Realistic-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-09 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 100% +$0

Sports

39% 50% +$3

Other

13% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$86	43	43	+0	No	$-0	05-07 17:49
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	05-19 01:38
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 22:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-06 03:13
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$15	18	0	+18	Thunder	+$3	05-11 02:59
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-28 11:10
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-07 21:06
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-30 06:10
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 10:01
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-07 09:12
mlb stl nym 2026 06 09	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 01:47
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:47:58	mlb stl nym 2026 06 09	New York Mets	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x329b6a…
05-26 10:01:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19ba4b…
05-22 22:09:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4201b…
05-22 21:02:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67c7d9…
05-19 01:38:18	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1e551b…
05-11 02:59:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbf279d…
05-07 17:49:52	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xfadfad…
05-07 16:08:17	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x08e134…
05-06 03:13:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe82cad…
03-30 06:10:30	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde9f02…
03-08 08:26:11	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x021e4e…
03-07 09:12:33	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf16dbe…
02-28 11:10:49	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3821bd…
02-28 06:20:15	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4dd840…
02-15 06:23:29	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x751738…
01-07 21:06:57	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xab975c…