20:39:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	15¢	$32	0xb4e5ca…
05-11 20:39:02	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	314	14¢	$44	0xd3c0dc…
05-11 20:38:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	634	18¢	$114	0x6a2847…
05-11 20:30:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	286	23¢	$65	0x5d08dd…
05-11 20:29:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,589	19¢	$300	0xec4538…
05-11 20:29:21	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,273	11¢	$250	0x0eb549…
05-11 20:28:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	196	17¢	$33	0x7f0e35…
05-11 18:12:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	402	41¢	$167	0xd4060a…
05-11 10:19:19	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0x0572f5…
05-11 10:18:34	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x0b5d01…
05-11 10:18:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	34¢	$42	0x1db542…
05-11 09:10:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,739	34¢	$591	0x35cd31…
05-11 08:41:30	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x958851…
05-11 08:39:59	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0xc8ef62…
05-11 08:38:30	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	34¢	$12	0x7167d2…
05-11 08:38:19	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x8f1e7f…
05-11 08:38:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xbb993d…
05-11 08:37:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	791	34¢	$269	0xd320dc…
05-07 10:08:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	378	62¢	$235	0xabdd40…
05-05 10:11:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	547	32¢	$175	0xf01c16…
04-30 07:40:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0xf9c6b7…
04-30 07:39:48	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,167	34¢	$397	0xcc1502…
04-29 12:01:08	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x0b7ed4…
04-29 09:01:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0xd8747b…
04-29 08:59:30	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,857	35¢	$1,000	0x91850b…
04-29 08:58:56	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	BUY	333	29¢	$97	0xfe9d64…
03-15 21:21:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	242	3¢	$7	0xda5c89…
03-14 21:54:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	242	6¢	$15	0xed0857…
03-04 15:45:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0xb6ed9f…
03-03 21:54:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x61402e…
03-03 19:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8f01bb…
03-03 19:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xaacafb…
03-03 18:59:37	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x0fd16e…
03-02 20:10:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa91882…
03-02 18:42:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	17¢	$22	0x826f4d…
03-02 15:46:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0x561781…
03-02 12:11:59	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x3521ec…
03-02 11:54:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3d6a70…
03-02 11:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc976d4…
03-02 09:32:21	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xfa7096…
03-02 09:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x9a92c7…
03-02 09:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7ac3e4…
03-02 09:21:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,768	100¢	$2,762	0x6ed744…
02-28 21:04:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xad05b3…
02-28 14:29:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	560	75¢	$420	0x518d15…