Creamy-Solitaire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-15 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

81% 33% $-31

Sports

13% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,026	$-46	3¢	$-35	+$11	07-15 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	99	$1.5K	1,648	1,673	-25	open	—	03-30 03:40
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	7	$220	135	135	+0	open	—	03-06 04:23
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	63	$159	2,462	2,462	+0	open	—	04-09 22:14
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	4	$158	700	1,726	-1,026	open	—	07-15 14:20
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	17	$126	449	449	+0	open	—	03-16 10:25
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$123	80	80	+0	open	—	03-06 19:30
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	5	$121	97	97	+0	open	—	03-11 21:54
will bolivia qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$99	112	90	+22	open	—	03-28 23:58
will denmark qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$87	116	54	+62	open	—	03-31 14:02
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 spread home 2pt5	4	$77	81	81	+0	open	—	03-18 21:29
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$76	80	80	+0	open	—	03-30 15:07
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	6	$55	70	69	+1	open	—	04-01 21:00
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$50	84	0	+84	open	—	03-12 16:21
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	2	$47	28	27	+1	open	—	05-30 18:05
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	6	$45	68	68	+0	open	—	03-10 19:16
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 7 2026 28c	8	$37	63	63	+0	open	—	03-07 12:59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	5	$35	37	16	+21	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$12	05-06 19:34
epl tot not 2026 03 22 btts	2	$35	38	38	+0	open	—	03-22 14:48
epl ast wes 2026 03 22 btts	3	$33	38	38	+0	open	—	03-22 15:41
bun mai ein 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	2	$32	37	37	+0	open	—	03-22 16:17
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	03-17 00:40
Knicks vs. Spurs	2	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	06-03 03:44
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	7	$30	30	30	+0	Under	$-13	05-11 20:44
Magic vs. Pistons	2	$30	58	58	+0	open	—	05-03 17:47
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	06-20 06:40
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	3	$30	40	20	+20	open	—	04-28 15:21
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	6	$28	43	43	+0	open	—	04-19 17:16
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	5	$27	30	45	-15	open	—	05-03 21:35
uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf	4	$26	37	13	+24	open	—	04-09 19:32
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	03-18 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 14:20:26	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	4¢	$23	0x48b751…
07-15 07:32:44	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	586	4¢	$25	0xeae9d1…
06-20 06:40:07	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x64a9d0…
06-03 03:44:55	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x4e8d46…
06-03 00:02:09	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xb93773…
05-30 20:42:11	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0xd770a0…
05-30 18:05:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x266514…
05-30 12:32:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x7bfdff…
05-28 19:39:07	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	9¢	$54	0x1aed51…
05-20 18:41:36	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xd80f7a…
05-20 18:40:12	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf0b4d6…
05-18 20:38:32	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x4f8b9e…
05-18 20:33:54	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x5fffdf…
05-18 20:31:34	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x356ff3…
05-18 17:56:29	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x1c13e8…
05-17 18:23:41	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	West Ham United FC	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x6d7da0…
05-17 18:22:10	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	West Ham United FC	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xcd1334…
05-17 17:40:20	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	West Ham United FC	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1b938b…
05-11 20:44:39	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x6857f9…
05-11 20:02:50	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x394285…
05-11 19:13:36	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xae83aa…
05-11 19:13:36	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x1d89b0…
05-11 18:46:02	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd0ffd8…
05-11 18:46:00	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd61085…
05-11 18:46:00	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8784af…
05-07 20:32:11	Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Braga	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb98c10…
05-07 17:21:15	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x42c15b…
05-07 14:37:03	Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Braga	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x30091b…
05-06 19:34:05	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xfddfa6…
05-06 19:21:49	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xd4d928…
05-06 18:59:42	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5d857c…
05-06 15:18:14	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xa41d28…
05-06 15:17:13	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x93f27b…
05-06 10:23:34	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xae40db…
05-04 21:15:32	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe09949…
05-04 07:15:50	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x638118…
05-03 21:35:12	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Magic	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xaffb1e…
05-03 21:24:50	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Magic	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x2b5c74…
05-03 21:13:32	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Magic	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x278de6…
05-03 21:08:20	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Magic	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0xc3eb56…
05-03 17:47:06	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	SELL	58	26¢	$15	0x788f75…
05-03 10:15:18	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Magic	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xe69bb3…
05-03 05:40:58	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4d8807…
05-03 05:11:08	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xe88256…
04-30 16:58:48	SHL: Roegle vs. Skellefteaa	Roegle	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfb59c9…
04-28 15:21:38	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2fd96e…
04-28 10:22:06	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa4f41f…
04-27 20:06:14	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xda71c2…
04-27 17:51:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x1103e0…
04-27 16:43:22	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd4cd30…
04-27 04:49:00	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xed0d86…
04-26 19:43:10	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x35d071…
04-26 15:19:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x811ab9…
04-26 15:12:32	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x559dfb…
04-26 15:01:30	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x2c3825…
04-26 14:17:20	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x844649…
04-26 14:08:02	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x1fc03c…
04-26 14:05:48	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x5848d5…
04-25 17:52:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5ddfb6…
04-25 15:16:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	No	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xb40008…
04-25 13:46:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2f5643…
04-25 13:27:24	Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7b3f1b…
04-25 04:25:36	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x97fe04…
04-24 16:55:36	Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)	Leicester City FC	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2a7e39…
04-24 16:24:38	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa33b9d…
04-24 15:47:04	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x90612f…
04-23 17:08:52	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xcf8f2e…
04-23 07:28:18	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xdffea6…
04-22 15:09:50	itc ata laz 2026 04 22 ata	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x826c5a…
04-21 18:36:08	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x3d1174…
04-19 17:16:22	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xbba2db…
04-19 17:06:30	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3915fc…
04-19 17:03:16	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x68b11c…
04-19 16:13:50	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	VfB Stuttgart	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xe458b4…
04-19 14:50:14	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x8bed6e…
04-19 14:24:42	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x6aed38…
04-19 14:24:40	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x48a119…
04-19 13:45:36	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe48dc6…
04-19 13:19:04	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc48431…
04-19 13:15:58	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x48d869…
04-19 13:08:50	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd4f6cb…
04-18 17:34:16	bun ein lei 2026 04 18 lei	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x46d4fd…
04-18 09:08:14	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x40db47…
04-17 14:51:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x8bf236…
04-17 13:40:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xc9bf06…
04-17 06:09:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x8162b2…
04-15 04:27:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xef12ab…
04-12 13:56:45	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xc2c528…
04-12 13:40:15	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xae5287…
04-12 11:57:19	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xcefe3b…
04-12 10:44:43	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x9cf1ae…
04-12 09:38:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x0699ec…
04-12 04:06:53	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf2ecb4…
04-12 00:48:17	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4306bd…
04-12 00:48:09	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf0216b…
04-12 00:48:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xd715db…
04-12 00:05:27	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x33d0b7…
04-11 22:02:47	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf6cf16…
04-11 21:44:53	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xd311a6…
04-11 21:36:07	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x350066…