Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$87.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-23 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

42% 25% $-5,567

Sports

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	42	$17.3K	9,323	8,970	+353	open	—	04-18 09:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	20	$11.0K	6,100	5,600	+500	open	—	04-25 15:32
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	16	$7.2K	7,839	0	+7,839	open	—	04-11 21:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	30	$5.0K	7,907	6,417	+1,490	open	—	04-29 18:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	18	$4.8K	58,700	55,959	+2,741	open	—	04-20 16:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$4.5K	2,671	2,671	+0	open	—	04-08 21:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	22	$4.3K	4,700	1,700	+3,000	Yes	$-1,992	05-08 18:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$4.0K	2,249	2,249	+0	Yes	+$95	05-06 12:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	18	$4.0K	4,020	900	+3,120	open	—	04-07 23:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 21:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	25	$3.7K	2,158	2,158	+0	open	—	05-23 01:46
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	8	$2.9K	1,950	1,000	+950	open	—	04-24 19:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-17 14:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	11	$2.1K	1,200	1,100	+100	open	—	04-07 22:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	8	$1.9K	4,100	100	+4,000	Yes	$-1,830	05-08 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	$-1,840	05-08 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$1.0K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-29 21:57
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	1	$960	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 15:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$947	500	500	+0	open	—	03-28 22:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$660	700	0	+700	open	—	05-01 20:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$560	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-04 12:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$494	500	0	+500	open	—	04-26 13:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	5	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 22:43
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	4	$353	357	0	+357	open	—	03-30 12:08
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	14	$330	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	04-07 22:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$308	450	450	+0	open	—	04-07 22:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$265	450	450	+0	open	—	04-07 22:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	03-30 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$134	200	300	-100	open	—	04-07 23:11
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	3	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-27 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:46:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x3788d5…
05-22 21:56:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	860	96¢	$826	0x6d4fea…
05-22 21:55:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x40b308…
05-08 18:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xf38a63…
05-08 18:01:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x2f07fa…
05-08 18:01:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x7ab262…
05-08 18:00:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x46cf34…
05-08 18:00:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x7afe45…
05-06 23:33:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x267d46…
05-06 12:50:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0x100f0f…
05-06 09:21:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xea0ee6…
05-05 05:43:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	978	69¢	$675	0xcab95a…
05-05 05:40:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xd91fe0…
05-04 18:55:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x9b2ffd…
05-04 18:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x3ca6bc…
05-04 18:47:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x8daf21…
05-04 15:24:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xc74702…
05-02 20:50:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xa59445…
05-01 20:14:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0xb1708a…
05-01 20:14:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc6d354…
05-01 20:14:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	315	94¢	$296	0xacbc22…
05-01 17:26:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xbf49f0…
05-01 08:16:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xc37a76…
05-01 07:18:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x5ef5bd…
05-01 07:15:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1c0911…
05-01 06:16:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x1b907c…
05-01 06:11:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xe5ac8a…
05-01 05:56:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xc53e87…
05-01 05:02:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	421	66¢	$278	0x9a58fc…
04-30 22:09:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x17b051…
04-30 21:18:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	375	92¢	$345	0x29fc02…
04-29 18:18:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	1¢	$25	0xc6b073…
04-29 17:24:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	881	49¢	$432	0x63cbeb…
04-29 17:20:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x7e4d0c…
04-29 16:11:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	1,119	49¢	$548	0xcb80fe…
04-29 15:46:52	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xc77312…
04-26 13:55:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xa62b19…
04-26 12:57:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xbff4cb…
04-25 15:51:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x1a7ae8…
04-25 15:32:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	165	97¢	$160	0xd1c326…
04-25 15:31:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf6d7a6…
04-25 15:30:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	320	97¢	$310	0xe5c528…
04-24 19:57:52	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0xa7f314…
04-24 09:11:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	381	95¢	$362	0x81d406…
04-24 08:01:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x634a3a…
04-24 07:58:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6ee1bf…
04-24 07:45:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$66	0x75ea7d…
04-24 07:38:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x918bf9…
04-24 06:09:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x5388f2…
04-22 21:13:44	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	518	97¢	$502	0x71abc1…
04-22 07:43:14	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0e5145…
04-22 06:34:36	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	461	97¢	$447	0xd9556b…
04-22 05:50:22	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	371	97¢	$360	0xc9671c…
04-22 01:00:16	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	129	97¢	$126	0x550aeb…
04-21 22:22:10	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	339	98¢	$332	0x3b9feb…
04-21 20:37:22	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xb5f8a7…
04-21 03:52:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xa27b41…
04-20 17:33:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x1c0405…
04-20 16:30:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	263	0¢	$0	0xdae153…
04-20 16:30:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0x9f9423…
04-20 16:30:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbfef11…
04-20 16:29:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	3,737	0¢	$4	0x57ec28…
04-18 09:02:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0xeeba12…
04-17 21:12:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x0fb989…
04-17 14:21:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	SELL	74	47¢	$35	0xe7799e…
04-17 14:19:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x4d00aa…
04-17 13:39:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0xdd601e…
04-17 01:49:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xc56abc…
04-17 01:49:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	959	100¢	$958	0xc56abc…
04-16 22:38:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$40	0xd0ed8d…
04-16 19:59:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x2dbe07…
04-16 19:52:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x7ea923…
04-16 19:33:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	749	92¢	$689	0x1f27ef…
04-16 19:28:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0xc30758…
04-16 19:03:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0x4a698c…
04-16 18:36:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xf78272…
04-16 18:20:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	3,370	95¢	$3,204	0x949816…
04-16 18:19:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	121	95¢	$116	0x46677f…
04-16 18:17:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xa4fa85…
04-16 18:16:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	979	96¢	$939	0x6adeda…
04-16 18:12:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfad491…
04-16 18:12:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	727	99¢	$719	0x3dc85e…
04-16 18:10:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	364	99¢	$360	0x4a2f1a…
04-16 18:10:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xbbca8b…
04-16 18:10:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xb7363e…
04-16 18:10:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xc55694…
04-16 18:09:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x7489e8…
04-16 17:39:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$51	0x1fadc5…
04-16 17:30:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	444	90¢	$399	0xebc841…
04-16 11:32:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x432da2…
04-16 10:37:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	3,909	97¢	$3,792	0x6a7e74…
04-16 10:04:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xf34766…
04-16 10:03:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0x92a35c…
04-16 04:38:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xa8fa8a…
04-15 20:47:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$995	0x715549…
04-14 01:51:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x986460…
04-12 21:13:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc9d98e…
04-12 21:06:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x65c9df…
04-12 19:16:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	534	98¢	$522	0xe5acaa…
04-12 18:57:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	857	97¢	$833	0x8a244a…