Mammoth-Continuity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$84.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$482

Open exposure

$366

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-14 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

90% 47% -$3,345

Politics

8% 56% -$932

Other

2% 50% -$471

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-317	-$200	76¢	$-243	-$43	08-14 08:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-189	-$98	66¢	$-124	-$25	08-14 08:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hurricanes vs. Senators	6	$9.8K	7,589	7,497	+92	Hurricanes	+$791	04-25 21:47
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	4	$6.0K	3,781	3,737	+44	Canadiens	+$1,477	04-20 01:20
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	2	$4.8K	2,817	2,792	+25	Avalanche	+$814	04-19 21:57
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$4.6K	12,641	0	+12,641	No	-$4,600	05-06 02:45
Lightning vs. Canadiens	4	$4.6K	5,371	3,647	+1,724	Lightning	+$518	05-02 01:37
Lightning vs. Canadiens	7	$3.8K	4,305	4,212	+93	Lightning	+$1,441	04-27 01:53
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$2.7K	1,968	1,968	+0	No	+$115	04-21 22:22
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	2	$2.6K	1,565	1,565	+0	Under	+$563	05-03 03:01
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	1	$2.0K	3,125	0	+3,125	Oilers	+$1,125	04-21 01:49
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	2	$1.8K	1,095	1,095	+0	Under	+$393	05-01 05:03
Bruins vs. Sabres	2	$1.7K	1,250	1,250	+0	Bruins	+$738	04-29 02:38
nhl buf bos 2026 04 23	2	$1.5K	1,020	1,005	+16	Sabres	+$510	04-24 01:40
nhl pit phi 2026 04 22	3	$1.5K	985	970	+15	Flyers	+$484	04-23 02:02
Stars vs. Wild	2	$1.4K	926	913	+13	Wild	+$417	04-26 00:55
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	4	$1.3K	1,280	1,257	+23	Lightning	+$292	04-22 02:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.3K	173,010	0	+173,010	Yes	-$1,275	04-07 23:12
nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	2	$1.3K	2,938	2,880	+58	Sabres	-$671	04-20 01:48
Flyers vs. Hurricanes	2	$1.3K	1,132	1,132	+0	Hurricanes	+$62	05-05 02:29
nhl ott car 2026 04 20	3	$1.3K	1,529	851	+678	Hurricanes	-$329	04-21 03:29
nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	4	$1.2K	986	968	+18	Bruins	+$417	04-22 01:21
nhl utah las 2026 04 19 total 6pt5	1	$1000	1,724	0	+1,724	Under	+$724	04-20 02:00
nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	2	$985	698	686	+12	Flyers	+$397	04-21 02:04
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	2	$969	1,429	1,429	+0	Under	-$31	04-29 03:45
Penguins vs. Flyers	2	$900	2,185	0	+2,185	Penguins	-$900	04-26 01:01
Sabres vs. Bruins	2	$865	566	566	+0	Sabres	+$265	05-02 02:22
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	2	$857	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$57	08-14 08:20
Stars vs. Wild	2	$855	556	556	+0	Wild	+$255	05-01 02:35
Flyers vs. Penguins	2	$787	2,188	2,143	+45	Penguins	-$613	04-28 01:40
Avalanche vs. Kings	2	$778	484	478	+6	Avalanche	+$183	04-26 23:32
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$700	2,335	0	+2,335	Canadiens	-$700	05-04 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:20:03	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1,333	34¢	$457	0x3c6969…
08-14 08:19:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	317	63¢	$200	0x5436bb…
08-14 08:19:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	189	52¢	$98	0x74f05c…
08-14 08:19:46	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	11¢	$50	0xb53f66…
06-28 13:15:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,304	23¢	$300	0x83d123…
06-28 13:13:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	727	16¢	$116	0xcd8ed4…
06-27 22:30:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,154	26¢	$300	0xf65eef…
06-14 14:34:25	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x86c9ed…
06-13 02:32:19	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	326	99¢	$324	0x2b7d0c…
06-12 21:06:03	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0x68fb3f…
05-17 00:21:27	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x3dc5a0…
05-14 23:15:05	Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xea779d…
05-14 23:14:30	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xd7fc38…
05-14 03:22:02	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x540a9e…
05-13 02:03:21	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	317	60¢	$190	0xe6a076…
05-13 02:01:57	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	269	74¢	$199	0xf363e8…
05-12 21:21:13	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	269	55¢	$148	0xbf7ff5…
05-12 20:45:01	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,887	4¢	$148	0xe08903…
05-07 22:32:50	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	179	39¢	$70	0xc43677…
05-07 00:05:40	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xdb08f1…
05-07 00:05:15	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0x18adb9…
05-06 02:45:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,902	38¢	$3,000	0xfe7749…
05-06 00:47:40	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	379	53¢	$200	0x2a5558…
05-05 02:40:02	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	453	26¢	$116	0x8dd830…
05-05 02:29:16	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	1,132	58¢	$661	0xdca6a0…
05-04 23:48:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	1,026	39¢	$400	0x1ea978…
05-04 23:48:06	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	1,132	53¢	$600	0xc2805c…
05-04 03:20:04	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	SELL	1,211	5¢	$61	0x53e167…
05-04 01:47:10	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	2,273	22¢	$500	0x63fd5b…
05-04 01:41:44	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	668	5¢	$34	0x30879e…
05-04 01:39:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,647	38¢	$1,000	0x520ec0…
05-04 00:30:28	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x2cdd79…
05-03 22:43:50	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0xc41446…
05-03 22:08:22	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	442	68¢	$300	0xe28884…
05-03 16:07:06	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x7912a5…
05-03 16:07:00	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x7c5e1e…
05-03 13:02:42	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	668	60¢	$400	0xabd34e…
05-03 04:21:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	28¢	$200	0xd37fd1…
05-03 03:01:56	Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	1,565	100¢	$1,563	0x5923cb…
05-03 00:41:26	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xf09808…
05-03 00:30:48	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	SELL	625	8¢	$50	0x49f0cb…
05-03 00:16:10	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	222	94¢	$209	0xddb6a2…
05-03 00:00:44	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x52fa9f…
05-02 22:48:20	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x3d27eb…
05-02 22:48:04	Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Riyadh Falcons	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0f0494…
05-02 22:47:24	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3bfae8…
05-02 22:21:20	Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1,565	64¢	$1,000	0xedb219…
05-02 02:28:12	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	1,221	49¢	$600	0x3c3a0e…
05-02 02:24:44	Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0x406455…
05-02 02:22:56	Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x096e76…
05-02 02:22:32	Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	SELL	566	100¢	$565	0x3f186b…
05-02 01:37:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xce0241…
05-02 01:15:34	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	3,647	46¢	$1,693	0x548fac…
05-02 00:42:52	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2,830	53¢	$1,500	0x12f1f5…
05-01 21:37:32	Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0x44f8eb…
05-01 21:37:24	Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xa154de…
05-01 21:35:06	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	816	49¢	$400	0xf2cc1f…
05-01 05:52:16	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	453	22¢	$100	0x432e78…
05-01 05:51:52	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	155	71¢	$110	0x157371…
05-01 05:03:52	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	1,095	100¢	$1,093	0xad2337…
05-01 02:35:04	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	556	100¢	$555	0x054a10…
04-30 22:25:24	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,095	64¢	$700	0x98d119…
04-30 22:24:52	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	556	54¢	$300	0xdf12b1…
04-30 02:52:14	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,333	30¢	$400	0x02536b…
04-30 02:11:26	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xab6835…
04-30 02:11:12	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x79e869…
04-29 18:51:02	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	619	5¢	$29	0xa2308a…
04-29 18:50:54	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	318	34¢	$108	0x63695e…
04-29 18:50:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	2¢	$4	0x38f497…
04-29 03:45:28	Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	1,429	33¢	$469	0x69e7ce…
04-29 02:45:42	Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x268a03…
04-29 02:39:46	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	SELL	1,724	11¢	$193	0x4f9768…
04-29 02:38:34	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	SELL	1,250	99¢	$1,238	0x235645…
04-29 02:28:14	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	1,724	29¢	$500	0x52a999…
04-29 02:24:42	Wild vs. Stars	Stars	SELL	545	5¢	$27	0xfa67d3…
04-28 23:38:16	Wild vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0xd4152c…
04-28 23:38:08	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x707370…
04-28 01:40:46	Flyers vs. Penguins	Flyers	SELL	2,143	4¢	$87	0xc2b806…
04-27 23:54:20	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0x57499a…
04-27 23:34:28	Flyers vs. Penguins	Flyers	BUY	2,188	32¢	$700	0xb68847…
04-27 08:38:20	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8d2912…
04-27 08:37:38	T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x663631…
04-27 08:29:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,093	29¢	$600	0xcdabdc…
04-27 08:29:12	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,887	8¢	$300	0x06249b…
04-27 02:52:48	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	419	18¢	$75	0x18f546…
04-27 02:00:24	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	894	56¢	$500	0x1b3aff…
04-27 01:53:16	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	SELL	750	93¢	$698	0x131ccf…
04-27 01:35:04	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xb2288e…
04-27 01:24:22	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,243	4¢	$168	0x54b10e…
04-27 01:23:00	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	SELL	2,859	51¢	$1,458	0xc5e58f…
04-27 00:52:30	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	1,506	13¢	$200	0x47e329…
04-27 00:45:36	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0x83a085…
04-27 00:27:56	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	391	92¢	$358	0x58c126…
04-27 00:27:22	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	603	67¢	$401	0x2746cb…
04-26 23:36:30	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x4904ac…
04-26 23:36:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x41c1d7…
04-26 23:32:56	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	SELL	478	100¢	$478	0x7cfb31…
04-26 19:29:32	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0xc809f8…
04-26 11:10:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0x801855…
04-26 03:30:54	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	478	42¢	$200	0xcdee09…